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ZeldaTPLink 04/16/20 7:35:03 AM #307: |
You guys are missing the fact that if Sonic beats SMB, the difference between Luster and ctes goes down to 1, not stay at 3.
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ctesjbuvf 04/16/20 7:36:32 AM #308: |
ZeldaTPLink posted...
Luster picked Uncharted in Round 1, he can't get those points in Round 2 now. While if Mario Kart beats FF14, you do. Add that to that the Sonic points and that's 4 points you can gain over him. Yes, but that's why I'm not eliminated yet and will eliminate him if it happens. It's not just four points I can gain over him, it's four points I have to gain over him. I need both Sonic and Mario Kart to win and if it happens I eliminate him. He needs just one of Super Meat Boy and Final Fantasy XIV to win to eliminate me since he's ahead (even if he only gets points himself for a Meat Boy victory). Oxbridge posted... Yes, you're right. Probably a mistake in NewerShadow's code somewhere. In any case, gotta hope for a Sonic victory! --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/16/20 7:37:30 AM #309: |
Oh never mind, thought you were asking why you were still alive.
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ctesjbuvf 04/16/20 7:38:26 AM #310: |
ZeldaTPLink posted...
You guys are missing the fact that if Sonic beats SMB, the difference between Luster and ctes goes down to 1, not stay at 3. No, not at all, again, that's why I'm in the game still. But if SMB beats Sonic, the difference goes to 5 with our only difference left being that I picked Mario Kart 8 to win this round, while he picked Uncharted. Obviously he can't get points for that match, but it wouldn't matter if I did, since the smallest I could make the difference then would be 3. Edit: Say the above post now. That explains. --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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NewerShadow 04/16/20 8:56:16 AM #311: |
ctesjbuvf posted...
I don't understand how I'm not up for elimination tomorrow. As far as I can tell, I should be eliminated by Luster any outcome where Super Meat Boy wins. He's currently three points ahead of me and the only differences in our brackets is I picked Sonic and Mario Kart this round, while he picked SMB and Uncharted. That means I need those four points to not end behind him.Human error - I forgot to move you out of my backup file for dead brackets when Shovel Knight rallied to beat octopath. You are indeed dead in any scenario when SMB wins. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/16/20 9:12:26 AM #312: |
Yeah, I thought it might be that. It's perfectly fair!
--- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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squexa 04/16/20 10:07:05 AM #313: |
Bah, I took a look at all the brackets and looks like @Ngamer64 and I are the biggest threats to each other because we're the only ones that took the same set of late bracket upsets (Xenoblade, Witcher 3, Dark Souls).
--- congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/16/20 10:07:53 AM #314: |
Went through the guru to see when I'd be up for elimination. Seems like Ringworm is closest to my bracket which means we'd be up for elimination in the fourth round (division 2 final). I could be up for elimination earlier (Most likely, Persona 5 vs. Sonic Mania/Super Meat Boy, if everything else goes wrong), but I didn't check.
--- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 86/96 Today's Picks: Witcher 3, SMG2, F:NV, GoW ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/16/20 10:08:39 AM #315: |
Only 11 people have not BOTW winning. Damn.
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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FFDragon 04/16/20 10:14:52 AM #316: |
Probably because BotW winning is the easiest money in the bracket. If anything breaks 40 on it I'll be shocked.
--- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? #theresafreakingghostafterus ... Copied to Clipboard!
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squexa 04/16/20 10:16:43 AM #317: |
Also @Ranticoot and I both took (Nier, Witcher 3, Dark Souls). Man, why the hell did we take Nier over Skyrim.
--- congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/16/20 10:50:37 AM #318: |
On one hand, it's unlikely anything challenges BotW without a rally. On the other hand, calling a rally correctly likely gives you a prize winning bracket (assuming your other picks aren't too crazy) while even a great bracket with BotW winning may give you nothing.
--- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 86/96 Today's Picks: Witcher 3, SMG2, F:NV, GoW ... Copied to Clipboard!
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squexa 04/16/20 10:57:52 AM #319: |
Frankly, its not a bad idea to take Witcher 3 to win it all. If you believe that Witcher 3 will get a rally against Skyrim, the match against BotW is the very next day so the rally will spillover.
And because so few people have Witcher 3 winning the tournament, you have a great shot at winning at least a prize as long as you have a competent bracket for the rest of the matches. --- congrats to BKSheikah the BYIG guru ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/16/20 11:02:22 AM #320: |
Come on now, rallies work for small games like Shovel Knight which barely won. In order to beat the big guys you need to have a strong rally from multiple sources.
