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Frostmourne 01/15/20 4:51:31 PM #1: |
Which one would you choose?
Vote
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CosmicShadows 01/15/20 5:23:18 PM #2: |
Lottery tickets. You are bound to win something. <_<
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malenz 01/15/20 5:24:45 PM #3: |
CosmicShadows posted...
Lottery tickets. You are bound to win something. <_<yeah like $20 or $50 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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nemu 01/15/20 5:25:58 PM #4: |
$500 isn't particularly a lot, so I guess the scratch tickets just because it'd be a bit fun.
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El Mexicano Texano 01/15/20 5:27:24 PM #5: |
Scratch offs you're going to get about 60-70% profit normally.
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Master_Bass 01/15/20 5:27:42 PM #6: |
I'd take the cash since it's a sure thing. $500 isn't much, but it would be a nice little windfall for something fun.
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Purely 01/15/20 5:28:08 PM #7: |
$500 is nice but nothing all that special. The lottery tickets could be life changing, and even if it's a bunch of losers, you're bound to get at least half that back. Totally worth taking the risk.
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fohstick 01/15/20 5:34:48 PM #8: |
$500
You're better off getting struck by lightning than winning the lotto ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Umbreon 01/15/20 5:35:43 PM #9: |
$500
I don't trust my luck with the lotto. --- This is a mobile account, forgive any errors. ~DYL~ 12-18-19: Donald Trump has been impeached. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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IdiotMachine 01/15/20 5:36:23 PM #10: |
fohstick posted...
$500The jackpot, yes, but not the lower winnings. The question posed by the OP has an objective better answer, if you spend the time to calculate the odds and factor in opportunity costs, but... AIN'T NOBODY GOT TIME FOR THAT. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Gobstoppers12 01/15/20 5:37:54 PM #11: |
Give me the scratch-offs. I don't have any current bills or obligations that I'd need $500 for, so the prospect of possibly getting more than that for free is better than some random cash I'm going to waste anyway.
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EndOfDiscOne 01/15/20 5:42:47 PM #12: |
fohstick posted...
$500I too would rather get struck by lightning than win the lotto --- I am the Cheese! I am the best character on the show! I am better than both the salami and the bologna COMBINED! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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gatorsPENSbucs 01/15/20 5:43:49 PM #13: |
Easily the scratch offs. Id take $500 in scratch offs if I got to pick them. 10 $30 ones and 10 $20 ones and Id be set.
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Frostmourne 01/15/20 6:09:43 PM #14: |
Close poll though.
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Unsugarized_Foo 01/15/20 6:11:21 PM #15: |
Scratch offs. The odds are decent enough to get more than $500
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fire_bolt 01/15/20 6:16:07 PM #16: |
It is worth noting that losing lottery tickets can be deducted from your taxes if you happen to win enough to need to declare your winnings as taxes (or some other form of gambling such as casino winnings). Odds of winning a prize on a $1 scratcher are about 1 in 4 to 5 with the average winning ticket being worth about $2.50. So realistically you are *on average* making a decision between $500 cash and $500 in winning tickets plus $500 in tax deductions. I'd argue the scratchers are worth it for the offhand chance of getting something better unless you REALLY need the guaranteed cash. Source: Worked in a gas station when they first started selling lottery tickets in my state. Had to learn all this crap for the job
EDIT: Source for $1 ticket odds. Trying to find average payout source, I know I used to have it https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/575845391199764482/667145577112535106/unknown.png --- Please, call me Bolt ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Alkaloid 01/15/20 6:21:57 PM #17: |
$500 because the time investment of going through $1000 in scratchers isn't worth whatever statistical profit I'm likely to get compared to getting the cash upfront
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Hinxray 01/15/20 6:22:16 PM #18: |
$500 really isn't much.
Give me the $1000 in scratch off so I can maybe win a million. lol. Even if I win nothing, no biggie. --- Served 10 years in the army. Now living good. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Purely 01/15/20 6:36:20 PM #19: |
fire_bolt posted...
It is worth noting that losing lottery tickets can be deducted from your taxes if you happen to win enough to need to declare your winnings as taxes (or some other form of gambling such as casino winnings). Odds of winning a prize on a $1 scratcher are about 1 in 4 to 5 with the average winning ticket being worth about $2.50. So realistically you are *on average* making a decision between $500 cash and $500 in winning tickets plus $500 in tax deductions. I'd argue the scratchers are worth it for the offhand chance of getting something better unless you REALLY need the guaranteed cash. Source: Worked in a gas station when they first started selling lottery tickets in my state. Had to learn all this crap for the job $1 tickets have the worst odds. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tyranthraxus 01/15/20 6:40:54 PM #20: |
I think you're going to win about $500 on the tickets on average so I'll take that bet.
