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#51 | Post #51 was unavailable or deleted. |
JBaLLEN66 06/08/20 10:42:41 AM #52: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
I meant what I said. Neither outcome looks positive. The dipshits in charge laughably thought these were the best choices. Hopefully they are targeted first. Yeah, Bob the middle class privileged trump supporter isn't going to suddenly fight the government over Biden winning. --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdR2Iktffaw The day Capitalism was humiliated :) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Siaperaz 06/08/20 10:42:46 AM #53: |
Bullet_Wing posted...
Notice how @Siaperaz never responded to me asking for links to these "many polls" where Hillary was over 50https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/ Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election (remove blank) Do you have trouble looking at Wikipedia? --- GO KNICKS!!! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 10:44:32 AM #54: |
JBaLLEN66 posted...
Yeah, Bob the middle class privileged trump supporter isn't going to suddenly fight the government over Biden winning.I'm not so sure. --- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ktownslayer16 06/08/20 11:01:22 AM #55: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
McConnell by himself prevented Gorsuch a Supreme Court seat. If that idiot can step so far out of his lane to make such a blatantly illegal decision for the country I don't see how it matters who is president. you mean Garland? Anyways, he wont be able to at the start of a term --- Fire Pierre Dorion ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sir Will 06/08/20 11:01:40 AM #56: |
deupd_u2 posted...
They also said Trump had 0% chance of winning the first time Nobody said that. --- River Song: Well, I was off to this gay gypsy bar mitzvah for the disabled when I thought 'Gosh, the Third Reich's a bit rubbish, I think i'll kill the Fuhrer' ... Copied to Clipboard!
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JBaLLEN66 06/08/20 11:04:02 AM #57: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
I'm not so sure. okay Mr. turner diaries --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdR2Iktffaw The day Capitalism was humiliated :) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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hockeybub89 06/08/20 11:04:20 AM #58: |
Solid Snake07 posted...
You'd think people would have realized back in 2016 that polls are fucking uselessYeah an underdog never succeeded in all of human history until 2016. Now we know all polls and statistics are utterly meaningless. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:05:36 AM #59: |
ktownslayer16 posted...
you mean Garland?Yeah. And I don't see how that factors into doing illegal bullshit. --- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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wackyteen 06/08/20 11:06:55 AM #60: |
Sir Will posted...
Nobody said that.HuffPo gave him a 1 or 2% chance the night before the election. --- The name is wackyteen* for a reason. Never doubt. *No longer teen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Odoylerules 06/08/20 11:07:47 AM #61: |
Spooking posted...
JoementumJoementum is the cure for low energy #bunkerboy ... Copied to Clipboard!
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hockeybub89 06/08/20 11:08:46 AM #62: |
wackyteen posted...
HuffPo gave him a 1 or 2% chance the night before the election.So you're telling me there was a chance --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#63 | Post #63 was unavailable or deleted. |
FinalFantasy462 06/08/20 11:09:55 AM #64: |
Its been said a few times already but obviously it bears repeating, dont fall for these polls again, haha
... Copied to Clipboard!
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CruelBuffalo 06/08/20 11:12:08 AM #65: |
wackyteen posted...
HuffPo gave him a 1 or 2% chance the night before the election. which is why you dont use just one poll. FiveThiryEight uses lots of polls to get their analysis. Didnt they move it up to 30% chance of Trump victory the night before? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SaradaUchihaXXX 06/08/20 11:15:36 AM #66: |
Only idiots would fall for polls again after 2016...
Has yalls really learnt nothing? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Anteaterking 06/08/20 11:17:15 AM #67: |
People on either side who hate on polls have real dumb dumb energy.
--- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:18:12 AM #68: |
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REMercsChamp 06/08/20 11:18:52 AM #69: |
Trump is fucking done
--- JOBS! Come check out my community board for NEET discussions: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/1467-neet-discussions ... Copied to Clipboard!
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greencheek 06/08/20 11:19:35 AM #70: |
mcconnell isn't exactly safe this year
https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2020/04/mcconnell-falls-kentucky-small-donors-flock-to-mcgrath/ https://wfpl.org/analysis-amy-mcgrath-needs-to-win-over-some-trump-voters-to-defeat-mcconnell/ https://www.newsweek.com/mitch-mcconnells-opponent-amy-mcgrath-counting-his-unpopularity-overcome-long-shot-odds-senate-1502852 https://www.newsweek.com/what-polls-say-about-mitch-mcconnell-vs-amy-mcgrath-kentucky-senate-race-1500989 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:20:46 AM #71: |
Also side note, polls are actually dumb. They leave out like 90% of relevant data on average. Just ask the electors directly who they will be voting for and you can call the election, none of this "let's pretend Americans have a say in the presidency" nonsense.
--- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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The Top Crusader 06/08/20 11:21:25 AM #72: |
ktownslayer16 posted...
Ohio is probably more winnable than Arizona or NC Yeah, I live in a very red part of Ohio so I get a little jaded, lol, but Obama won it twice, Bill Clinton won it twice... its definitely winnable for a democrat. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ermac 06/08/20 11:21:42 AM #73: |
I honestly dont care who wins theyre both terrible options
why cant we have good candidates --- We are many, you are but one ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sir Will 06/08/20 11:21:56 AM #74: |
wackyteen posted...
Which was an overestimation given state polls right at the end. But isn't 0%. Trump was always the underdog but it was possible to win and he managed a lot of very narrow victories. --- River Song: Well, I was off to this gay gypsy bar mitzvah for the disabled when I thought 'Gosh, the Third Reich's a bit rubbish, I think i'll kill the Fuhrer' ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:22:13 AM #75: |
greencheek posted...
mcconnell isn't exactly safe this yearYeah he's already lines up a henchman to be evil in his stead, this is how the machine works. He's speaker afterall. --- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sir Will 06/08/20 11:23:03 AM #76: |
Ermac posted...
theyre both terrible options One is much more terrible though. Ermac posted... why cant we have good candidates Yeah, wish you had better options. --- River Song: Well, I was off to this gay gypsy bar mitzvah for the disabled when I thought 'Gosh, the Third Reich's a bit rubbish, I think i'll kill the Fuhrer' ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#77 | Post #77 was unavailable or deleted. |
hockeybub89 06/08/20 11:23:45 AM #78: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
Also side note, polls are actually dumb. They leave out like 90% of relevant data on average. Just ask the electors directly who they will be voting for and you can call the election, none of this "let's pretend Americans have a say in the presidency" nonsense.Yeah why do we shame people for voting wrong when none of our votes matter until we burn the entire American political system to the ground and start over? The Electoral College truly does make these polls pointless even if they are accurate. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tyranthraxus 06/08/20 11:27:58 AM #79: |
Bullet_Wing posted...
If McConnell loses, it's almost certain that Democrats take the Senate. I don't see McConnell losing, but there's almost a zero chance of him losing AND democrats somehow not getting majority in SenateKentucky voted in a Democrat governor so McConnell losing is very much a possibility. --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:30:41 AM #80: |
Mcconnell has made virtually every career suicide move possible. Only way he wins is an extremely rigged election, which he can undoubtedly pull off.
--- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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greencheek 06/08/20 11:34:04 AM #81: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
Mcconnell has made virtually every career suicide move possible. Only way he wins is an extremely rigged election, which he can undoubtedly pull off. just because he's been in the senate since before you were born doesn't mean that there isn't an end of the road ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Siaperaz 06/08/20 11:35:30 AM #82: |
MORE ON METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,259 adults, including an oversample of 250 black, non-Hispanic adults, were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Oversampled black, non-Hispanic respondents have been weighted to represent their proper share of the adult population. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. For the sample of 1,125 registered voters, it is +/- 3.6 percentage points. For the subset of 634 white, non-Hispanic respondents it is +/- 4.4 percentage points. For the subset of 362 black, non-Hispanic respondents it is +/- 7.1 percentage points. Interviews were conducted among a representative sample of the adult population, age 18 or older, of the United States. Members of demographic groups not shown in the published crosstabs are represented in the results for each question in the poll. Crosstabs on the pages that follow only include results for subgroups with a minimum n=125 unweighted cases. Results for subgroups with fewer than n=125 unweighted cases are not displayed and instead are denoted with "SN" because samples of that size carry larger margins of sampling error and can be too small to be projectable with confidence to their true values in the populatio https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/06/08/rel6a.-.race.and.2020.pdf Lol at CNN's methodology. Seriously, liberals should read this before being sure that they will win. Utterly despicable propaganda for CNN. I have no idea why they are doing this. --- GO KNICKS!!! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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argonautweakend 06/08/20 11:35:45 AM #83: |
CruelBuffalo posted...
which is why you dont use just one poll. FiveThiryEight uses lots of polls to get their analysis. Didnt they move it up to 30% chance of Trump victory the night before? They did. 30% is a decent chance and he got it. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Tyranthraxus 06/08/20 11:39:14 AM #84: |
Siaperaz posted...
