Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1039

(+) Yeah! (+)

Whoever Board 8 wants to win would win if this got close at the end. That is NOT Cloud and Sephiroth.

--
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v712/ExTha/10and14.jpg
"I was wrong." - SmartMuffin

From: PartOfYourWorld | #300
I don't think anyone on B8 even cares to rally. It'll be 4chan or something.

I think your overestimate b8's apathy towards this contest or underestimate their love of Pokemon/hate of ff7.

Might be a b8er rallying on 4chan but yeah-- I'd be shocked to see Cloud/Seph winning in a close one go off without a hitch and not have b8 trying to fight it.

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

Maybe I missed it, but the reaction to this match seemed pretty subdued from the Pokemon fans, who have a tendency to get very excited.

--
Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

If cloud does back and win this it would be funny. If only for the fact i get to see people whine on here.

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

who the hell would even try or want to rally?

We get enough Rally Drama as is in save contests.

--
Nice catch BlAcK TuRtLe.
But too bad your ass got SAAAAAAAAAAACKED.*tackles*

It will be hard for someone to care about rallying, because it has no impact on your final bracket or battle score. Plus, this match is just for fun.

--
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!

It's a third place match that ultimately means nothing. I don't expect much excitement from the Pokefreaks, nor do I expect a rally.

--
I think someone is being way, way too sensitive. Do we have to stop saying "You got owned" in order to not offend black people due to slavery? - wg64Z

Lategame close match hype is always like 10x beginning of the match hype. Were people flipping out that Frog was beating Master Chief? No. But late in the match he was rallied en masse.

--
No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!

The_Djoker posted...
If cloud does back and win this it would be funny. If only for the fact i get to see people whine on here.

There's been more than enough whining already.

--
"I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord

Cloud/Sephiroth are finally starting to make some progress here. The cuts aren't that big because the votals are bad, but Cloud/Sephiroth really need multiple cuts of 20 votes or more to try and prove they can do the comeback.

--
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!

Decent cuts now. Things could get really interesting.

--
*huggles*

Link over mario is more likely 55-59.9% or 60-64.9 Imo. I would have choosen a 55-64.9% if it was possible.

For the battle prediction, you should be able to pick the percent to the hundredth decimal, and as long as you're in the correct range you win. I.e. you pick Link at 62.88% with a range of 1%, and if the result is between 62.38-63.38% you're correct. But nah that'd be too good =/

--
"I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord

More of those please

--
Ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do and die.

Who will win now? Trainers are at the moment, but Clouderoth gained 4% in the later part of the match? So who's going to win guys?

--
...

Averaging out the last 8 updates, Clouderoth should take the lead in 44 updates, or 3 hours and 40 minutes!!!

--
"I am riding the Poke-wave, using the metaphorical Surf and hopping on my Blastoise, all the way to Mario vs Bowser." - RPGLord

Cloud cut over 200 votes and almost 1% during the last hour alone.

--
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!

Pokemon finally wins an update!

--
*huggles*

Very unlikely that will happen with the US. Pokemon doesn't really have a good morning vote at all. It lost the morning vote to both the Fighters and Samus/Ridley.

--
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BlAcK TuRtLe, Guru Champ!

How long until the morning vote? Will the US side with Pokemon? I'm not so sure.

--
*huggles*

barring a rally, Cloud/Seph should have this.

I'm surprised to see so many calls for Pokemon given how hard it's crashed after the first hour in its last three matches. you guys should know better!

--
xyzzy

so it looks like this match is projecting about a 55/45 win for Link over Mario. all previous results have pointed to a 60/40+ win for Link. and then there's the fact that getting the 1% vote correct will win you the contest.

I've no idea what to pick for the battle!

--
xyzzy

Straight bet on Link. Like you said, this result suggests that Mario can shoot into the 40s, and we've seen past results that suggest Link can crush Mario down well into the 30s. That is some pretty big range. Risking EVERYTHING on one-shot Oracle skills is just too greedy for me. If you get it wrong and lose everything, you'll feel like such a scrub while making posts like "oh well at least I went out like a super macho tough guy" in a lame transparent attempt to save face when everyone knows you were just foolish run on sentence apricots.

--
Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!

So in one year Cloud went from 46.5% to Link to 41.5% with Sephiroth to boot.70.000 votes less than the previous match too.So that means that the low votes hurt Clouderoth.I wonder why?Maybe because people that were on this site liked more JRPG's and they left and more casuals came.And since casuals know more about Zelda that is what they vote.Man...As for today...Yeah as I said damn casuals!

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Site traffic decrease probably isn't helpful, and perhaps anyone that isn't a Nintendo fan has pretty much given up on these contests since they all have the same result. It is a little pointless to really participate if you don't like Nintendo.

--
:>

From: vcharon | #325
Site traffic decrease probably isn't helpful, and perhaps anyone that isn't a Nintendo fan has pretty much given up on these contests since they all have the same result. It is a little pointless to really participate if you don't like Nintendo.

