Lurker > LusterSoldier

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/18/18 2:51:05 AM
#152
Haste_2 posted...
Ganondorf (44% on Mega Man)


I would probably put Ganondorf at 45% on Mega Man. 44% on Mega Man means that Ganondorf is weaker than Yoshi, and I would never pull the trigger on Yoshi in a Ganondorf/Yoshi match. I would probably take Bowser over Ganondorf, but not Yoshi.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topictransience presents: the 75 most important matches in contest history
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 11:40:32 PM
#281
FFX might have been able to beat Brawl that year, but the site didn't trust FFX to pull that off, so Majora's Mask got the push it needed to get past FFX.

The site also didn't want Brawl to win GotD because it was the biggest symbol of the Wii era and we were already about 2 years removed from the site turning on the Wii after Nintendo's epic failure of an E3 press conference in 2008.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topictransience presents: the 75 most important matches in contest history
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 11:12:47 PM
#271
transience posted...
I'm pretty sure twitter was the main source of the rally. we just tied it to tumblr because it's so sterotypically representative of undertale -- kinda like how we blamed the Tifa rally on hentai.


Round 1 was definitely Tumblr helping out Undertale and I think Round 2 was mostly Tumblr too. It's in Round 3 when "undertale_bot" started causing havoc on the contest by tweeting about the match and getting a spike of votes that lasted for many hours. Even the tweets from the Melee pro players were only effective for about 30 minutes at the most.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 8:03:07 PM
#53
Ulti_PCA posted...
It's past time to open it up to fictional characters for this reason.

We don't need to go insane and have a 95% fictional character bracket, but the occasional Spiderman, Batman, Joker, Geralt, Thanos, or [insert random MvC3 character] after a major release should absolutely be allowed.

Adolf Hitler made it into a contest. It's not like we'll sink any lower.


I think there will need to be some restrictions for an All-Fictional Character Battle to happen. We can't just allow any sports athlete into a contest just because they happened to be in a sports game. So it makes sense to ban all sports athletes from the contest, although this does not apply for characters that are heavily removed from their real-life depiction. Someone like Charles Barkley from Barkley, Shut Up and Jam: Gaiden is clearly not based on the real-life Charles Barkley and would be one of the few exceptions to this ban.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicBoard 8 Ranks the Gen 8 Pokemon - Submissions [Due December 20th]
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 5:05:07 AM
#12
Re-doing the Gen 7 ranking project with the 7 new Pokemon introduced after the original Gen 7 ranking project would have the issue of meta voting. Those who didn't participate in the original project could vote in a way that might change the overall winner. For those who did participate in the original project, they could make significant changes to their list to sabotage certain Pokemon that finished higher than they expected.

At least re-doing Gen 7 means we could get more people who didn't participate in the original project because they didn't play any of the Gen 7 games at the time of the original project.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic~*~Ranking the CBX Characters by Contest Strength: Day 1 - Elites~*~
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 4:53:56 AM
#12
1. Samus Aran
2. Mario
3. Cloud Strife
4. Solid Snake
5. Zelda

Cloud would have lost to Mario without the rallies in his favor. Zelda beating Mario was a combination of rallies and some rSFF thrown in. Zelda also had rallies against Snake and the final result was close enough that I think the rallies affected the winner there.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/17/18 2:02:08 AM
#131
Playrate poll for the original Mega Man X:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7447-

We've already gotten a playrate poll for the original Mega Man, but now we have one for Mega Man X.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/16/18 8:47:09 AM
#118
Not_Wylvane posted...
There's no "No, I'm not traveling because all my friends and family are where I live" type option, which would be my choice. Feels like there's a couple other possibilities missing as well.


Closest option you could vote for is "No, I have time off, but I'm not going anywhere or seeing anybody". You have to remember that the poll is asking if you are traveling for the holidays, not "are you going to visit family or friends this holiday". In your case, you won't need to travel for the specific purpose of visiting family or friends as they are already with you right now.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/16/18 8:22:27 AM
#116
Not_Wylvane posted...
Holy shit is the wording on this poll terrible.


