Board 8 > Rigged Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1275

(+) Yeah! (+)

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1994_l.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1994_r.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1998_l.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1998_r.jpg

1994 overperformance incoming! Almost all of its pics apart from Daytona USA (lol) look incredible. 1998 got both its big PC games snubbed again, and that Pokemon pic looks kinda bland.
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Pokemon is pretty good if people remembered Twitch Plays Pokemon.

1994 looks pretty nice, but nothing outside of OoT or Pokemon missing the match would be enough to make me nervous.
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charmander6000 posted...

Pokemon is pretty good if people remembered Twitch Plays Pokemon.

praise helix
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RESIDENT EVIL 2 PICTURE

Now I can officially say RE2 won a sitewide contest in a few days.
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CaptainOfCrush posted...

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1994_l.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1994_r.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1998_l.jpg
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/byg/r4/1998_r.jpg

1994 overperformance incoming! Almost all of its pics apart from Daytona USA (lol) look incredible. 1998 got both its big PC games snubbed again, and that Pokemon pic looks kinda bland.

wow still no half-life?

LeonhartFour posted...

Rigged

From Allen's sticky topic:

SBAllen posted...

Howdy guys, just letting you know that we'll still be accepting pics for the finals up until noon PST tomorrow. We hope to highlight 10-12 games from each year in the final.

I don't know how many people have seen that post yet, so I'm bringing this up in here.
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I'll point this out here in the stats topic. There's a familiar face inside the audience of FF6's match pic.
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PRAISE HELIX!

oh man
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I don't think console pictures are actually banned. Like the image submission form is specifically set up to allow console submissions. It could have been set up like the Games Contest nomination forms where you could only nominate games. Although, if they are allowed, I have no idea why they never show up. 1995 definitely had room for a PS1 picture.
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*sees results for the first time*

Well, I dont understand. Glad I didn't take 97 to win the whole thing as I first wanted to though. Not that it matters.

I guess since there's gonna be 10-12 submissions I'll try to GameCube, GBA and Xbox pics since those might actually have a lot in there
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How is 97 losing here? It's SFF'ing 2001's strongest game.
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Looks like my bracket will end up perfect except for 05/03 lol


What a world
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PoIl6177 posted...

How is 97 losing here? It's SFF'ing 2001's strongest game.

SFF can be quite fickle, I wouldn't be surprised if FFX naturally holds relatively well against FFVII. Also people base their votes on more than one game.
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haloiscoolisbak posted...

Looks like my bracket will end up perfect except for 05/03 lol


What a world

My only mistake was having 2000 in the semis, everything else worked out.
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Lightning Strikes posted...

Getting Halo 3 vs. Super Mario Sunshine flashbacks here.

Underestimating Halo is almost as destructive a force as overestimating Halo!

But yes, Halo > Mario Kart 64 any day. Halo is evidently slightly weaker than Goldeneye, but I might actually take it to win in a match.

Edit: I'll be totally honest. I think the people complaining about fair pics aren't considering strengthening both sides, and are only focusing on disproportionately strengthening the weaker side. 2006 vs. 2011 was the worst example of this.

You realize FFVII quadrupled Halo in 2015, right? And that MK64 and GE were in the poll with a stronger FFVII in 2009 at the same time and did way better, right?

As someone who had Halo 3 over Sunshine, this isn't a comparable situation. Sunshine is not a well liked game.
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https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6065-best-game-ever-day-4-minecraft-vs-halo-combat-evolved
https://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/6076-best-game-ever-day-7-goldeneye-007-vs-diablo-ii

Halo has seen better days.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

I'll point this out here in the stats topic. There's a familiar face inside the audience of FF6's match pic.

Who?

creativename posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

I'll point this out here in the stats topic. There's a familiar face inside the audience of FF6's match pic.

Who?

lettuce Kefka
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creativename posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

I'll point this out here in the stats topic. There's a familiar face inside the audience of FF6's match pic.

Who?

