Current Events > The odds of Trump winning are 33%

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StarsOfCCTV 10/31/20 10:23:13 PM #1:	You ever flipped a coin and got heads twice? Trump winning is more likely than that. --- "What is any ocean but a multitude of droplets" <cite>StarsOfCCTV posted [p:946557325] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>You ever flipped a coin and got heads twice? Trump winning is more likely than that. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Intro2Logic 10/31/20 10:23:44 PM #2:	Where are you seeing those? --- Have you tried thinking rationally? <cite>Intro2Logic posted [p:946557343] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Where are you seeing those? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Endgame 10/31/20 10:24:12 PM #3:	It would appear I have entered a time portal and got warped back to 2016. --- I may not agree with what you have to say, but I will fight to the death for my right to fight you to the death. -Stephen Colbert <cite>Endgame posted [p:946557355] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>It would appear I have entered a time portal and got warped back to 2016.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BuffaloRider 10/31/20 10:24:35 PM #4:	33% because it's between Biden, Trump, and me. 3 chances, 33% each. Vote for me! --- Sincerely, BuffaloRider <cite>BuffaloRider posted [p:946557372] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>33% because it's between Biden, Trump, and me. 3 chances, 33% each. Vote for me! </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Politics 10/31/20 10:24:42 PM #5:	Never tell me the odds --- (= <cite>Politics posted [p:946557377] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Never tell me the odds </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
berlyman101 10/31/20 10:25:23 PM #6:	10% https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-can-still-win-but-the-polls-would-have-to-be-off-by-way-more-than-in-2016/ --- http://www.lukesurl.com/comics/2010-02-24-determinism.png <cite>berlyman101 posted [p:946557395] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>10% https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-can-still-win-but-the-polls-would-have-to-be-off-by-way-more-than-in-2016/ </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Pkmas1702 10/31/20 10:25:59 PM #7:	I think it is 0% like 2016 as well :) --- I'm gonna stand outside. If anyone asks, I'm outstanding. <cite>Pkmas1702 posted [p:946557406] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>I think it is 0% like 2016 as well :) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Tyranthraxus 10/31/20 10:26:07 PM #8:	BuffaloRider posted... 33% because it's between Biden, Trump, and me. 3 chances, 33% each. Vote for me! https://youtu.be/WFoC3TR5rzI --- It says right here in Matthew 16:4 "Jesus doth not need a giant Mecha." https://imgur.com/dQgC4kv <cite>Tyranthraxus posted [p:946557409] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>BuffaloRider posted... </cite> <quote>33% because it's between Biden, Trump, and me. 3 chances, 33% each. Vote for me!</quote> https://youtu.be/WFoC3TR5rzI </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 10/31/20 10:26:23 PM #9:	Just flipped a coin twice and it was Heads Tails --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:946557421] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Just flipped a coin twice and it was Heads Tails </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Doom_Art 10/31/20 10:28:35 PM #10:	Pkmas1702 posted... I think it is 0% like 2016 as well :) @Pkmas1702 who said there was a 0% chance of him winning back then --- Not removing this until Mega Man 64 is released on the Wii Virtual Console. Started on: 12/1/2009 https://imgur.com/mPvcy <cite>Doom_Art posted [p:946557491] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>I think it is 0% like 2016 as well :)</quote>@Pkmas1702 who said there was a 0% chance of him winning back then </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BuffaloRider 10/31/20 10:32:05 PM #11:	Tyranthraxus posted... https://youtu.be/WFoC3TR5rzI Now that's my kind of math. --- Sincerely, BuffaloRider <cite>BuffaloRider posted [p:946557618] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Tyranthraxus posted... </cite> <quote>https://youtu.be/WFoC3TR5rzI</quote> Now that's my kind of math. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Pkmas1702 10/31/20 10:32:42 PM #12:	Doom_Art posted... @Pkmas1702 who said there was a 0% chance of him winning back then Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) --- I'm gonna stand outside. If anyone asks, I'm outstanding. <cite>Pkmas1702 posted [p:946557643] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Doom_Art posted... </cite> <quote>@Pkmas1702 who said there was a 0% chance of him winning back then</quote>Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Doom_Art 10/31/20 10:33:15 PM #13:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% wat --- Not removing this until Mega Man 64 is released on the Wii Virtual Console. Started on: 12/1/2009 https://imgur.com/mPvcy <cite>Doom_Art posted [p:946557655] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99%</quote>wat </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
