Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1306

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Lopen
11/16/18 7:40:24 PM
#252:


Zylothewolf posted...
1: We have already seen this match.

3: It's Nintendo VS Nintendo, stats will just confuse you. See Mario VS Samus in 2005.


These two points contradict themselves considering a stronger looking Bowser put up a lower percentage than the current one against a weaker looking Kirby. If anything the 2005 match suggests stats don't confuse us on this particular match
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 7:47:09 PM
#253:


tgs2 posted...
Ness really benefits from low votals and a small post-Undertale/LISA bump with those two games shining a bright light on Earthbound for the whole world. . Its not hard to see why Ness wins by that much. Fire Emblem was never worth too much. Smash is all Ike has going for him compared to Ness. To compare with another series character, Lucina at least has a tiny bump from FatesWakening being more well known compared to PoR/RD outside of the FE fandom. I am confident that Lucina > Ike 1v1 based on that alone even if it makes you raise an eyebrow.

1. There's no result to ever suggest that Earthbound benefits from small votals.
2. Lucina's 35% on Auron really isn't that great. These characters have all performed consistently better that in the past. Marth would do better than that and Phoenix already easily beat him.
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PrinceOfKoopas
11/16/18 7:48:21 PM
#254:


KamikazePotato posted...
PrinceOfKoopas posted...
If Red is cutting now, can Alucard lose the match?

No

...Good! :D
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Advokaiser
11/16/18 7:50:15 PM
#255:


Bowser really IS the villain here. I would normally call this a "choke" performance, but I mean, it's freaking Kirby! What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!
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ZeldaTPLink
11/16/18 7:51:31 PM
#256:


Advokaiser posted...
Bowser really IS the villain here. I would normally call this a "choke" performance, but I mean, it's freaking Kirby! What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!


Bowser?
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Yuri_LowelI
11/16/18 7:51:38 PM
#257:


Safer_777 posted...
@Yuri_LowelI Hey man Charizard is awesome! But it would be hilarious to see him beat Kirby!


Charizard was awesome back in the day. I was rooting for him when he beat down bowser. But theres no consistency. Might as well put blastoise in there to see what he can do.

Im just saying pokemon entries seem random and for their time with these contests.

Charizard definitely got weaker. Next contest hell be struggling to beat the likes of Nathan drake.
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Safer_777
11/16/18 7:51:47 PM
#258:


So Charizard>Kirby?
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ZeldaTPLink
11/16/18 7:52:14 PM
#259:


But yeah I get it.

MaybeKirby really does benefit from sore thumb factor. When you see that pink thing in the poll you can't help but support it.

But against Bowser... the HIERARCHY happens.
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LusterSoldier
11/16/18 7:53:37 PM
#260:


KamikazePotato posted...
2. Lucina's 35% on Auron really isn't that great. These characters have all performed consistently better that in the past. Marth would do better than that and Phoenix already easily beat him.


I'd still call Lucina's performance an improvement from 2013 where she got 37.17% against Dracula (and then Dracula gets 32.33% on Sonic). She is clearly stronger than in 2013 when Fire Emblem: Awakening was only about 5 months old and not as many people have played the game. Lucina also got into Smash later on.
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Advokaiser
11/16/18 7:53:42 PM
#261:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Advokaiser posted...
Bowser really IS the villain here. I would normally call this a "choke" performance, but I mean, it's freaking Kirby! What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!


Bowser?


I don't buy it. It's gotta be Bowsette or some weird stuff.
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Evillordexdeath
11/16/18 7:54:04 PM
#262:


I think that Kirby has always done better in multi-way polls, so something like a "sore thumb factor" seems reasonable.
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ZeldaTPLink
11/16/18 7:54:12 PM
#263:


Advokaiser posted...
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Advokaiser posted...
Bowser really IS the villain here. I would normally call this a "choke" performance, but I mean, it's freaking Kirby! What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!


Bowser?


I don't buy it. It's gotta be Bowsette or some weird stuff.


It's the hierarchy man.
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Janus5k
11/16/18 7:54:23 PM
#264:


Bowser is pretty dang lovable though.
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Nanis23
11/16/18 7:55:00 PM
#265:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
Charizard definitely got weaker. Next contest hell be struggling to beat the likes of Nathan drake.

You don't know that
Gen 8 can be amazing and bring back the faith in Gamefreak
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Yuri_LowelI
11/16/18 7:55:13 PM
#266:


With bowser being supposedly as strong as ever does that mean mario will be stronger? Legit 2nd on the site?
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snake_5036
11/16/18 7:56:21 PM
#267:


Bowsette 100% has nothing to do with these results

she died two months ago due to oversaturation

Yuri_LowelI posted...
With bowser being supposedly as strong as ever does that mean mario will be stronger? Legit 2nd on the site?

