Current Events > How many people would die to covid pandemic if this happened in 1600?

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In 1600 with the same population as today.


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I'm sure the 1600s had a pandemic. Look it up, then adjust for population and there's your answer.

A lot less than the plague

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You have to factor in things like ease of travel


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Depends. People were a lot more "burn entire villages of sick people/plagued people to death" in older times.

Taking that out of the picture, without them just immediately quarantining with the same population and 1600 tech level, it'd probably ravage a continent and destroy sea travel for a while, setting humanity back a long ways.

The problem with covid is its incubation period. People dont feel ill until after like 10-14 days and during all that time, they are spreading it.

Then theres bad hygiene with no santisers or even clean water back then.

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Since it hits the elderly, probably quite a bit. We just wouldn't care as much because back then we had a sense of accepting mortality of the elderly.

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The same population as today, but in 1600? People would be too dead from mass starvation to die of COVID. And then there would be cholera and consumption to pick off the survivors.
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It likely wouldn't be quite as devastating as it is to a modern economy.

Less dense living conditions, lower average age, not nearly as many people with exacerbating conditions.

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People were on average a lot younger and a lot less obese in the 1600s. It probably would have been lumped in with the flu and been forgotten.

It is nothing like small pox for example, which killed like 50% of people who got it.

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There were like 50 different infectious diseases that were common and untreatable back in 1600s. COVID would just be another on that list.

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Probably a lot but because death was so common in general I doubt they'd notice it.

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In the modern world, in places with poor sanitation, medical infrastructure, poor nutrition, and a dense population did really badly. In some nations that mortality rate hovered around 10%

If you put the same conditions on Europe in the 1600s (bad sanitation, no medical infrastructure, poor nutrition, cramped living conditions) then you'd probably get something along those lines.

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Surprising no one would have died. Turns out the guy that would have first contracted it dies in a duel shortly after getting it and his opponent dies also dies of his injuries a few minutes later.

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