littlebro07 10/31/20 10:33:58 PM #14:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) Literally no one said he had a 0% chance. --- https://i.imgtc.com/MGGa6Os.gif <cite>littlebro07 posted [p:946557681] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :)</quote> Literally no one said he had a 0% chance. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
ScazarMeltex 10/31/20 10:34:40 PM #15:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) Yeah, this is the US. There is no leftist media. It's all owned by large corporations. --- "If you wish to converse with me define your terms" Voltaire <cite>ScazarMeltex posted [p:946557701] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :)</quote>Yeah, this is the US. There is no leftist media. It's all owned by large corporations. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
gp1829 10/31/20 10:35:07 PM #16:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) No one said it was 100% learn to read polls. <cite>gp1829 posted [p:946557717] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :)</quote> No one said it was 100% learn to read polls. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Evening_Dragon 10/31/20 10:36:22 PM #17:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :) Go ahead. Give a source on who said 0%. Why are conservatrolls so bad at stats? --- https://www.joincampaignzero.org/ Guide, it's Guide, it's that Guide <cite>Evening_Dragon posted [p:946557771] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99% Even Hillary wished a happy birthday to herself as a future president lmao :)</quote> Go ahead. Give a source on who said 0%. Why are conservatrolls so bad at stats? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Intro2Logic 10/31/20 10:36:28 PM #18:	Pkmas1702 posted... Every leftist media. Like 99% NYT's final projection: 85% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html 538: 71% (but they did take some heat at the time for their model giving Trump a bigger shot than most) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast Huffpo did have her at 98%, but anybody who's played Fire Emblem or Xcom knows that is not 100% https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president --- Have you tried thinking rationally? <cite>Intro2Logic posted [p:946557776] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Pkmas1702 posted... </cite> <quote>Every leftist media. Like 99%</quote>NYT's final projection: 85% https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html 538: 71% (but they did take some heat at the time for their model giving Trump a bigger shot than most) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast Huffpo did have her at 98%, but anybody who's played Fire Emblem or Xcom knows that is not 100% https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/forecast/president </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BunkerBoy 10/31/20 10:52:40 PM #19:	This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th <cite>BunkerBoy posted [p:946558242] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Doom_Art 10/31/20 10:53:23 PM #20:	BunkerBoy posted... This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning --- Not removing this until Mega Man 64 is released on the Wii Virtual Console. Started on: 12/1/2009 https://imgur.com/mPvcy <cite>Doom_Art posted [p:946558263] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>BunkerBoy posted... </cite> <quote>This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th</quote>Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BunkerBoy 10/31/20 10:56:24 PM #21:	Doom_Art posted... Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning To put things in perspective, here's what states will look like if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016 @Doom_Art Trump has to overperform his 2016 showing by quite a large amount <cite>BunkerBoy posted [p:946558345] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Doom_Art posted... </cite> <quote>Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning</quote>To put things in perspective, here's what states will look like if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016 @Doom_Art Trump has to overperform his 2016 showing by quite a large amount </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 10/31/20 10:56:34 PM #22:	Doom_Art posted... Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning He doesn't though. He has a chance of winning but it's significantly lower than it was in 2016 and 2016 was already a narrow victory for him. --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:946558353] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Doom_Art posted... </cite> <quote>Hope so but I'm too nervous. Trumps got a very good chance of winning</quote> He doesn't though. He has a chance of winning but it's significantly lower than it was in 2016 and 2016 was already a narrow victory for him. