Current Events > A massive asteroid passes very close to earth in 2029

(+) Yeah! (+)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis#%3A%7E%3Atext%3DIt_passed_0.11265_AU_%2816.852%2CNEOSSat_%28in_January_2021%29.?wprov=sfla1

I remember hearing about this years ago. Now it's almost time. They don't think it will hit. But it's passing by us will affect it's orbit and it may have a higher chance of a hit next time. But by then we might have the technology to push it out of the way or even destroy it

So "Apep" is the normal form of the god's name but Apophis is a giant snake, the lord of chaos, and the enemy of Ra.

It's a fitting name for the asteroid.

Up to 2.7% chance of hitting us wtf

Someone call SG-1!

for real this could absolutely hit us :/

Ah, good, got 5 years left

On February 21, 2021, Apophis was removed from the Sentry Risk Table, as an impact in the next 100 years was finally ruled out.[66]

we good y'all

SSJKirby posted...

On February 21, 2021, Apophis was removed from the Sentry Risk Table, as an impact in the next 100 years was finally ruled out.[66]

we good y'all

That's just what they want you to think. Can't have people panicking for 5 years can we?

Strider102 posted...

That's just what they want you to think. Can't have people panicking for 5 years can we?

Trust the scientists dude.

SSJKirby posted...

On February 21, 2021, Apophis was removed from the Sentry Risk Table, as an impact in the next 100 years was finally ruled out.[66]

we good y'all

It will make our descendents nervous though. But hopefully they will be able to send it packing. There are ideas like using space nukes to knock it away

So the chances of this happening are like millions of times greater than winning the powerball.

LeoRavus posted...

So the chances of this happening are like millions of times greater than winning the powerball.

If you mean in our lifetime, yes. But in all of Earths remaining eons, no. It's believed that a massive asteroid like the one that killed the dinosaurs hits earth every once in a while. I think scientists believe the dinosaur one wasn't the first of that size to hit the planet. But I'm not sure if we habe evidence of the older ones. It was too long ago.

But given enough time, Earth gets smacked from time to time, and assuming humans continue to exist into the far future, at some point our species will have to worry about this

The law of averages says we will be hit again. Unless we use science to stop it

Hopefully it does and we just get this shit over with

we fly through a taurid meteor stream every year

Ratchetrockon posted...

Up to 2.7% chance of hitting us wtf

No, the chance is 0%.

they might be able to calculate that thing's orbit, but they cant calculate every orbit of every asteroid.

one little space rock hits Apophis and it's on course to obliterate earth.

Did you miss the part where they confirm it's passing closer than the moon? Like it's passing 5 earth-lengths away. closer than the fucking satellites.

the math isnt 100% even if they say it is

If it hits, I hope Im ground zero. Apocalypse games are fun, but fuck that irl.

Zikten posted...

If you mean in our lifetime, yes. But in all of Earths remaining eons, no. It's believed that a massive asteroid like the one that killed the dinosaurs hits earth every once in a while. I think scientists believe the dinosaur one wasn't the first of that size to hit the planet. But I'm not sure if we habe evidence of the older ones. It was too long ago.

But given enough time, Earth gets smacked from time to time, and assuming humans continue to exist into the far future, at some point our species will have to worry about this

The law of averages says we will be hit again. Unless we use science to stop it

I'm talking about this one at 2.7% chance.

What do astroloists have against common names.

LeoRavus posted...

I'm talking about this one at 2.7% chance.

Again, it does not have a 2.7% chance of hitting the Earth. It has a 0% chance.