With Super Mario Odyssey, this is a bet I would take.
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Yuri_LowelI
11/16/18 7:56:32 PM
#268:


Nanis23 posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Charizard definitely got weaker. Next contest hell be struggling to beat the likes of Nathan drake.

You don't know that
Gen 8 can be amazing and bring back the faith in Gamefreak


Pokemon as a franchise is dead to me anyway. Until we get a fully open world Pokemon game that isnt tailored towards children most of the time i wont care for it.
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_SecretSquirrel
11/16/18 7:57:11 PM
#269:


Janus5k posted...
Bowser is pretty dang lovable though.

Like the moon over
the day my genius and brawn
are lost on these fools
~ Haiku

How can you not love this guy?
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 7:57:11 PM
#270:


Here's the real question to be asked:

Red. Over/under on Peach by the end of the match?
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#271
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Lopen
11/16/18 7:58:42 PM
#272:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Oh look, Bowser has the same exact lead on Kirby that he had in 2005. As I said, Kirby has had zero reason to close this gap.


It's actually pushing double
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OrangeCrush980
11/16/18 7:59:03 PM
#273:


What we're seeing here is the Bowsette boost on full display. Bowser underperformed against 2B because 2B reverse SFFed that boost. Without another hot girl in the poll, Bowser is much stronger. I don't think this will benefit Mario as much, though it may help a bit.
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#274
Post #274 was unavailable or deleted.
ShatteredElysium
11/16/18 8:01:01 PM
#275:


I mean Bowser has been stronger than Kirby in every recorded xstat we have. We're surprised by this result I think because of what Kirby has done this contest but maybe we shouldn't be given all the past results we have

Bowser 2013 - 35.94
Kirby 2013 - 35.60

Bowser 2010 - 37.09
Kirby 2010 - 33.19

Bowser 2008 - 32.59
Kirby 2008 - 31.92

Bowser 2007 - 26.32
Kirby 2007 - 22.67

Bowser 2006 - 32.44
Kirby 2006 - 29.39

Bowser 2005 - 36.54
Kirby 2005 - 34.99

Bowser 2004 - 30.97
Kirby 2004 - 28.54

Bowser 2003 - 30.97
Kirby 2003 - 26.34
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Nanis23
11/16/18 8:02:08 PM
#276:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Oh look, Bowser has the same exact lead on Kirby that he had in 2005. As I said, Kirby has had zero reason to close this gap.

As usual, @FlyingForever is a complete and total embarrassment. Good call on that Kirby blowout that were supposed to sig, champ. Owned you like a pimp.

As Arabic people would say it,
Khalas Ulti
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 8:02:44 PM
#277:


To be fair, 2010 Bowser is super inflated due to being stuck behind Charizard's bandwagon.
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LusterSoldier
11/16/18 8:03:11 PM
#278:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
Pokemon as a franchise is dead to me anyway. Until we get a fully open world Pokemon game that isnt tailored towards children most of the time i wont care for it.


Adding in difficulty settings would go a long way towards making a game that can also be tailored to adults who may already be veterans to the series.
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CaptainOfCrush
11/16/18 8:03:27 PM
#279:


Alucard beat 2 Ninty and 2 Square characters in one contest. What a studly month for him.

Also, I feel this is now merely a "good" contest for Nintendo, not the unstoppable one that looked likely after the first two weeks.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/16/18 8:03:54 PM
#280:


So here is the question.

Does Kefka still beat Terra?

If so, Alucard might have a shot at the loser of Bowser/Crono.

KamikazePotato posted...
To be fair, 2010 Bowser is super inflated due to being stuck behind Charizard's bandwagon.


Spoilers Charizard's biggest overperformance that year was probably against Bowser.

Spoilers two those are adjusted.
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CaptainOfCrush
11/16/18 8:04:06 PM
#281:


Nanis23 posted...
UltimaterializerX posted...
Oh look, Bowser has the same exact lead on Kirby that he had in 2005. As I said, Kirby has had zero reason to close this gap.

As usual, @FlyingForever is a complete and total embarrassment. Good call on that Kirby blowout that were supposed to sig, champ. Owned you like a pimp.

As Arabic people would say it,
Khalas Ulti

LOL I just imagined my mom lecturing him
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 8:04:19 PM
#282:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Also, I feel this is now merely a "good" contest for Nintendo, not the unstoppable one that looked likely after the first two weeks.