What options in this poll do you think are worded poorly?
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Princess - Day 17
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 11:58:38 PM
#69
Camilla
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicBoard 8 Ranks the Gen 8 Pokemon - Submissions [Due December 20th]
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 11:36:51 PM
#5
NFUN posted...
Generation VIII Pokemon:
Meltan
Melmetal

Have fun.


Meltan and Melmetal aren't considered Gen 8 Pokemon. Serebii thinks that Meltan will be considered part of Gen 7 instead of Gen 8 and he provides the following posts to prove his point:

https://twitter.com/JoeMerrick/status/1043596091961344000
https://twitter.com/JoeMerrick/status/1043598012986138626
https://twitter.com/JoeMerrick/status/1043596090677837824
https://twitter.com/JoeMerrick/status/1044199349918535680

If we are going to run another Pokemon ranking project, I think we should run another Gen 7 ranking project to rank the following Pokemon - Poipole, Naganadel, Stakataka, Blacephalon, Zeraora, Meltan, and Melmetal.

The re-run of the Gen 7 ranking project should include all Pokemon from Gen 7 (including Alolan Forms), but it would include the Gen 7 Pokemon that were introduced after Steiner ran his project.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 3:20:00 PM
#101
AxemRedRanger posted...
Potentially worthwhile manga/anime characters really might just be DBZ guys outside of I guess non-game Pokemon characters. Think Naruto hit too late for the gamefaqs demographic to care about him. Sailor Moon, Yami Yugi, or Spike Spiegel would have potentially higher ceilings, though I think it's more likely they all collapse laughably than look respectable.


From the Yu-Gi-Oh series, the only characters that worth getting in are Yugi Muto and Seto Kaiba. No one else from the series would be worth anything in a contest. In the case of Yugi, getting him in could be tougher unless nominations for both Yugi Muto and Yami Yugi are combined together.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion Part 2
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 4:26:54 AM
#43
Ngamer64 posted...
But I have to ask... who was Red Grunting Boneheads?


That was the team of me and tennisboy. We couldn't decide on a team name, so King Morgoth used a random name generator to create names for all of the teams without a name.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic~*Ultimaterializer's Post-Contest Analysis!!*~
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 2:22:15 AM
#226
Ulti_PCA posted...
Red Dead Redemption is way too big of a series, even on this site, for the dude to be like bottom 10 in the LOL x stats. His game almost doubled Bayonetta a mere 3 years ago, and then it broke 40% on Shadow of the Colossus. That's pretty respectable. Not crazy strong, but respectable.


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6110-

Red Dead Redemption pulled off that result against Bayonetta 2, which is probably even weaker than the original Bayonetta. It also didn't help that Bayonetta 2 was still a Wii U exclusive at the time of that match, although the entire series has since been ported to the Switch.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic~*Ultimaterializer's Post-Contest Analysis!!*~
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 2:10:27 AM
#220
Mr Lasastryke posted...
nah, switch is way too new to accomplish much on this site. PS2 would easily beat it, i'm sure. maybe even NES would beat it.


We did see this poll already:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7388-

I guess I wouldn't rule out NES beating the Switch in a 1v1 match right now. But the longer we go before doing that Console Contest, the stronger the Switch will become as a result of its growing game library.

Even though the NES is an older system than the average site user, NES games in general suffer from the fact that not a huge number of people actually care about the NES games outside of Mario 1, Zelda 1, and Mario 3. And Mario 1/Zelda 1 are weaker than several games in their respective series.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Battle Challenge [Round 3 and on Picks]
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 1:14:14 AM
#255
Pretty good performance for me in this contest.

