Lurker > CreekCo

Myers Briggs is absolutely based in astrology.

That said, it's just for conversational purposes. INTJ just describes how you process information and the world around you but nothing more. The quality of how you process said information is another matter.
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Smashingpmkns posted...

The 44th US Presidency

The first President under the AoC was black actually. He's on the two dollar bill and also the painting of Washington crossing the Potomac.
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iPhone_7 posted...

Someone is going to end up creating a viral pathogen.

Pretty sure this is how the Resident Evil backstory starts
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That's great TC -- good luck
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Is it possible to just download the saves onto a computer some way?
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This is actually one time where I think using the Ask a Mod board is a reasonable course of action. Just link this thread b/c this is actually weird enough to warrant attention.
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Squall28 posted...

I doubt God has sexual organs.

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Who?
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Esrac posted...

Been wondering what's taking Rebuild 4.0 to come out. Wasn't the whole Rebuild series supposed to end like 5 year ago?

Well, Anno got to help with Shin Godzilla and also some financial drama with Gainax. Theoretically, he should be working on it now. Personally, I don't think he has a clue how to end it. 3.33 was well made garbage.
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That's weird
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Good looking out, TC.
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https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

There's slightly more Dems than Reps. Undecided outnumbers both.

Rep party is almost a solid voting block
Dem party is split along ideological issues right now, destroying their 2% advantage

Rep party only needs to convince about half the undecided voters that the economy is good. As long as the voter turn out is low like last time, there's no way they don't win by about 5% as things stand right now. That's just the numbers talking. There would need to be a major shift for things to be different.
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https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2018/05/29/why-trump-may-be-hard-to-beat-in-2020/#2257f7bc2bc2

It's not what we wanna hear, but... numbers don't lie.
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BLAKUboy posted...

ClunkerSlim posted...

As sad as this is, hes not wrong.

He's wrong on a number of his points, actually.

How so?
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Doom_Art posted...

@CreekCo posted...

there's not even a single serious candidate on either side and it's summer 2018

Why are you acting like a serious candidate needs to declare more than 2 years in advance? This has literally never been the case.

We're not even midway through Trumps term for crying out loud.

That's how things work. You don't just show up one day and run. Remember, Trump almost didn't get on the ballot in several states because he was late declaring.
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Nomadic View posted...

Error1355 posted...

CreekCo posted...

Do you talk to people irl?

Yep, and I hear nothing but shit-talking on Trump. I mean fuck even my mother who voted for Trump is shit talking him lately.

Are your moderation decisions affected by your political bias?

There's just no reason for that comment. None. Just inbox him if you need to be that petty.
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Error1355 posted...

CreekCo posted...

Do you talk to people irl?

Yep, and I hear nothing but shit-talking on Trump. I mean fuck even my mother who voted for Trump is shit talking him lately.

Problem is... there's not even a single serious candidate on either side and it's summer 2018. If no one emerges by like... fall or so it won't even matter because they will not have enough time to raise money for a 2020 campaign. This is bad for our country in general. No matter who wins you always want active participation and debate for growth. It's almost a shoe in currently. Incumbents have a huge home field advantage and don't have to work as hard.

So yeah, people are complaining but they will still vote status quo if all things are equal and the economy is good. Well, the economy isn't good... it's great.
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Nomadic View posted...

I think theres a decent chance hell lose. Not because hes a bad president, but because theres enough people with irrational hatred of him that theyll oppose him no matter what.

Nanci Pelosi tried to say that low unemployment is a bad thing. And the crazy socialist for New York tried to say that the reason unemployment is so low is because everyone has two jobs.

Its pure nonsense the lengths some people on the left will go to attack Trump. He has enough flaws flowing naturally. There isnt a need to fabricate negatives.

Every time Pelosi says a word, Trump gets more votes.
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Solar_Crimson posted...

CreekCo posted...

- Full and unconditional support from his base (the majority of America)

Hah!

... Which means what, exactly? Do you talk to people irl? His voting block is rock solid and there's a lot of 'em. Moderates and undecided voting block is probably next largest and 100% unclaimed by either party. Reps don't want them and Dems ignore them (as seen in this very thread). Other than California, there's not really a large blue voting block that matters and Cali only gets two electoral votes like everyone else.
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Yeah... DC is a special kind of derp right now. The newspaper still is not supposed to break sales date with stores though. Like for instance, they know what happens in Avenger 4 but they aren't gonna actually release that information until the embargo breaks.
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shockthemonkey posted...

I dont see why they need a moderate. Putting forth a moderate without any exciting policy ideas was a huge problem in 2016.

