Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest Week 7

(+) Yeah! (+)

Rules
- State which level you're on when you make your pick. Usually it should be obvious, but say it anyway.
- Deadline for making a pick is the start of the earliest game that you're picking. This means that if you are on a level that involves picking multiple teams, ALL of your teams are locked as soon as one of your teams has kicked off. If you don't have a pick in by the start of the early games, you can just pick later games, but if you can't make an eligible pick out of the games that haven't started yet, you can't advance that week.
- Conferences featured in games may be imposed at certain levels, but unless otherwise stated, any game(s) featuring two FBS teams are eligible.
- I'll list some marquee games each week, but you're not restricted to these. If you pick other games, make sure that your lines can be verified.

Level 1: Pick one game against the spread.

Level 2: Down goes Goliath. Pick a ranked team to lose, using the official Selection Committee Rankings if you're still at this level by the time they start coming out and the AP Poll prior to that. The ranked team must not be an underdog of at least 7 points (generally only happens when the favorite is also a ranked team). Alternatively, if you think that no ranked teams will lose (or the only ones that will lose are underdogs of at least 7 points), you can use "no valid option" as your pick and will advance if this comes to pass; this option must be chosen before any valid pick has kicked off.

Level 3: Pick three over/unders; 2 wins or 1 win and 2 pushes passes.

Level 4: Three-team teaser. Tease the lines six points in your favor, two wins and a push or three wins needed to pass.

Level 5: Pleaser. Choose one team and move the line seven points to your detriment.

Level 6: Something fishy in Vegas. Choose one game and please both sides of the spread by 15 points and both sides of the O/U by 25 points. This will give you four total picks consisting of two sets of mutually exclusive outcomes. If any of these four outcomes is a winner, you move on to the next level.

Level 7: Pick one team from each of the ten FBS conferences to win straight-up. You may pick no more than two teams that are double-digit favorites and no more than one of those teams can be favored by at least 20 points. If adhering to this rule would force you to take at least one double-digit underdog, those underdogs need only to cover the spread rather than win straight-up.

Level 7:
TsunamiXXVIII

Level 6:
kevwaffles

Level 5:
5tarscream

Level 4:
KCF0107
Paratroopa1

Level 3:
jcgamer107

Level 2:
bwburke94
Eddv
Jakyl25

Level 1:
Shaduln
SmartMuffin

Marquee games:
Texas Tech (+3.5) @ West Virginia (O/U 75)
Auburn (-7) @ LSU (O/U 44.5)
Georgia Tech (+6.5) @ Miami (FL) (O/U 51.5)
Navy (+3.5) @ Memphis (O/U 72)
Utah (+13) @ USC (O/U 52.5)
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Level 6:
Georgia Tech (+6.5) @ Miami (FL) (O/U 51.5)

Pretty much had decided on this one before the spread even came out.
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Level 5:
Maryland (-4)

For Level 6 is it 2 picks or 4? I don't really understand it.
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1 pick, 4 possible win conditions.

I win if any of these happen:
-GT -8.5
-Miami -21.5
-Under 26.5 hah
-Over 76.5
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So realistically you need Georgia to win by 9 or a shootout. Got it.
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Yes, but don't ever shorten GT to Georgia. uga is the one that gets called Georgia, so that's basically sacrilege.

:)
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I haven't been participating in this so far.

I'm just here to pre-emptively call the Cal over WSU upset. Heard it here first!
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I hope not. I really want just about every possible team they can put over uga to stay undefeated as long as possible so they don't get the idea of putting them in the playoffs even after Alabama beats them.
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I'm almost forced to make the Pac-12 my "double-digits but less than 20" pick. No one's actually favored by 20, but UCLA-Arizona is the only one that's in single digits. There are a couple that were 10.5 when I first looked last night and are down to 10 flat now, so I may change picks if they drop far enough.

ACC: Virginia
American: Temple
Big 12: TCU
Big Ten: Michigan
C-USA: Southern Miss (22.5-point favorite)
MAC: Toledo
MWC: San Diego State
Pac-12: Washington (18-point favorite)
SEC: Auburn
Sun Belt: Louisiana-Monroe

I don't like that Auburn pick at all. Please let a Pac-12 line shift in my favor!
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Level 4 (line already teased):
TCU at Kansas St. (+13)
Florida St. at Duke (+13.5)
New Mexico St. (-0.5) at Georgia Southern
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SmartMuffin posted...

I haven't been participating in this so far.

I'm just here to pre-emptively call the Cal over WSU upset. Heard it here first!

Nah. I was skeptical of WSU until they went into Oregon and strangled the life out of the Ducks. Now that they've survived a significant road test, I think they'll wallop a near-lifeless Cal.

Fuck you Clemson you are not allowed to struggle to Syracuse.
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The other acceptable outcome is one of those chaos weekends where tons of top teams lose, but I have a hard time imagining uga losing to Missouri.
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Thanks to the playoff, this loss means nothing BTW
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They'd definitely leave them out over 4 no loss P5 teams. Probably not happening, but still.
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kevwaffles posted...