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Doom_Art 10/31/20 10:59:17 PM #23:	BunkerBoy posted... To put things in perspective, here's what states will look like if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016 @Doom_Art Trump has to overperform his 2016 showing by quite a large amount Fair enough Though Biden winning and the GOP holding the senate would be its own flavor of terrible So thats another thing to worry about --- Not removing this until Mega Man 64 is released on the Wii Virtual Console. Started on: 12/1/2009 https://imgur.com/mPvcy <cite>Doom_Art posted [p:946558436] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>BunkerBoy posted... </cite> <quote>To put things in perspective, here's what states will look like if the polls are as wrong as they were in 2016 @Doom_Art Trump has to overperform his 2016 showing by quite a large amount </quote>Fair enough Though Biden winning and the GOP holding the senate would be its own flavor of terrible So thats another thing to worry about </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
berlyman101 10/31/20 11:12:48 PM #24:	Doom_Art posted... Fair enough Though Biden winning and the GOP holding the senate would be its own flavor of terrible So thats another thing to worry about https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ --- http://www.lukesurl.com/comics/2010-02-24-determinism.png <cite>berlyman101 posted [p:946558864] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>Doom_Art posted... </cite> <quote>Fair enough Though Biden winning and the GOP holding the senate would be its own flavor of terrible So thats another thing to worry about</quote> https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/ </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Arcanine2009 10/31/20 11:14:31 PM #25:	StarsOfCCTV posted... You ever flipped a coin and got heads twice? Trump winning is more likely than that. Uhh we don't know that. Don't underestimate in person voting. Hell, Trump supporters are already using intimidation tactics acrross the country. You never know what's going to happen..remember when we were sure he would lose to Hilary? --- Less is more. Everything you want, isn't everything you need. <cite>Arcanine2009 posted [p:946558910] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>StarsOfCCTV posted... </cite> <quote>You ever flipped a coin and got heads twice? Trump winning is more likely than that.</quote>Uhh we don't know that. Don't underestimate in person voting. Hell, Trump supporters are already using intimidation tactics acrross the country. You never know what's going to happen..remember when we were sure he would lose to Hilary? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
kingdrake2 11/01/20 12:07:21 AM #29:	BunkerBoy posted... This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th the loudest whine will make me laugh. but it likely won't be from him entirely. Maga board will be the lolz territory if trump loses. so much lawsuits coming. --- Explorers In The Further Regions Of Experience, demons to some, Angels To Others: Pinhead <cite>kingdrake2 posted [p:946561911] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>BunkerBoy posted...</cite> <quote>This pkmas guy is gonna be crying on Nov 4th </quote> the loudest whine will make me laugh. but it likely won't be from him entirely. Maga board will be the lolz territory if trump loses. so much lawsuits coming.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
ScazarMeltex 11/01/20 12:58:54 AM #26:	It should be noted that Silver specifically addresses that 538's model only accounts for a legitimate election. Trump getting mail ballots thrown in out in key states, or Texas getting curbside ballot box ballots thrown out cannot be accounted for. --- "If you wish to converse with me define your terms" Voltaire <cite>ScazarMeltex posted [p:946561690] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>It should be noted that Silver specifically addresses that 538's model only accounts for a legitimate election. Trump getting mail ballots thrown in out in key states, or Texas getting curbside ballot box ballots thrown out cannot be accounted for. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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InhumaneRaider 11/01/20 1:01:11 AM #28:	The difference between 2016 and 2020 is that in 2016, people severely underestimated Trump's chances and nobody actually though he would win, so people didn't even bother to vote. They're not making the same mistake again. --- Officer, I promise, she's a 300-year-old Vampire Dragon. Oh, go put a canoli up your holey. <cite>InhumaneRaider posted [p:946561753] in The odds o... [t:79077239]...</cite> <quote>The difference between 2016 and 2020 is that in 2016, people severely underestimated Trump's chances and nobody actually though he would win, so people didn't even bother to vote. They're not making the same mistake again. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Current Events > The odds of Trump winning are 33% (+) Yeah! (+)

Current Events > The odds of Trump winning are 33%