Look on the right of the sword in the logo.

He's got something on his boot, but it isn't sand.
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Match XXXIV – Round 4 – 1994 vs. 1998

Previous Results

1994
Round 1: Defeated 2004, 58.69% - 41.31%
Round 2: Defeated 2011, 62.02% - 37.98%
Round 3: Defeated 1991, 53.38% - 46.62%

1998
Round 1: Defeated 1993, 85.93% - 14.07%
Round 2: Defeated 1992, 72.85% - 27.15%
Round 3: Defeated 2003, 81.35% - 18.65%

Analysis

1998’s quest for the title continued with a crushing quadrupling against 2003. I guess that’s what you get when the first picture is Ocarina of Time/Pokemon Red/Blue vs. Wind Waker/Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire. While 1994 will be a stronger opponent, it is a year with decent anchors and depth 1998 just outclasses the entire field.

In terms of pictures 1994 pretty much got its best case scenario. Both Final Fantasy VI and Super Metroid are first and the year got all of its notable games. Of course 1998 leads off with Ocarina of Time and Pokemon Red/Blue meaning they’ll take out 1994’s two strongest games and build a decent lead. Even the second picture appears to be a win for 1998.

I feel 1994 will be able to break 30% in this match and it has a decent chance at avoiding getting doubled. I wonder if 1998 will face the same difficulties Sephiroth and Samus faced during the villains and female contest where they underperformed in the final rounds. If so we could see 1994 pull off a respectable performance.

charmander6000’s Bracket: 1998 > 1994

charmander6000’s Prediction: 1998 wins, 66.33% - 33.67%
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1994 is avoiding the doubling
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I saw 1998 go below 60% briefly.
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there i am at number 10 and it looks like im there to stay
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17.06% prediction percentage for 2001. I'm guessing 1997 was considered the overall favorite in this match among all bracket entries.
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60/40 at the freeze

Is this the board feeling sorry for 1994 or has GameFAQs gone Sephiroth/Samus in the Villains/Females contest?
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FFVI is legit
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Updated Top 10

Top 10 Closest Matches
1. 1996 – 51.38% vs. 2000 – 48.62% - Round 2 – 2.76%
2. 2001 – 51.74% vs. 1997 – 48.26% - Round 4 – 3.48%
3. 2001 – 52.11% vs. 1995 – 47.89% - Round 3 – 4.22%
4. 1995 – 52.39% vs. 1987 – 47.61% - Round 2 – 4.78%
5. 1994 – 53.38% vs. 1991 – 46.62% - Round 3 – 6.76%
6. 2011 – 54.86% vs. 2006 – 45.14% - Round 1 – 9.72%
7. 1991 – 54.87% vs. 2002 – 45.13% - Round 2 – 9.74%
8. 2003 – 57.67% vs. 2005 – 42.33% - Round 2 – 15.34%
9. 2003 – 58.03% vs. 2013 – 41.97% - Round 1 – 16.06%
10. 1994 – 58.69% vs. 2004 – 41.31% - Round 1 – 17.38%

Top 10 Smallest Vote Gaps
1. 1996 – 7880 vs. 2000 – 7465 – Round 2 – 424
2. 2001 – 9218 vs. 1997 – 8598 – Round 4 – 620
3. 1995 – 8668 vs. 1987 – 7878 – Round 2 – 790
4. 2001 – 10156 vs. 1995 – 9333 – Round 3 – 823
5. 1994 – 9839 vs. 1991 – 8591 – Round 3 – 1247
6. 1991 – 8664 vs. 2002 – 7125 – Round 2 – 1539
7. 2011 – 9262 vs. 2006 – 7622 – Round 1 – 1640
8. 2003 – 9305 vs. 2005 – 6830 – Round 2 – 2475
9. 2003 – 9711 vs. 2013 – 7024 – Round 1 – 2687
10. 2005 – 9799 vs. 2015 – 6803 – Round 1 – 2996