They'd definitely leave them out over 4 no loss P5 teams. Probably not happening, but still.

yeah this really would have been useful in all those years when every conference had an undefeated team
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I'm not exactly putting that forth as a likely possibility. But 3 teams isn't exactly terribly unlikely, and if Alabama and Georgia meet as 1 and 2 my concern is they just drop the loser to 3.

Edit: Meant 3 teams, not 3 conferences. And not counting conference championships, I guess.
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Yeah I realized that as a Washington fan a Clemson loss doesn't really affect me, because a 13-0 Washington is almost certainly not getting excluded no matter what, and a 12-1 Washington would get beaten out by a 12-1 Clemson anyway. Clemson would need to lose another for this to actually open up any breathing room.

Yeah, I definitely agree that the scenario where this keeps them out is damn near impossible.

But they've failed me in that uga will climb above them.
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Paratroopa1 posted...

SmartMuffin posted...

I haven't been participating in this so far.

I'm just here to pre-emptively call the Cal over WSU upset. Heard it here first!

Nah. I was skeptical of WSU until they went into Oregon and strangled the life out of the Ducks. Now that they've survived a significant road test, I think they'll wallop a near-lifeless Cal.

good fucking god nevermind

I kinda wonder if the air quality is making a difference. Probably not, but in theory Cal would be more used to it.
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the cougars are possibly the worst college football team ever

You know what, after that, fuck trying to pick these games, I've got 12 teased lines here I like, I'm writing them all down and then random.org'ing it:

TCU -0.5
Michigan -1.5
South Carolina +9
Purdue +23.5
Auburn -1.5
Miami -0.5
Texas +15.5
Texas A&M +9
Utah +19
Minnesota +10.5
Boise State +11.5
Stanford -4

random.org: 10, 6, 8

Level 4:

Miami (FL) -0.5
Texas A&M +9
Minnesota +10.5

that's fine, sure

Wow. I didn't even watch. I didn't expect to be THAT right!
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Wait, I missed that. Wazzu lost too?
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kevwaffles posted...

I'm not exactly putting that forth as a likely possibility. But 3 teams isn't exactly terribly unlikely, and if Alabama and Georgia meet as 1 and 2 my concern is they just drop the loser to 3.

Edit: Meant 3 teams, not 3 conferences. And not counting conference championships, I guess.

Well, it is still possible that Clemson is the odd one out. ACC is the only P5 conference with no more undefeated teams, right? Big Ten has Wisconsin or Penn State, Big 12 has TCU, Pac-12 has Washington, and SEC has Georgia and Alabama.

...even before last night's upsets, the conference with the most undefeated teams was the American. We could actually get the rare Go5 ranked-v-ranked next week.
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Actually Miami is undefeated, but they're losing that today anyway.
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All these teams taking an L gives Penn State a little more lee-way.

If both Bama and Georgia make it through the regular season unbeaten then they should both get in the Playoff, regardless of SEC Title game winner (unless Bama routs Georgia I guess).
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Yep, see, people already starting in with that. Like the SEC East isn't a pile of shit.
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I think Clemson only needs a single TCU or Washington loss to control their own destiny, 12-1 only leaves them out in the case of 13-0 SEC champ, 13-0 Big Ten champ, 13-0 Washington, and 13-0 TCU

like, I think any of them eating a loss would drop them below Clemson. Clemson's strength of schedule is just SO much better than ANY of those teams aside from maybe Penn State, but even that's really questionable

Actually 12-1 Ohio State might get in over 12-1 Clemson too but not sure

Level 3:
Utah @ USC OVER 52.5
Missouri @ Georgia UNDER 56.5
Ohio St @ Nebraska UNDER 58
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*Receiving team gets penalty for 2 people wearing 33 after GT touchdown*
*Commentators proceed to make fun of GT for the next 30 seconds*

Lol, fucking morons
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Oh that was the best start to a half ever!
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Well I have no chance of advancing. GT isn't going to score in this rain.
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Miami just barely covering that -0.5 spread

So far my teaser picks are 6-1, because Auburn sucks

Minnesota's going to be one of the ones that actually doesn't pan out. argh

Back to level four next week
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I just noticed that Minnesota decided to bail me out, so I'm through to level 5

11 of my 12 teaser picks were right, actually! Most of them pretty significantly

I didn't realize Level 3 was actually purgatory
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Lol every team in the PNW

Seriously the pac 12 is such a cluster. Anyone can beat anyone.

(Except the Beavers)
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lmao the Slack 12
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SmartMuffin posted...

Lol every team in the PNW

Seriously the pac 12 is such a cluster. Anyone can beat anyone.

(Except the Beavers)

Oregon State scored more points this weekend than Washington, Washington State, and Oregon combined

let that sink in for a moment

(and still lost)
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