It was pretty much impossible to get a huge streak going once we got into the Legends Bracket because there were upsets lurking around every corner. You're not going to get very many points by banking every 3 to 4 matches. The big points come from running up a huge streak and banking at the right moment.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/15/18 12:01:25 AM
#60
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7445-
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Princess - Day 16
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 10:55:55 PM
#54
Camilla
Sailor Moon
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 9:31:38 PM
#49
FINAL MATCH

Link vs. Cloud Strife
Registered Vote Result:
Link - 5411 (60.10%)
Cloud Strife - 3593 (39.90%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Link - 5732 (57.78%)
Cloud Strife - 4189 (42.22%)

Cloud improved his performance against Link by slightly over 1% and this improvement came from both registered and anonymous users. With registered users, Link went from 61.27% in the first match to 60.10% in the second match. For anonymous users, Link went from 59.11% to 57.78%. Cloud did get a slightly better improvement with anonymous users.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion Part 2
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 8:08:35 PM
#36
tennisboy213 posted...
It looks like my calculation was off and the number is 58.79%, not looking good...


Looks like Link finished at 59.27%.

Also, I had a feeling you were probably going wait until the last few seconds to submit your prediction for the final match so I couldn't make a prediction close enough to your prediction to lock up 1st place in this contest. I did the same thing, hoping you wouldn't be able to look at my prediction so you could make a prediction that was far enough away from mine to have a chance at a comeback.

th3l3fty posted...
congrats Luster


Thanks.

I had a bunch of previous finishes in the 10-19 range, except for a random 3rd place finish for Rivalry Rumble. Usually I ran into the problem of starting out good and then dropping off a cliff later in the contest.

In this contest, that didn't happen. It took a few days to get into the top 5, but after that happened, I didn't go through any extended period of doing bad with my predictions.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 7:25:10 PM
#30
@creativename

Your updater picked up poll 7388 after the end of the final match. You'll have to stop the updater from tracking polls, and also delete the updates for poll 7388 from the database.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 7:12:39 PM
#36
Final tiebreaker results:

Overall contest - 2961616
Second Chance contest - 572390
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 7:00:47 PM
#20
No bonus match today.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 6:27:53 PM
#15
_Dog_ posted...
Weird, since it says "Next Character Battle" in less than an hour


That message doesn't mean much. We had that message there on the final day of matches before the Thanksgiving break, even though we didn't get any bonus matches during the break.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1323
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 6:03:19 PM
#12
From what I can tell, it doesn't seem like we'll have any bonus matches. Only 3 poll IDs have been inserted into the database (7445, 7446, 7447), which would likely be the regular polls for Saturday/Sunday/Monday.

If there were going to be bonus matches, more than 3 poll IDs would have to be added to the database.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicAnyone interested in getting some bonus matches after the true contest final?
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 3:53:46 AM
#33
_SecretSquirrel posted...
The only thing I would caution against when it comes to bonus matches is that it may be best not to give away everything.

Cloud vs. Samus could be a pivotal match next time around with a bunch of points at stake in a Link-less bracket. If we do it now, we could answer too many questions.


At the same time, we do need more information on the strength of some characters since we got too many rematches in the Loser bracket. Sephiroth is still an unknown. We're not completely sure where Snake is at.

The only type of bonus match I am opposed to running are matches involving fictional characters that didn't originate from video games. I don't want to see matches like Link/Batman or Goku/Superman before their debut in the All-Fictional Character Battle.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion Part 2
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 3:05:02 AM
#32
Haste_2 posted...
Link currently has 60.20%. At this time in the previous Link/Cloud match, Link had 61.80%. If Link drops by the same amount... he ends up at 58.92%. Which is right inbetween tennisboy and Luster's picks! =O


It's not a sure thing that this match will follow the exact same trends as the previous Link/Cloud match. Link will drop overnight just like in the previous match, but Link continued losing percentage with the morning and day vote in the previous match. I think Smash can be blamed for that, since it came out during the previous Link/Cloud match. It might have explained why Link continued losing percentage during the second half of the match, as people were picking up their copy of Smash and were more focused on playing Smash than visiting the site to vote in the match. That affects Link's potential voters far more than Cloud's potential voters.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/14/18 12:15:58 AM
#20
My contest grade is a B+

No rallies with the size of Draven or Undertale was great to see. Lots of exciting matches in the later part of the contest was also exciting.