Top 10 Most Popular Polls
1. 2001 vs. 1995 – Round 3 – 19489
2. 1998 vs. 2003 – Round 3 – 19378
3. 1997 vs. 1996 – Round 3 – 19363
4. 1994 vs. 1991 – Round 3 – 18429
5. 2001 vs. 1997 – Round 4 – 17816
6. 1994 vs. 2004 – Round 1 – 17441
7. 1998 vs. 1993 – Round 1 – 17249
8. 2002 vs. 2010 – Round 1 – 17086
9. 1991 vs. 1988 – Round 1 – 16964
10. 2011 vs. 2006 – Round 1 – 16884

Top 10 Least Impressive Winners
1. 1996 – Round 2 – 7880
2. 1991 – Round 2 – 8664
3. 1995 – Round 2 – 8668
4. 2001 – Round 4 – 9218
5. 2011 – Round 1 – 9262
6. 2003 – Round 2 – 9305
7. 2003 – Round 1 – 9711
8. 2005 – Round 1 – 9799
9. 1994 – Round 2 – 9809
10. 1994 – Round 3 – 9839

Top 10 Most Impressive Losers
1. 1995 – Round 3 – 9333
2. 1997 – Round 4 – 8598
3. 1991 – Round 3 – 8591
4. 1987 – Round 2 – 7878
5. 2006 – Round 1 – 7622
6. 2000 – Round 2 – 7456
7. 2004 – Round 1 – 7205
8. 2002 – Round 2 – 7125
9. 2013 – Round 1 – 7024
10. 2005 – Round 2 – 6830

Top 10 Least Predictable Matches
1. 2001 vs. 1997 – Round 4 – 17.06%
2. 1994 vs. 1991 – Round 3 – 19.84%
3. 2003 vs. 2005 – Round 2 – 27.77%
4. 1994 vs. 2011 – Round 2 – 35.74%
5. 2001 vs. 1995 – Round 3 – 36.25%
6. 2005 vs. 2015 – Round 1 – 40.10%
7. 1996 vs. 2000 – Round 2 – 46.81%
8. 1994 vs. 2004 – Round 1 – 49.15%
9. 1997 vs. 1996 – Round 3 – 49.41%
10. 2003 vs. 2013 – Round 1 – 50.17%
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charmander6000 posted...

60/40 at the freeze

Is this the board feeling sorry for 1994 or has GameFAQs gone Sephiroth/Samus in the Villains/Females contest?

probs a combination of who cares now/1994 is a great year in its own right/lets see how close we can get this underdog to RBY/OOT
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charmander6000 posted...

60/40 at the freeze

Is this the board feeling sorry for 1994 or has GameFAQs gone Sephiroth/Samus in the Villains/Females contest?

Tends to happen late in contests when obvious favorite is obvious.
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Score-Brackets-% Right
51----9--------66.67
50----5--------80.00
49----23-------56.52
48----24-------45.83
47----37-------29.73
46----35-------40.00
45----66-------50.00
44----65-------35.38
43----83-------27.71
42----79-------22.78
41----93-------22.58
40----143------32.87
39----150------29.33
38----157------22.93
37----160------14.38
36----155------21.29
35----162------18.52
34----186------21.51
33----160------16.88
32----186------21.51
31----160------21.25
30----150------12.00
29----155------14.19
28----139------15.83
27----151------13.25
26----115------9.57
25----112------13.39
24----100------13.00
23----111------10.81
22----95-------8.42
21----85-------7.06
20----92-------7.61
19----84-------2.38
18----62-------4.84
17----73-------1.37
16----70-------2.86
15----55-------5.45
14----63-------3.17
13----58-------0.00
12----46-------4.35

Everyone with a score of 11 or less got the match wrong.

A bit of a tough match. The brackets near the top do noticeable better. 2001 did have 52% bracket support in the Guru and there are quite a few Board 8 users up there. I suspect things would have looked much worse if 1997 got a fair picture and won. I can only imagine what the complaints would look like if 1997 was the Board 8 favourite.