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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davidponte 04/16/20 11:18:59 AM #321: |
Assuming KH3 loses tomorrow, it looks like we're going to go back to a four way tie for first, as Jona and I took it to win, whereas Paratroopa and joelypoely have Portal and are two back.
Still technically on top despite the terrible pick! --- The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ranticoot 04/16/20 11:29:55 AM #322: |
squexa posted...
Also Ranticoot and I both took (Nier, Witcher 3, Dark Souls). Man, why the hell did we take Nier over Skyrim.I took it because I thought my bracket needed another crazy upset and 2B in the last character battle gave me some faith and I kind of bought into the idea that everyone would shit on Bethesda games (obviously Fallout more than Skyrim but Skyrim would take a little hit) I don't know what I was really thinking either but I do feel great about the other two parts of that --- Born to lose, live to win! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Advokaiser 04/16/20 6:12:17 PM #323: |
azuarc posted...
11 point deficit. So it looks like I need: Actually, I think GTAV wins sort of comfortably against P4G from what we say yesterday. I'd be more worried about Portal 2/RDR2 (too close to call yet) and DS/TLOU (also too close to call yet). --- It's an honor being part of Board 8's community. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/16/20 8:13:02 PM #324: |
Alright, 10 minutes in, but I'm calling Sonic vs. Meat Boy over.
Time to go head to head on FFXIV vs. Mario Kart 8, Luster! --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ringworm 04/16/20 8:29:11 PM #325: |
charmander6000 posted...
Went through the guru to see when I'd be up for elimination. Seems like Ringworm is closest to my bracket which means we'd be up for elimination in the fourth round (division 2 final). I could be up for elimination earlier (Most likely, Persona 5 vs. Sonic Mania/Super Meat Boy, if everything else goes wrong), but I didn't check.I would be a bit surprised if I'm still alive by Rd 4 to be honest. Like every other contest, every day I'm looking for my name on the "eliminated by"side of eliminations, rather than me ever doing well enough to eliminate someone. Think I have made enough bad picks in later rounds which not many others were silly enough to make to avoid elimination so far, that's one consolation. --- ~ Ringworm ~ Congrats to Advokaiser - Guru champion - CBX ... Copied to Clipboard!
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charmander6000 04/16/20 8:31:14 PM #326: |
Pretty much. Not too many people have taken Persona 5 to the semi-finals so unless things go horribly wrong you'll survive for a while.
--- Game of the Decade 2 - Current Score: 94/104 Today's Picks: Persona 5, SM, KH3, SFV ... Copied to Clipboard!
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plasmabeam 04/16/20 8:32:02 PM #327: |
Nothing beats the sweet taste of elimination in Round 2.
Thanks, KH3. Glad I didn't buy you last week when you were on sale for $10 at Best Buy. --- ~Jacksonville Jaguars~ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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tyder21 04/16/20 8:59:25 PM #328: |
Well, looks like I'm done after today. GG bracket
--- http://letterboxd.com/tyder21/ Advokaiser Was Here ... Copied to Clipboard!
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MoogleKupo141 04/16/20 9:10:47 PM #329: |
well fuck
--- For your BK_Sheikah00. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/16/20 9:18:01 PM #330: |
charmander6000 posted...
Pretty much. Not too many people have taken Persona 5 to the semi-finals so unless things go horribly wrong you'll survive for a while. yay! --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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gamer man 04/16/20 9:54:30 PM #331: |
plasmabeam posted...
Nothing beats the sweet taste of elimination in Round 2. I never thought KHIII would be letting people down this long after release but here it is ... Copied to Clipboard!
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handsomeboy2012 04/16/20 10:26:16 PM #332: |
The problem is having any expectations for KH3 in this contest
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fpce666 04/17/20 3:14:58 PM #333: |
Hey guys we can call it a day!! So what eliminations have we for tomorrow ?
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#334 | Post #334 was unavailable or deleted. |
NewerShadow 04/17/20 5:00:56 PM #335: |
Division 7: much ado about nothing
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Safer_777 04/17/20 5:56:45 PM #336: |
Dom Dragoon is getting gangabanged by so many guys!
--- So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZeldaTPLink 04/17/20 5:59:32 PM #337: |
He has Arkhram City getting to the semifinals I suppose the gangbanging will be next round.
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Advokaiser 04/17/20 6:02:55 PM #338: |
UltimaterializerX posted...
Welp. Thanks, bro. --- It's an honor being part of Board 8's community. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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azuarc 04/17/20 7:15:22 PM #339: |
Aww yeah, finally had a day of getting everything right, and I'm about to have a second.