The bad parts of the contest was doing the 6 day Thanksgiving break for people to fill out a Second Chance bracket. The break killed our vote totals and we never once got above 30000 votes after the break. This problem could have been solved by running bonus matches during the break. My idea for bonus matches during the Thanksgiving break would have involved the losers of the division finals being placed into a series of bonus polls. We would have gotten these matches:

Vivi vs. Zero
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Kirby
Aerith Gainsborough vs. Geralt
Luigi vs. Ryu

The winners of each match would move onto the next round (it would be a mini bracket of 8 characters) and we could have done one match per day during the 6 day Thanksgiving break. It would have solved the problem of keeping the site interested in the contest during the break.

Another problem with the contest was the match pictures. Not giving Board 8 a chance to suggest better pictures for the early rounds of the contest.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicAnyone interested in getting some bonus matches after the true contest final?
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 11:42:00 PM
#23
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Thanks for Voting! Next Battle in 19 hours


This is what remains after voting today. Are we getting bonus matches after all, or did Allen forget to change the text?


That message was there on the last day of matches before we had the Thanksgiving break, yet we didn't have any bonus matches during the break. So I wouldn't take that message as confirmation of any bonus matches.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicAnyone interested in getting some bonus matches after the true contest final?
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 11:30:08 PM
#21
Haste_2 posted...
We should have division finalist bonus matches.

Vivi vs. Zero
Red vs. Kirby
Aerith vs. Geralt
Luigi vs. Ryu


That would have been a great idea during the 6 day Thanksgiving break. Taking all of the division final losers and putting them into a mini 8 character bracket would have allowed us to run one match per day during the Thanksgiving break. It would have been a good idea to keep the site interested in the contest during the break, because our vote totals dropped off after the break since we had no matches running during the break.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 11:26:08 PM
#373
Cloud just got his first cut of this match at 11:25 PM. In the previous Link/Cloud match, the first cut didn't happen until 1:05 AM.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 11:14:46 PM
#368
Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 3 and later

Zelda vs. Cloud Strife
Registered Vote Result:
Zelda - 4400 (50.37%)
Cloud Strife - 4335 (49.63%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Zelda - 4717 (46.48%)
Cloud Strife - 5431 (53.52%)

Zelda barely won the registered users and did nearly 4% better compared to anonymous users.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 10:01:01 PM
#15
As of right now, I have just started listening to this episode.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicIf It Were Up to Board 8 Final Battle: Samus vs. Alucard
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 9:50:48 PM
#31
Samus
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe SBAllen appreciation topic!
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 9:29:50 PM
#34
The 6 day break for people to fill out a Second Chance bracket was a bad idea because it killed our vote totals after the contest returned again. We never once got above 30000 votes after the Thanksgiving break.

If we are going to have a Second Chance contest with a 6 day break for future contests, we really should have some bonus polls during the break to keep the site interested in the contest when the contest officially resumes again. One possible idea for bonus polls during this contest's Thanksgiving break would have involved the losers of the division finals being placed into a series of bonus polls. We would have gotten these matches:

Vivi vs. Zero
Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Kirby
Aerith Gainsborough vs. Geralt
Luigi vs. Ryu

The winners of each match would move onto the next round (it would be a mini bracket of 8 characters) and we could have done one match per day during the 6 day Thanksgiving break.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 8:07:32 PM
#314
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Are the bonus matches confirmed or not?