What a weird concept, not liking Nintendo.

--
Game of the decade? More like Guru of the decade mirite?

I'd still stick to a 63% Link win and assume this 3rd place match doesn't particularly matter.

--
(\__/) Meet Ziggy,the Evil Bunny who wants to take over the world and eat the flesh of the weak.
(='.'=] Put Ziggy in your sig to support his cause.

Mario should get 53% on link indirectly. But with sff it maybe 60+

One thing is for sure cloyd/mario 1v1 is now serious debate. Mowser would beat clouderoth pretty easily but 1v1 even snake and samus are now closer

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

I think FF7 would be looking better with the bracket votes. I'd bet high on Link, 60+ for sure.

Why even straight bet? Might as well just bank it all, since straight betting is useless.

5% is a smart way to go, but I wish I could set my own 5% parameters. As it is I'm going to go for the 1% bet and go big or go home. There's 50 perfects and another 20 or so that could pass me if I go 5%, they go 1% and we both get it right. $250 or bust, I suppose.

--
Toronto Maple Leafs: 16-11-3, 35 Points, 6th Place
Toronto Raptors: 0-0

Also as always USA has the bad taste in characters/games.Makes sense.People also like to hype things because what else to do?Even if Trainers got 60% here,Mario would still lose.I guess a doubling personally.But the correct winning percentage?If it stays above 50% that will be the first time ever in the contest.I guess around 45% myself.

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

You can double your score with a straight bet...

--
Starcraft is my life, so without it I wouldn't exist. - Artosis

Over the last 45 minutes Clouderoth has cut off over 100 votes. If this continues through the morning, they should be able to take the lead before the DSV starts.

straight bet is asking to lose. 5% is pretty reasonable and you have at least a 50% chance of being right. well, I guess Link could double up Mario or Mario could impress based on his importance, but 55-65 seems very reasonable.

--
add the c and back away
iphonesience

Their last meeting was a 64% win for Link, its far from beyond possibility he could topple 65% particularly when hes outperforming expectations everywhere else.

--
Smurf , The Cream of Knuckles Fanboyism

I don't dislike Nintendo, to clarify. Like I said, I voted for Link a couple of times this contest and will vote for him in the final. The majority that will vote Link (and other strong Nintendo reps) over anyone is too concentrated in this smaller audience. He's winning by more than he generally does, even against the only guy who has ever really beaten him. He'll likely set some more records this contest to go along with his others.

I just am failing to see the point of having character battles anymore because they all end the same, and the only change there really has been is non-Nintendo getting weaker each year. It's not really about my preferences, it's just about this being really boring and meaningless.

--
:>

Trainers still ahead? YEEEESSSS

--
Be a good little washing machine, now... o_0

So i'm putting all my points on Linkdorf 60-65%

I don't have that much only about 18k

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

Imagine this was an ACTUAL Semi Final or QF.....there would be so much more excitement..this is a really good match and at this point a toss up. WE haven't had a toss up match in this contest at all except for maybe Sora/Dante.

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

Hard to know if trends would be replicated if there was something on the line. I wouldn't take this as a serious result personally.

--
http://mypsn.eu.playstation.com/psn/profile/smurfsdabomb.png

It only took Clouderoth 40 minutes to slice off another 100 votes this time. I would expect the lead change at around 11:30 EST.

From: __Smurf__ | #340
Hard to know if trends would be replicated if there was something on the line. I wouldn't take this as a serious result personally.

But if it was it would have been a great match is what i'm saying...the best of the contest by a mile.

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

The lead might change sure.But when the kiddies wake up,it is over.

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

But it is a Pokemon game.So they are related to it better than FF VII.

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Great job this contest, Red/Blue. We're done with a third of the match and they're still leading...yeesh! They may continue to fall too like their past two matches, though I don't know if that'll hold true here too since Red/Blue's not in a SFF-match this time.

What a shame that the best late-game match we have doesn't even count as part of the real contest.....

--
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Nominate E P O N A.

Kids? Kids haven't played REd/Blue, I think you're mistaking them for Halo Kingdom Haarts and SMash bros which do much better during the day.

Pokemon is cutting back more regularly it seems



--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

From: Safer Sephiroth 777 | #345
But it is a Pokemon game.So they are related to it better than FF VII.

Cloud and Seph were in Kingdom Hearts bro.

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

I find it strange that Pokemon games and KH games are considered kiddy.Why?

--
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Just take a look at Sora, it's a FF type character designed to appeal to children. The games are made for children too because all they have to do is mash X.

Pokemon probably because it was a kids phenomenon back in the late 90's...except now more adults play it because their saddos.

--
http://gifsoup.com/view2/3219901/nakedlightning-o.gif

Cloud will over take trainers in the next half an hour. Dammit. But I think there's a good chance that Cloud won't be able to sustain the lead till the end of the match.

--
...