Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1303

(+) Yeah! (+)

Cut Man and Guts Man were both good, too (I still kinda think Guts Man would've been a better Robot Master choice than Metal Man), but Protoman was the star.

Pharaoh Man, too, for the fact that he wore a cape and for this one moment:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7dSJN5LgsE" data-time="
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You know what we've been forgetting to check because it hasn't really mattered? The detailed US voting chart!

Tifa is doing terribly in the midwest. However, she's doing quite well on the western coast. The longer time passes, and the US timezone focus shifts to the west and away from the midwest, the better she will do.
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KamikazePotato posted...

The projections I ran had Squall being around Dante's level right now, and while Dante isn't as strong as he used to be either, Zelda still outperformed Ganondorf by 6% in those matches. That's a big deal!

oh yeah I'm not trying to say she didn't boost a ton because she clearly did

it's just hard to say by quite how much yet

(also Tifa's got the lead back under 400)
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Yeah Protoman was awesome. Best part of the Mega Man cartoon and main reason I'm a fan of his too
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I have little exposure to the Mega Man cartoon, but that Pharoah Man video made me laugh

This does too

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJKcxBK1RNI" data-time="
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KamikazePotato posted...

We don't actually think there's a stuffer

Or do we?

something odd is defiantly going on in Peru. way more votes from there then there should be. could be all legit votes with some popular VPN routing there customers through there?
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honestly I'd like Mega Man in the games a lot more if he had the personality he has in the cartoon
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Yeah the Peru VPN screens its users by asking if they like Mega Man X games first so it makes sense he'd be killing it down there
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Montana is currently 92% for Tifa. Some diehard *spoilers*.com fans there.
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actually the same would probably be true for Mega Man X

they had an episode in the cartoon where X came from the future but because he was so technologically advanced he kept overkilling everything
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I can't tell if people are being serious about Peru or not!
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looks like Peru's at it again
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They are serious about Peru.
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Tifa ends the hour on a sour note, although she went 50-50 over the course of that hour. At least it's better Hour 3, which she lost by 168 votes.
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Cartoon X is amusing and kinda better than normal X but I'm not sure that character would work in the X games

I guess if you went full bore with Zero as the main character it could. I feel like cartoon X is more suited to be a supporting character
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For posterity:



I think MMX has like a 90% chance of winning this, but if any match is going to test the trends of this trend-less contest, it's this one.
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But yeah Cartoon Mega Man is peak Mega Man too imo

I don't exactly love the cartoon honestly since it's a bit too story of the week for me and I think the cast style works better with a bit more continuity but I liked its portrayal of most of the robots quite a bit.
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Oh that's right, the true star of the Mega Man cartoon is Gutsman's ass.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B5TBeX405bc" data-time="
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LeonhartFour posted...

looks like Peru's at it again

It might not even be vote stuffing this time, since the other 3 matches don't look out of the ordinary. Currently, we have these results from Peru:

Luigi 63.27%
Miles 'Tails' Prower 36.73%

Tifa Lockheart 10.2%
Mega Man X 89.8%

Sephiroth 55.1%
Amaterasu 44.9%

Ryu 67.35%
KOS-MOS 32.65%

In the earlier matches from this contest when I suspected vote stuffing from Peru, the stuffer would heavily favor one character over the other (usually the loser). All 4 matches from the day of Draven's round 1 match had the loser getting over 80% in Peru.

I went back through previous MMX matches and found these:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3826-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3795-
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3733-

It seems like MMX is just really popular in Peru. MMX even beat Link straight up in Peru.
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Look at Luigi go. Seeing Luigi putting up 70% on Tails is nice.

I feel like Mega Man wouldn't be as close to Tifa as X is, so that's an interesting match. Hope X holds on!

_SecretSquirrel posted...

Oh that's right, the true star of the Mega Man cartoon is Gutsman's ass.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B5TBeX405bc" data-time="

Thank you for this, it has been probably 10 years since I've seen this video
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The night vote won't be kind for Mega Man X. It's just not the UK, but every major European nation with the exception of Spain is going hard for Tifa. This could be the largest comeback of the contest if it is successful. I think it will come down to whether or not Tifa can win the morning/day vote when North America wakes up again.
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The SJWFF is absolutely real this year. There's no way Tifa should be this close to X naturally. And just look at this KOS-MOS performance.
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There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.
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lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

Mega Man characters have always massively overperformed in South America. This is not a new phenomena
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lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

There's actually 51 votes from Peru right now. It should be noted that the percentages on the voting map also include the registered user bonus applied.
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lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

Looking at Luster's vote numbers a few posts back, it is likely 49 votes from Peru (or a multiple of 49), at a ratio of 44:5.
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MMX went up to 90.2% in Peru (compared to 89.2% earlier), which seems to confirm 51 votes.
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LusterSoldier posted...

lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

There's actually 51 votes from Peru right now. It should be noted that the percentages on the voting map also include the registered user bonus applied.