We don't know yet. There is a trick I can use involving the contest voting page to find out which poll IDs have been inserted into the database and all I can find is a poll ID for 7444 (tomorrow's regular poll). As tomorrow will be a Friday, Allen is expected to input at least 3 regular polls into the database for Saturday/Sunday/Monday. If I can't find more than 3 poll IDs inserted into the database before the end of today's match, then there won't be any bonus matches.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:49:08 PM
#14
MetalmindStats posted...
FWIW, KP's adjusted X-Stats are already more or less done.


I don't think they can be considered a finished product when we could still have some bonus matches that could factor into some adjustments.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic* Character Battle X First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:39:09 PM
#172
2nd vote, 1st for Cloud Strife

I have no idea if we'll have bonus matches tomorrow, but it will give me another chance for some first vote attempts.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Princess - Day 15
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:38:03 PM
#16
Camilla
Peach
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:35:27 PM
#304
red sox 777 posted...
Link is not pleased with this Cloud for 45% discussion and just blasted his way to a 63.88% update.


Another 1%+ gain for Link with an even bigger 67.28% update.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge Discussion Part 2
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:17:23 PM
#21
tennisboy213 posted...
According to my calculations, I need Link to finish at 58.88% or below to win, otherwise Luster wins.


Link probably goes above that if Cloud is getting bandwagoned here.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Grand Final
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 6:59:57 PM
#59
Link - 59.96%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 10- Zelda/Cloud Upset Madness, Crono/MM Slugfest! w TPLink and MZero
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 6:38:58 PM
#9
Currently downloading this episode. Will listen to it after the final match starts.

For the Wrap-Up Show, I recommend waiting at least 3 days after the contest ends before doing the final episode because the stats guys are still working on the adjusted X-Stats.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 6:29:08 PM
#249
Advokaiser posted...
Still no votes for D.F. (Mexico City)

Do you need to activate an option on the settings for you to be registered under certain country/state?


It appears that the map for Mexico is very bugged. Given that the DF is the largest region in Mexico by population, it's really strange that there aren't any votes from there. I went back through past polls, and it's been like that for the past few months of polls. I might have to report this issue to Allen eventually.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 8:43:35 AM
#187
creativename posted...
Does your projection of how many registered voters we would have finished at, take into account that the first half of the match probably has more registered users?


Of course it does. I've done some hourly registered voting trend charts for select matches this contest and looked up the trend chart that looks most similar at the 12 hour point in comparison to the hourly chart I did for Cloud/Mario. At the 12 hour point, we had 50.50% registered users in this match. The closest comparison was Yoshi/Pikachu with 50.59% registered users at the same point in the match.

The trend charts can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub?gid=1379643868
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicBABE BRAWL: Amouranth (c) vs. Emiru - TIEBREAKER (NOMINATE!)
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 7:51:10 AM
#6
Amouranth
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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TopicCharacter Battle X Battle Challenge [Round 3 and on Picks]
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 12:57:53 AM
#242
Link
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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TopicCharacter Battle X Oracle Challenge - Grand Final
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 12:38:43 AM
#21
Link - 62.50%
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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TopicThe SBAllen appreciation topic!
LusterSoldier
12/13/18 12:34:37 AM
#6
NowItsAngeTime posted...
I would prefer if we didn't enforce having to vote in every match but I think this current contest format otherwise is great


I think this idea was just fine for Character Battles where it's at least more likely that someone will recognize one of the characters from each match and pick them.

For a Games Contest, this would be a bad idea. It's a lot harder to sell people on the idea of voting for a game they've never played if you had a match where someone has not played either game. This would be a lot more likely in the future Game of the Decade contest in 2020.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as BK_Sheikah00, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
LusterSoldier
12/12/18 11:05:49 PM
#144
Haste_2 posted...
Theose x-stats seem pretty reasonable. Too bad Samus couldn't face Cloud, so where to place Zelda will forever remain a mystery. Still, lowering Zelda and Snake makes things look better.


Unless we get some good bonus matches to get a better idea of the Noble Nine character strengths. This is the best proposal for a bonus match set-up:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77296482
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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