Advokaiser posted... Actually, I think GTAV wins sort of comfortably against P4G from what we say yesterday. I'd be more worried about Portal 2/RDR2 (too close to call yet) and DS/TLOU (also too close to call yet). I never count Persona out on this website. The only reason it's not in my bracket is because I thought people wouldn't regard P4G as P4 with upside. --- VGMC13 champion: Ar Nosurge - Class::EXSPHERE_NOSURGE; ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/17/20 7:58:20 PM #340: |
azuarc posted...
Aww yeah, finally had a day of getting everything right, and I'm about to have a second. P4G FTW --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#341 | Post #341 was unavailable or deleted. |
SuperNiceDog 04/17/20 11:57:53 PM #342: |
One thing to remember guys is, right now, an average bracket has a score of 79. I looked it up:
@Advokaiser, it's easy to lose sight of this when we're constantly looking at Ngamer's Guru leaderboard, but we're really going up against the best of the best. Right now, only one person, @SgtSphynx, has a bracket that is still alive but BELOW the average. He has a 75 but is still alive. Everyone else in the Guru contest that is still alive has an above average bracket, 122 out of 123 peoplel. That is 99%. For example, I have an awful bracket, my score is an 89, that is terrible right now in the Guru contest 114th out of 123. But that is still in the 83rd percentile amongst all brackets. Even a really bad bracket for the Guru contest is a great bracket compared to all bracket. Being on Board 8 helps tremendously compared to if you just made your bracket solo. --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/18/20 12:02:00 AM #343: |
rip @Dragon66116 !!!
--- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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NewerShadow 04/18/20 12:04:20 AM #344: |
Division 8: Much ado about nothing, part 2
Realistically only 2 people are being eliminated tomorrow, but if you're showing up a lot in here, you're probably either on the brink of elimination or you're heavily dependent on one of these results going further.
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Dragon66116 04/18/20 12:05:37 AM #345: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
rip @Dragon66116 !!!F --- Suddenly, Mudkips. Thousands of them.(preferably OVER 9000!!!!!!!!!!!!!) Congrats to Advokaiser, 2018 Guru champ. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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_SecretSquirrel 04/18/20 12:06:33 AM #346: |
Suffice to say, both NieR and Skyrim are pivotal to my bracket at this point.
--- Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/18/20 12:19:15 AM #347: |
I'm not showing up on the lists(yes) yay!!!! Probably because I took a ton of risks. @_SecretSquirrel we're on team Nier letttsss go!!! I have it beating Pokemon.
--- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Zylothewolf 04/18/20 6:32:48 AM #348: |
Oh no I will be eliminated when Pokemon losses to Rayman!
--- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Advokaiser >Me ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/18/20 6:44:47 AM #349: |
I'm guessing division 4 in round 3 will be when people start getting mass eliminated. I'm sure a few will go out in division 2 as well, but 4 should be the next big day.
--- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/18/20 2:05:12 PM #350: |
Zylothewolf posted...
Oh no I will be eliminated when Pokemon losses to Rayman! Rayman could win(lol) --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/18/20 8:27:32 PM #351: |
ctesjbuvf posted...
It seems Luster and I have identical brackets post round 2, but he's five points ahead, meaning I also need Sonic and Mario Kart to advance a round in which case he's eliminated by me instead. And so it seems I did get out of round 2. Ready to die with Three Houses together with I assume quite a few people. --- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Zylothewolf 04/18/20 8:30:00 PM #352: |
SuperNiceDog posted...
Rayman could win(lol) Oh man I am so lucky! --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Advokaiser >Me ... Copied to Clipboard!
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NewerShadow 04/18/20 10:10:42 PM #353: |
Only one match that matters tomorrow:
Monster Hunter: World wins:
Dragon Quest XI wins:
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HaRRicH 04/18/20 10:29:37 PM #354: |
We're two rounds in and I don't know why I've not been eliminated yet. I've had a few careless picks this year.....
Best of luck to all the living Gurus. --- O P E R A T I O N O U S T : Nominate SHEIK! https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/ssb/images/0/0d/Sheik-Victory3-SSB4.png ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SuperNiceDog 04/18/20 10:33:51 PM #355: |
HaRRicH posted...
We're two rounds in and I don't know why I've not been eliminated yet. I've had a few careless picks this year..... thanks, I don't know how I'm still alive either --- SuperNiceChao about to win the Oracle 2020! TsunamiXXVIII and me will destroy all you noobs ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/18/20 10:39:34 PM #356: |
it mostly depends on how similar your bracket is to others
if you have a rare bracket layout then you can survive for a long time even with a bad score --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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