How do you know the voting total?
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lordjers posted...

LusterSoldier posted...

lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

There's actually 51 votes from Peru right now. It should be noted that the percentages on the voting map also include the registered user bonus applied.

How do you know the voting total?

He's guessing from the percentage size

Like exactly 75-25 in a country means a multiple of 4 votes, for a smallish country itd likely be under 100
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haloiscoolisbak posted...

lordjers posted...

LusterSoldier posted...

lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

There's actually 51 votes from Peru right now. It should be noted that the percentages on the voting map also include the registered user bonus applied.

How do you know the voting total?

He's guessing from the percentage size

Like exactly 75-25 in a country means a multiple of 4 votes

Well yeah but I figured there was a feature that I was missing...
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lordjers posted...

haloiscoolisbak posted...

lordjers posted...

LusterSoldier posted...

lordjers posted...

There's probably like 11 guys voting in Peru so it wouldn't be hard to reach high percentages for one character or the other.

There's actually 51 votes from Peru right now. It should be noted that the percentages on the voting map also include the registered user bonus applied.

How do you know the voting total?

He's guessing from the percentage size

Like exactly 75-25 in a country means a multiple of 4 votes

Well yeah but I figured there was a feature that I was missing...

I mean post 278 makes it quite clear his reasoning
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haloiscoolisbak posted...

I mean post 278 makes it quite clear his reasoning

Didn't see that one as I hadn't refreshed the page for a while.
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Wow I actually made the leaderboard again. I don't think there were very many quality brackets this year. :)
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Alright, pretty sure Tifa's got this, barring rallies and sheningans.
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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

The SJWFF is absolutely real this year. There's no way Tifa should be this close to X naturally. And just look at this KOS-MOS performance.

If that were true, then the finals would be Chloe vs Ellie. Sans wouldn't be far behind them.
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NowItsAngeTime posted...

Advokaiser posted...

The only thing I'm really wondering is: Why is KOS-MOS this strong?

Is she the strongest character we have from a trilogy that virtually no one has played?

I think many people have actually played it

But KOSMOS has always been popular for being badass attractive robot waifu

She does some cool memorable things

Agree on all points.

Entire fleets fall to the belly beam of doom! lol
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Tifa will storm home here. I actually took a gander at the maps and yeah all of Eurasia is hers
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People said Geralt had FF7 Lite trends. We're gonna see actual FF7 trends in this one
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The anTIFA crowd can suck it. She smells blood
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Tifa's knocking on the door, I won't be surprised if she's in the lead by the time I wake up in the morning.
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Tifa cut for 13 straight updates until Mega Man X just now won an update by 1 vote.
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Tifa almost certainly takes the lead. Big question is if she'll hold it. She probably won't be up much more than a couple hundred votes by the time America wakes back up. But the second day vote should be a lot more kind to her than the first one too given FFVII's typical trends and the facts that the majority of anti votes were likely largely cast in the first set and Eurasia being awake for it, so a slim lead may be enough.

Lead entering this time was right around 400 which is where I felt the over/under was correctly placed so yeah it'll be interesting
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She'll probably take the lead around 5 AM Eastern, which will give her... four hours(?) to really build it before the US is awake again. Anyone's ballgame, I guess.
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Maybe 4 AM Eastern. She's flying now.
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The day vote that we knew of doesnt exist anymore. Tifa will lose ground once NA wakes up but it's still going to be heavily influenced by Europe. MMX will cut votes but uuuuh if this pace keeps up, he has a lot of work to do.
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She may accelerate and take it sooner than that. She started doing work a bit over an hour ago bit the West Coast was probably largely still awake then, so yeah, could definitely be quicker. I was basing the couple hundred estimate on last hour.

Obviously every bit of extra lead she has helps. I think 200 is the minimum I'd humor her winning with though
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We're gonna have only about 1/3 of the votes left to get by the day and many of the anti FF7 people already woulda voted yesterday. As long as she mantains a lead going into the day she has a shot imo.
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GO MMX!

This is not looking good tho
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BOOO Teeeefa. boooooo!
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