No, Dems destroying their own was the problem. Cheating Bernie in Cali basically screwed them out of any potential swing voters. They still don't have their act together. NO ONE likes the current Dem platform other than neophytes. A moderate who isn't married to the party line could attract Rep voters who really want someone to save them but don't see any better options across the aisle.
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YOUHAVENOHOPE posted...

Tyranthraxus posted...

Zikten posted...

I don't get how DC didn't know this was going to make many people mad.

I don't necessarily think canceling the wedding by itself would piss off everyone--the underlying reasons for the cancellation however were pure garbage.

People for a while were suspecting that the wedding might not happen because something like Joker blows shit up and they have to leave or something. The actual reason it got canceled is far worse.

so what happened

DC decided to troll its fans. It was successful. However, they didn't get what they thought they would from it.
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Carter, Clinton and Obama were all basically moderates.
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Wow. Also, DC probably has a good case for suing the newspaper that broke the story early even though I don't feel sorry for DC in the least.
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Good chance? There's no way he can lose.

- Incumbent President
- No opposition from within his own party
- Full and unconditional support from his base (the majority of America)
- Its almost 2019 and any serious contenders should have started raising funds already
- Stable economy
- Low unemployment
- People equate Dems with liberals and liberals in America are effing nuts. No matter how insane the GOP is somehow, someway... Dems find ways to make them look OK in comparison. They did Bernie too wrong in 2016. California is letting unregistered people vote in some local elections. Trying to censor and jail people with dissenting views (check out some threads on CE any day of the week).

The net affect is any moderate is going to either waste a vote or not vote at all. So, status quo will remain in effect. That's how politics work.
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Stuff like this is why Republicans stay in power. It's insane.
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COVxy posted...

thelovefist posted...

COVxy posted...

Squall28 posted...

If you are taking an easy course, almost everyone is going to get the same score.

And what would that score be?

Irrelevant.

Lol. Absolutely not irrelevant, in fact is the entire point.

Read what you wrote again, slowly.
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NeonOctopus posted...

This is why trump won

Yep
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COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

The main graph given has a n-value of like 241. That's not even half of that.

The collected data from 500 children in total, though various analyses have differing numbers of subjects.

Regardless, each individual analysis here is actually really well powered. Your complaint about sample size is entirely unfounded and improper.

Yeah, it's maybe 500 if you add together all the data they borrowed from other people's work. There's n-values in the single digits for their work. Single digits. The headline you posted was based on a study of 241 kids and a lot of them were 4 year olds. This is no basis for any definitive conclusion other than they were all ready for snacktime after the survey. Everybody hurried up to finish so they could eat their snacks for completing the survey and watch Peppa Pig, lol.

Again, the sample sizes here are all appropriate, and you have done nothing to counter their argumentation:

The absence of statistical differences across the major developmental milestones of early mathematical cognition are unlikely to be due to sample size. Power analyses suggest that given the sizes of the samples analyzed here, we should have been able to detect small to medium effect sizes ranging from Cohens d = 0.34 to 0.65 (80% power, p = 0.05; Infant Numerosity Comparison (looking time): d = 0.65; Early Childhood Numerosity Comparison (w): d = 0.37; Recitation of Count List (How High? task): d = 0.47; Counting Principles (Give-N task): d = 0.52; Math Concepts (TEMA): d = 0.34, (Formal/Informal Math Scores): d = 0.40). Importantly, even if smaller effects do exist, they are unlikely to reliably, meaningfully, or consistently manifest in children. Caution should be taken when interpreting any small effects in large sample to ensure that their importance is not over-exaggerated.[13,75]

They are well within power to detect any effects that would matter. And their power analyses seem to be overly conservative (they seem to be on the basis of a two tailed test, when really they should be looking for a one tailed effect).

And then the only other thing you have to offer is rambling about Peppa The Pig.

By that logic, they could sample 10 kids and it be valid. Uh, no. Just because someone says something don't make it true. You look at the numbers they give and there is clearly a difference in even the very first graph they show on their survey. Statistics can be used to twist numbers into saying whatever and this is a really clear case of that. Larger sample sizes tend to be viewed as more valid for a reason. That one of the first things you learn in statistics -- saying otherwise is insanely irresponsible.
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I get lost in that site for hours, TC.
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COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

The main graph given has a n-value of like 241. That's not even half of that.

The collected data from 500 children in total, though various analyses have differing numbers of subjects.

Regardless, each individual analysis here is actually really well powered. Your complaint about sample size is entirely unfounded and improper.

