Lurker > SuperNiceDog

posted mine!
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I wish Mercy(Overwatch) was in. I love her a lot.
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ZenOfThunder posted...

thank you user @SuperNiceDog for all the archiving!

@NowItsAngeTime i dunno why but the https fucked it up just go to www.thelangoliers.com

No prob. I think that initial link is messed up yea. Type in www and it worked though.
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HarrietTubgirl posted...

I used to be way better at these contests, but there are so many changes in the user base here that I feel overwhelmed now.

I therefore will be posting what I think are the tough-to-call matches for discussion. I'll give you my gut reaction and you can give me facts that show how stupid my intuition is!

Let's start with Division 1

Sneaky challenging

Victor Sullivan vs Aya Brea

Sully is probably the most likable character in the amazingly successful Uncharted series, and he's squaring off with the heroine from a relatively-forgotten 20-year old JRPG. So why is this potentially tricky?

Well, for one, Uncharted just doesn't seem to get a whole lotta love here, and its mainstream success almost taints its online fandom. And Sully is definitely not the face of the game.

Secondly:

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/6a/30/a0/6a30a07eeb90e3cd7634cce8dc51a8a9.jpg

The picture factor could definitely throw a wrench in there, especially if neither character is known by the voters.

For now, I am still going with Victor Sullivan.

.

Aya is gonna win this. TJF(The JUG Factor) don't underestimate it, think of the shift in society that has occurred in the past 3 years. More and more voters on the site are dating less, looking at porn/thirsty more due to the allegation/culture war on men.

Also, if you haven't played Uncharted, you will NOT know who Victor Sullivan is. I do not know who he is.
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Piggy_Powers, in his topic "How do you register your Character Battle X Bracket.", is curious about how to turn in his bracket. Thinks it's like a homework assignment. Would be hilarious if he ended up winning the contest.

TRE ends up responding.

From 10-8-18, pre-contest.
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On Day 61 of the "Save my Final Fantasy Characters contest XX", hosted by th3l3fty

This is the current standings:









Early standings plus the early vote, posted on 10-9-18
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On 10-8-18, SuperNiceDog posts that he wishes that an online sportsbook or betting app would allow for lines, spreads, and odds to be made on the various contest matches.
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HarrietTubGirl begins his pre-contest analysis of the the bracket. Topic Title is "SephG crowdsources the tough matches in his bracket - prove he's an idiot!"

Began on 10-9-18
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WhiteLens posted...

Dels posted...

i mean i feel like it's kind of a "you" problem at this point if you have a problem with rallies. they are the new reality

Yes, let's embrace it....

They are. It's like still being mad about Trump 2 years later now in 2018. Embrace the new reality.

Losers stay stuck in the past.
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thanks Ange
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handsomeboy2012 posted...

Who would Trump rally for?

Trump is actually against video games lol
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From "Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1282", SuperNiceDog lays out his theory as to why Cloud MAY underperform expectations in the contest.

UltimaterializerX embraces the debate and enjoys SuperNiceDog's comparison of the NBA player Kevin Durant and Cloud Strife(Final Fantasy 7)

Finally, dilateDChemist tells his story of how excited he and his friends were was when Cloud was announced as part of the roster for Smash Bros. Wii U back in 2015.

From 10-8-18, pre-contest discussion.
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RoseChevalier posted...

Surprise Top Games List! These are my top 15 video games with no description, and all in one post. They're not in any particular order either. I'd love to talk about any or all of them!

Final Fantasy 7

I still can't believe how good FF7 was when it was released in 1997, compared to its competition.

What was your favorite song from the game? For me... I would go with J-E-N-O-V-A

That song is just amazing...

Why did games from back then... have such better stories and so much more emotion than the crap that is released now?
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If PewDiePie or some other big Youtuber starts making videos about the contest...

what do you think would happen?
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xp1337 posted...

I have Zelda, but that's a pretty big upset pick. Squall should rightly be considered a heavy favorite.

I'm just leaning into Breath of the Wild, ZeldaFEAR, NintendoFAQs, and maybe the registered voter bonus here.

yea I'm super scared of Zelda right now... she's just so iconic at this point.
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Haloiscoolisbak thinks a "back-breaking rally" is inevitable. Also, Ytterbicide passionately lays out why Cayde-6 will win the whole bracket.

From 10-9-18
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From "Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1282", SuperNiceDog asks about the possibility of Lightning upsetting Dante in a potential Division 1, Round 2 matchup. From 10-8-18.