Literally the same afternoon as that 2.7% chance was mentioned, they ran it again and discovered that no, there's actually no chance. There's a very small chance that the 2029 passage by Earth might alter its trajectory enough that it could make impact in the future, but when I say small, I mean small. 1 in hundreds of thousands.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

No, the chance is 0%.

ok i trust you

so you're confident in nasa's ability to predict orbits 5 years into the future. im sure solar wind, another asteroid, space dust, a rogue satellite are all perfectly accounted for.

maybe a grad student phoned-in one of their calculations.

maybe the asteroid has frozen hydrogen on it, and that will melt and alter it's trajectory. yes that is a thing that can happen.

so gtfo of here with 0% chance. they are saying it's passing 5 earth-lengths away. like...that is very close, don't you think?

Robot2600 posted...

so you're confident in nasa's ability to predict orbits 5 years into the future. im sure solar wind, another asteroid, space dust, a rogue satellite are all perfectly accounted for.

maybe a grad student phoned-in one of their calculations.

maybe the asteroid has frozen hydrogen on it, and that will melt and alter it's trajectory. yes that is a thing that can happen.

so gtfo of here with 0% chance. they are saying it's passing 5 earth-lengths away. like...that is very close, don't you think?

Yeah, that 0% comment was dumb as hell.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

There's a very small chance that the 2029 passage by Earth might alter its trajectory enough that it could make impact in the future, but when I say small, I mean small. 1 in hundreds of thousands.

So the odds of it hitting the earth are still higher than winning the powerball.

Did you bury one in your lawn next to the McDonald's cheeseburger?

LonelyStoner posted...

Yeah, that 0% comment was dumb as hell.

Read the damn article.

The chance that there would be an impact in 2029 was eliminated by late December 27, 2004, as a result of a precovery image that extended the observation arc back to March 2004.

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news148.html

UnholyMudcrab posted...

Read the damn article.

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news148.html

I dont need to. Theres always room for variability in science. Its unlikely, not impossible.

wow they're going all out with FF7 remake with that one

LonelyStoner posted...

I dont need to. Theres always room for variability in science. Its unlikely, not impossible.

Oh my god

and i thought the diablo 4 advertising was good

UnholyMudcrab posted...

Oh my god

Have you never heard the words margin of error?

Nukazie posted...

wow they're going all out with FF7 remake with that one

Yes. It's actually a major promotion campaign from Square Enix to advertise the third game

LonelyStoner posted...

Have you never heard the words margin of error?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/f1f00ee1.png

There's your margin of error. Notice anything about it?

UnholyMudcrab posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/f1f00ee1.png

There's your margin of error. Notice anything about it?

Yes. Doesnt change the likelihood to 0%.

I'm done with this. You can't correct ignorance that doesn't want to be corrected.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

I'm done with this. You can't correct ignorance that doesn't want to be corrected.

I agree.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/f1f00ee1.png

There's your margin of error. Notice anything about it?

i notice that shit is reeeeeal fucking close like goddamn

Robot2600 posted...

i notice that shit is reeeeeal fucking close like goddamn

Looks about 100 times closer than the moon.

Will we be able to see it?

Robot2600 posted...

i notice that shit is reeeeeal fucking close like goddamn

And he still claims the likelihood of it hitting 5 years from now is absolute 0% lol

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/9/9fdc80f3.jpg
@Harpie

LonelyStoner posted...

And he still claims the likelihood of it hitting 5 years from now is absolute 0% lol

And if you'd bothered to read what I linked, you'd know that I'm not the only one saying that.

i graphed that shit on my nasa ti-97 and we're golden

UnholyMudcrab posted...

And if you'd bothered to read what I linked, you'd know that I'm not the only one saying that.

You said you were done.

Whiterun_Guard_ posted...

Will we be able to see it?

If it's closer than thr moon, I'd assume it will be visible to the naked eye

Fuck, I just noticed I've been arguing with a new account this whole time. Goddammit, I should be better than this. I make fun of people for this kind of thing.

UnholyMudcrab posted...

Fuck, I just noticed I've been arguing with a new account this whole time. Goddammit, I should be better than this. I make fun of people for this kind of thing.

Im not new here.

Zikten posted...

They don't think it will hit.

It's so over