Well, if you remove Alucard from the Division, Peach wins it.
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WarThaNemesis2
11/16/18 8:04:53 PM
#283:


The icon boost is going to boost Link and Mario so much.
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 8:05:47 PM
#284:


Charizard's biggest overperformance that year was 46% against Mario which is totally bananas. Bowser looked good that year but not nearly that good.
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brawl__08
11/16/18 8:08:43 PM
#285:


Advokaiser posted...
What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!


At least half of the characters who were even in the contest for starters.
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CaptainOfCrush
11/16/18 8:09:03 PM
#286:


Why is Yoshi just... such a clear step below what Bowser and Luigi have managed to do recently.

I'm guessing it's because he doesn't talk (you can't really put him in humorous situations like the other two) and maybe the Pokemon have usurped his lovable cutesy creature role.
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ShatteredElysium
11/16/18 8:09:28 PM
#287:


Even if you go off raw xstats, 2010 Bowser is still above 2010 Kirby. Bowser 31.11 (Behind Charizard > Mario > Link), Kirby 28.24 (Behind Sonic > Link)
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#288
Post #288 was unavailable or deleted.
CaptainOfCrush
11/16/18 8:10:56 PM
#289:


Khalas
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#290
Post #290 was unavailable or deleted.
KamikazePotato
11/16/18 8:12:55 PM
#291:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Why is Yoshi just... such a clear step below what Bowser and Luigi have managed to do recently.

I'm guessing it's because he doesn't talk (you can't really put him in humorous situations like the other two) and maybe the Pokemon have usurped his lovable cutesy creature role.

Is he though? It still looks like he would easily beat Zero. Pikachu might do just as well on Bowser/Luigi (I think Yoshi is probably a little weaker than them, but yeah).
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MoogleKupo141
11/16/18 8:15:21 PM
#292:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Why is Yoshi just... such a clear step below what Bowser and Luigi have managed to do recently.

I'm guessing it's because he doesn't talk (you can't really put him in humorous situations like the other two) and maybe the Pokemon have usurped his lovable cutesy creature role.


his memes aren't as fun

Yoshi tax evasion just doesn't compare to Bowsette or Luigi getting murdered
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Lopen
11/16/18 8:15:50 PM
#293:


Fun fact if Kirby moves the % in the other direction the same amount Bowser did in the positive direction on the so called "no reason to doubt this match result changing ever" match he wins.

Fun fact 2 the 2005 match was used as a deciding factor while people were lecturing on using 5 year old stats as being too dated

Fun fact 3 if you say no match result changes ever Bowser lost to Charizard in 2010 by more than Kirby lost to Bowser

I mean if Bowser wins he wins, good job, but none of the logic in picking him really strikes as consistent or valid to me.
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KamikazePotato
11/16/18 8:15:55 PM
#294:


Bowser is going to end up getting like, 3% more on Kirby than he did in 2005.

I really don't understand Nintendo.
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Advokaiser
11/16/18 8:16:09 PM
#295:


brawl__08 posted...
Advokaiser posted...
What other character can be more lovable than Kirby?!


At least half of the characters who were even in the contest for starters.


By "lovable" I mostly mean "adorable". Sure, you can like a character for being cool or badass...

Wait... Kirby is also cool and badass.
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#296
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LeonhartFour
11/16/18 8:17:26 PM
#297:


Nanis23 posted...
Why did Leon think Alucard would have a problem with Peach


I mean she's clearly the second strongest character in this division
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Lopen
11/16/18 8:17:53 PM
#298:


UltimaterializerX posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
Bowser is going to end up getting like, 3% more on Kirby than he did in 2005.

I really don't understand Nintendo.

Its such a shocking result!


I'm curious if 2005 is set in stone why 2010 wasn't. Isn't Bowser > Charizard SUCH A SHOCKING RESULT?
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NowItsAngeTime
11/16/18 8:18:48 PM
#299:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Alucard beat 2 Ninty and 2 Square characters in one contest. What a studly month for him.

Also, I feel this is now merely a "good" contest for Nintendo, not the unstoppable one that looked likely after the first two weeks.


I think Nintendo just does super well against weaker characters but when there's actual competition people become a little more 'honest' with their voting if I can call it that.
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SwiftyDC
11/16/18 8:19:06 PM
#300:


Wow, Kirby is a fraud.
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charmander6000
11/16/18 8:20:18 PM
#301:


We've also seen Bowser > Yoshi > Luigi > Bowser over the years.

Stuff changes. Just not this one because Super Mario Odyssey is great.
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