Also, NowItsAngeTime mentions how he closed his original topic and informs people of Boo-Mario's new BOP topic.
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In the topic: "What is the most impressive contest performance of all time? In your opinion.", DoomtheGyarados passionately expresses his love for the contest.

From 10-8-18
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Lightning Strikes makes a poll on a 4-pack in division 4, Phoenix Wright/Chris Redfield/Ike/Joel

"Who ya got?" is the question, from 10-8-18.

Phoenix > Ike leads with 51.17% on 10-9-18, 1:31AM PST
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Exthanemesis, in the topic "Leon Analyzes the bracket, Part 2:", is scared of a potential Overwatch rally. Posted on 10-8-18
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Lolo_Guru questions if he should even make a bracket, on 10-8-18. Would be hilarious if he ends up winning.
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SuperNiceDog lists his favorite contest factors pre-contest, on 10-8-18

Like this?
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xp1337 posted...

It might speak to my being out of touch with the Mario/main series Nintendo fanbase of late but honestly I was surprised by all the Rosalina confidence. I didn't think she'd be worth much. Like Fodder Line + some Nintendo Advantages or something.

You knew her name though at least?

I didn't know who Geralt was...
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Who will win?
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Underleveled posted...

Ranticoot is way off-base.

I'm still taking Geralt but Rosalina has a huge Smash and MK fanbase, not to mention the fanbase that got her into those games in the first place.

I have been doing contests since 2002, been on the board since 2002, didn't know who Geralt was upon going thru the bracket
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thank you for doing this Zen!
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ZenOfThunder posted...

more people have fapped to rosalina

hahah Zen where did you find this "data"?
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picking Rosalina cuz Rosalina p--- ^_^
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MZero11 posted...

SuperNiceDog posted...

5) SFF(Same Franchise Factor)

I thought this was Same Fanbase Factor >_>

Oh yea I think it is fanbase. We would have to ask official contest historians, like NGamer, if it's franchise or fanbase.
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oh another one:

6) RacistFAQs

Whenever a black character underperforms or loses... it's racistFAQS

The best match of this being Golden Sun vs GTA: San Andreas. That match was GOLDEN for this factor.
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1) TJF(The JUG Factor)

A classic. Morrigan, Tifa, Zero Suit Samus...

2) NGNW("normal guy never wins")

Gordon Freeman, Niko Bellic, Tanner, Eddie Riggs, Tommy Vercetti, Nathan Hale, Frank West, Alan Wake, Welkin Gunther, Chris Redfield, Captain McMillian, Captain John Price, Nathan Drake, Marcus Fenix, Dan Hibiki, Steven Armstrong, Mike Haggar, John Marston, etc....

If you're a "normal guy", or have a "normal guy" sounding name, you will SUCK in these contests. I don't care how many million copies GTA 5 has sold, those "characters" from those games will never win.

3) Dat top option

When in doubt, vote for the top one lolzzz.

4) Kingdom HEARTS FACTOR(for 2003 contest)

KH being the reason Cloud was able to deliver the biggest upset ever on Link in 2003(arguably)

5) SFF(Same Franchise Factor)

Ganon getting like 20% against Link in 2004 lollllllll.

What are some of your favorite "factors" in contest history?
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L block winning in the finals 2007.

Still one of the most surprising results ever.
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It would be so crazy if a betting website like Bovada or bet.online established lines for these matches and you could bet money on it, like:

Odds to win it all:

Link 1-4
Mario 3-1
Snake 3.25-1
Cloud 4-1

etc....

Sports betting is getting legalized, why couldn't this contest have established betting lines and odds like any other sporting event?
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ExThaNemesis posted...

Does anyone still play video games?

This is a very good point. Video games themselves have become sort of a meme at this point.

I personally don't play many video games anymore, just watch let's plays, highlights, trailers of the game. Or I watch other people play video games. Nothing is "serious business" anymore. Fortnight/Overwatch being the most popular games right now is a clear example of this, they're cartoony/meme-focused games. Overwatch is best known for 1) it's p--- and 2) the Esports League...
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Nice!
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oh nooo!
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Leaning.... Kirby right now, but I'm not sure.
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NFUN posted...

one less bracket to worry about

whaaaa????? Should I pick Aloy to win it all?
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MoogleKupo141 posted...

I hope you become a repeat Guru champion

thanks MOOGY! I just got lucky last time tho lol.... 2011 was a horrible contest too... "rivalry rumble" lolz
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I am. First time back since 2015.
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FoR 2 THOUSAND DOLLLARUUUUU?!
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