Lol at CNN's methodology. Seriously, liberals should read this before being sure that they will win. Utterly despicable propaganda for CNN. I have no idea why they are doing this. Because despite Trump's claims to the contrary, CNN is not Liberal. They do whatever makes them money. They don't have a horse in the Democrat vs Republican race outside of shitting on the only real threat to them, Bernie Sanders. --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZMythos 06/08/20 11:40:35 AM #85: |
It's sad that Biden's the nominee. I'll vote for him, but I'll need a drink or six afterwards.
Fuck him and Fuck Donald Trump. --- Rainbow Dashing: "it's just star wars" AutumnEspirit: *kissu* ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SapphireClassic 06/08/20 11:41:56 AM #86: |
Lols at the polls
--- stop the riots ... Copied to Clipboard!
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P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:43:41 AM #87: |
ZMythos posted...
It's sad that Biden's the nominee. I'll vote for him, but I'll need a drink or six afterwards.Just write someone in then. --- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ZMythos 06/08/20 11:45:23 AM #88: |
P4wn4g3 posted...
Just write someone in then.No this motherfucker needs to be voted out and arrested. I'm not chancing it. Joe can have one term to not fuck anything up and then disappear and let an actual progressive in. --- Rainbow Dashing: "it's just star wars" AutumnEspirit: *kissu* ... Copied to Clipboard!
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COVxy 06/08/20 11:46:54 AM #89: |
Siaperaz posted...
Lol at CNN's methodology. Seriously, liberals should read this before being sure that they will win. Utterly despicable propaganda for CNN. I have no idea why they are doing this. Do you have any actual criticisms of what you quoted? --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])] ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#90 | Post #90 was unavailable or deleted. |
JBaLLEN66 06/08/20 11:47:25 AM #91: |
ZMythos posted...
No this motherfucker needs to be voted out and arrested. Thank you for having a brain and acknowledging that accelerationism is a dumb hoax that needs to die out. Where are these progressive movements in Russia that were supposed to happen? In jail lmao --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdR2Iktffaw The day Capitalism was humiliated :) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#92 | Post #92 was unavailable or deleted. |
P4wn4g3 06/08/20 11:50:05 AM #93: |
Bullet_Wing posted...
That's how we get Trump. No.Voting for Trump is how we get Trump, among other things. Corrupt electoral college etc. Seriously are you guys so anti democracy? --- 7D ChessMaster of Dark Aether https://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/851-dark-aether ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BeyondWalls 06/08/20 11:50:09 AM #94: |
bluezero posted...
I'm amazed 41% are still saying, "Yep, that's who I want in charge!"This is really what I don't get. Who the hell is still voting for Trump? Like I could still see 25% of the population being racist idiots. But fucking 40% of the country? --- END OF LINE ... Copied to Clipboard!
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bluezero 06/08/20 11:51:09 AM #95: |
Ermac posted...
why cant we have good candidatesThis I agree with. But I do care who wins. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Siaperaz 06/08/20 11:51:27 AM #96: |
COVxy posted...
Do you have any actual criticisms of what you quoted?Oversampling black people by 250 without adjusting? This definitely doesn't yield the right results. Unless you believe that statistics are racist and CNN should follow a wrong methodology. --- GO KNICKS!!! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ktownslayer16 06/08/20 11:51:36 AM #97: |
The Top Crusader posted...
Yeah, I live in a very red part of Ohio so I get a little jaded, lol, but Obama won it twice, Bill Clinton won it twice... its definitely winnable for a democrat. it's always a key swing state. Hilary lost in 2016 because they took the rust belt for granted and didnt campaign enough --- Fire Pierre Dorion ... Copied to Clipboard!
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COVxy 06/08/20 11:52:01 AM #98: |
Siaperaz posted...
Oversampled black, non-Hispanic respondents have been weighted to represent their proper share of the adult population. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])] ... Copied to Clipboard!
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#99 | Post #99 was unavailable or deleted. |
Tyranthraxus 06/08/20 11:55:48 AM #100: |
Siaperaz posted...
Oversampling black people by 250 without adjusting? This definitely doesn't yield the right results. Unless you believe that statistics are racist and CNN should follow a wrong methodology.They did adjust --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv ... Copied to Clipboard!
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