19 people fell off the Top 50. Former second place KommunistKoala, scaryice, Aegison, Skyridge87, Axl_Rose_85, Black_Rabite, JMForte85, t_kizzle, MechanicalWall, ALAKA, iiicon, DragonNeos, parjax, transience, Anagram, MajorMitch, ProfitProphet, DeathWyvern and ZeldaTPLink did not have 2001 winning.
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Looks like it was just a board 8 thing.
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1998 has no soul and is now sending 1994 to hell.
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Yesterday's X-Stats:

2001 - 50.00%
1997 - 48.26%
1995 - 47.89%
1987 - 45.60%
2008 - 31.60%
1996 - 29.78%
2000 - 28.96%
2007 - 28.01%
1985 - 23.35%
1999 - 21.96%
1990 - 20.10%
2009 - 17.80%
2014 - 16.83%
2012 - 13.13%
1986 - 10.54%
1989 - 9.71%
1979 - 6.72%
1983 - 5.89%
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hope it turns out 1994 > 1997
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yesterday's X-Stats:

1987 - 45.60%
2000 - 28.96%

Amazing

A projected 68.25% win for 1987.
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Wow, 1994 is doing great here. I feel pretty good about CT > OOT after this and yesterday's result.
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and some fools were certain 2000 would make the finals lol
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94 doing pretty good heck yeah
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of course, it's an early vote monster so 98 probably gets up to 65 by the end
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KamikazePotato posted...

CaptainOfCrush posted...

I now think there are four matches where, even within the constraints of SBAllen's chosen format, the loser may at least plausibly bring up the point of pictures costing them the match:

2006 vs 2011
1996 vs 2000
1991 vs 1994
2001 vs 1997

I'm sure somewhere, there exists a person whose only four misses are the ones above. You have my sword, sir.

@CaptainOfCrush


In the immortal words of Tidus:
HA HA HA HA HA

Edit: All joking aside, I'm slightly pissed off. I could very well win the contest if the pics weren't the way they were.

@CaptainOfCrush @KamikazePotato


The only 3 I got wrong: 2006, 1991, 1997

I went from 8th place to... ugh lol
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I hate this contest. Hate it. Come on, 2001... please get a rally going tomorrow!
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98 looking kinda vulnerable, except there's one match left lol
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funny if 2000/96/95/97 were all super strong and we didnt know it til the 2 sides of the bracket met and 2001 just wollops 1998
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2006/2011 was my only miss. Other than that, I was extremely lucky with the picture advantage going in my favour. But I mean, the whole contest felt like a crapshoot because the pictures play a huge role in reminding people what each year had going for them. Without even knowing what the picture format was going to be, some matches were really a shot in the dark. For example, 1996/2000 was excruciating and I just had to hope 1996 screamed the debut of the N64 and Super Mario 64 starting the era of 3D Nintendo games.

people can cry pic unfairness all they want but 94 > 91, 96 > 00 and 01 > 97 all had something in common, 2 super strong gamefaqs games over just 1 and i stuck to that idea when making my bracket


Super Metroid + FFVI > SMW
SM64 + SMRPG > Majora's Mask
FFX + SSBM > FFVII


like i'm not saying the people who got these matches wrong made bad picks, but I wish everyone would stop pretending the 'wrong year' won these tight matches and those who successfully picked these matches right got super lucky or something.
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The site took some time to load for me and the first picture I saw was Sonic 3 and MMX vs Banjo Kazooie and MGS and I thought "how is this fair"
Yeah well good thing it wasn't really the first pictures
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2000 just being Majora's Mask was due to the picture. It's not something you could have known before the contest started. It's similar to how 2006 was missing it's second ace in KH2. Like if 2001 randomly lost FF10 against 1995 and 1997 runs the same Round 4 picture, I would be in the running for a prize. I would also be the first person in line to say I was super lucky because how could anyone predict 2001 would go up to bat without FF10? I certainly didn't.
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