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fire_bolt 01/15/20 6:45:27 PM #21: |
Purely posted...
Which is why I was using them. That's worst case scenario. The best odds my state has are on $30 tickets where the odds of winning are around 1 in 2.75 and the average prize is around $50 IIRC --- Please, call me Bolt ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Frostmourne 01/15/20 9:31:02 PM #22: |
Hmm. <_<
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TheMikh 01/15/20 9:32:28 PM #23: |
how much are the scratch-offs each, what is the probability of winning, and how much do they pay out
this is important --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Vicious_Dios 01/15/20 9:34:19 PM #24: |
Scratch offs.
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samurai bandit 01/15/20 10:03:00 PM #25: |
Scratch just for fun
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Medussa 01/15/20 10:20:02 PM #26: |
in my state, the tickets should have a higher EV. even discounting the harder hits.
$1000 worth of $20 tickets would pay out, on average, $750. Or $620 ignoring any hit harder than 1200:1 $1000 worth of $2 tickets would pay out, on average, $660. Or $510 ignoring any hit harder than 1200:1 I'd gamble, unless you forced me to take $1 tickets. those might have a low enough EV, plus they're annoying and the Free Tickets are an added annoyance. --- Boom! That's right, this is all happening! You cannot change the channel now! ...found dead, in her bathtub. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Makeveli_lives 01/15/20 10:32:09 PM #27: |
Bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush, 500
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Frostmourne 01/16/20 1:03:04 AM #28: |
I'd scratch just for the fun too.
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gguirao 01/16/20 3:38:53 AM #29: |
The guaranteed cash.
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Disengaged 01/16/20 4:01:38 AM #30: |
I'll take the 1000 bucks in scratch n sniff stickers.
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ssjevot 01/16/20 4:06:30 AM #31: |
If it's $1 tickets that sounds like a chore. If they're bigger ones that isn't so bad.
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DrizztLink 01/16/20 4:07:39 AM #32: |
500 is 500, but I could win anything from scratch tickets.
I could even win 500! --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ssjevot 01/16/20 4:08:17 AM #33: |
DrizztLink posted...
500 is 500, but I could win anything from scratch tickets. Sick reference bro. --- Favorite Games: BlazBlue: Central Fiction, Street Fighter III: Third Strike, Bayonetta, Bloodborne thats a username you habe - chuckyhacksss ... Copied to Clipboard!
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toyota 01/16/20 5:20:52 AM #34: |
I personally know someone who won $250k from a scratch off so id try my luck lmao
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SiO4 01/16/20 5:29:04 AM #35: |
El Mexicano Texano posted...
Scratch offs you're going to get about 60-70% profit normally. Profit?...You mean return. 60 - 70% is a 40 - 30% loss. --- "Whatever the reason you're on Mars, I'm glad you're there, and I wish I was with you." ~Carl Sagan. Currently playing: Flight Simulator X.~PC ... Copied to Clipboard!
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sLaCkEr408___RJ 01/16/20 5:30:39 AM #36: |
EndOfDiscOne posted...
I too would rather get struck by lightning than win the lottoLol ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Perascamin 01/16/20 5:49:20 AM #37: |
Hinxray posted...
$500 really isn't much. --- I've grown. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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solosnake 01/16/20 6:19:00 AM #38: |
Easily $500. Who the fuck wants to scratch off $1000 worth of tickets, that sounds like a nightmare, the you would have all that scratch off dust everywhere for the end of time. Then you also have to go find somewhere to cash in the winning tickets
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miki_sauvester 01/16/20 6:27:19 AM #39: |
I'd just resell the scratch tickets to somebody who likes these things, at a discount if necessary.
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fire_bolt 01/16/20 8:15:48 AM #40: |
SiO4 posted...
Yeah but in this scenario even a 40% "loss" would be a 20% profit over taking the $500. Like, the odds are EXTREMELY in your favor that $1000 worth of scratchers pays back over $500 even if you get the worst odds $1 tickets. As long as the EV of your tickets is AT LEAST 50% of their purchase price then you'd break even with the cash --- Please, call me Bolt ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DarkChozoGhost 01/16/20 10:32:11 AM #41: |
Are they all the same type of ticket? I think that increases your odds
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Frostmourne 01/17/20 11:01:18 AM #42: |
Hmm. <_<
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