Yeah, it's maybe 500 if you add together all the data they borrowed from other people's work. There's n-values in the single digits for their work. Single digits. The headline you posted was based on a study of 241 kids and a lot of them were 4 year olds. This is no basis for any definitive conclusion other than they were all ready for snacktime after the survey. Everybody hurried up to finish so they could eat their snacks for completing the survey and watch Peppa Pig, lol.
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COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

Did you even understand what you posted?

Yes, do you?

CreekCo posted...

None of the data had a sample size larger than a thousand but the same article criticized early studies for low sample size.

Why did you pick that number out of a hat? 500 subjects is going to be extremely well powered to detect even minute group differences.

The main graph given has a n-value of like 241. That's not even half of that.
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thelovefist posted...

CreekCo posted...

COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

Quality signature-post agreement.

Over half the data was comparing 6 month olds. Did you even understand what you posted? None of the data had a sample size larger than a thousand but the same article criticized early studies for low sample size. Yeah, I'm gonna base some real world decisions based on about a couple of dozen 4 year olds and their ability to count. Most of us were still eating crayons at that age.

Look at who TC is...

Yeah, you're right.
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COVxy posted...

CreekCo posted...

Quality signature-post agreement.

Over half the data was comparing 6 month olds. Did you even understand what you posted? None of the data had a sample size larger than a thousand but the same article criticized early studies for low sample size. Yeah, I'm gonna base some real world decisions based on about a couple of dozen 4 year olds and their ability to count. Most of us were still eating crayons at that age.
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That's a lie.
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Yeah. It was a bad idea then and kinda incomprehensible now with the current political climate.
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Peter_Giffyndor posted...

legendarylemur posted...

CreekCo posted...

I don't think Janeway was the best. She definitely made the most out of her situation and had the hardest quest by far, this much is true. But I don't think the other captains would have gotten that lost, either.

Yeah I bet you if it were TNG, they would've maybe made that whole getting lost plot either a 2 episode special since it involves the borg, or a single epic episode which would've ended with Picard and his team discovering some fringe way to open another wormhole to set them back on course.

And if he weren't meant to be there, I'm pretty sure Q would've pulled them out of the situation

Sisko wouldn't have gotten lost in the first place, but if he had, he's just look around and say "I'll take it" and rule the quadrant

Yep, yep!
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I don't think Janeway was the best. She definitely made the most out of her situation and had the hardest quest by far, this much is true. But I don't think the other captains would have gotten that lost, either.
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Wait for Pixel 3. Pixels have maybe the best camera on the market.
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Sisko was awesome. I was talking about him today.
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That scene is actually powerful... and sad... and out of nowhere. That's a big spoiler. It also marks the genre shift in the film.
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That dude swooned lol
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Derp
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Did you like the film?
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UnfairRepresent posted...

CreekCo posted...

There has never once been a case in history where a superior civilization interacted with a lesser one and it ended well for the lesser Civ.

lol wut

Basic world history class from school or uni should have taught you this
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Martians probably didn't see zapping people as violence it's just like zapping livestock. At any rate, it won't end well. There has never once been a case in history where a superior civilization interacted with a lesser one and it ended well for the lesser Civ. At best, the advanced Civ will teach them stuff and leave them alone (which bites them later on often, like ancient African Civilizations who shared knowledge with others).
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Yep. If they want to talk they'll let you know.

If they text back hi, probably bail.
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Ever see Mars Attacks?
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@TC: Yep. This board is heavy left so they are going to speak out against you not because you're right or wrong but to support their own group hivemind political ideology. The fact that Scar Jo got thrown under the bus by people she generally has worked hard to protect over the years and also the ungratefulness shown to the many people who will lose their jobs over this film not being made is irrelevant in that light.

"Liberal" and "Conservative" is just code words for petty behavior. Actually what it amounts to is tribalism but no one wants to call a spade a spade these days where life in political correctness necessitates the death of honestly, morality, dialogue and truth. It all falls apart in the face of common sense though.

For example, I saw someone declare they were a Republican in a meeting and went on about that for a minute or two even though it wasn't asked and was utterly irrelevant to the point at hand. However, once they realized that even other people who vote Republican in the same room were not receptive to this they thankful moved on out of cringe territory.

All that should have happened here was an honest discussion and dialogue. This *should* have opened doors for people. Instead, good luck on getting a Hollywood green light on this sort of project anytime soon. Yea, progress? It's just stupid and should be called out and yes, leftists are far worse about this stateside. This does not mean everyone to be super clear to over zealous rouge mods.
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Best console ever
Worst marketing decision in current history, they should teach classes on this
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