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TopicToy Story Mafia Topic 2 - On the Conveyor Belt
Forceful_Dragon
04/15/24 1:34:06 PM
#176:


htaeD posted...
While I appreciate that Mzero has a drive now, I do want to know what eveven was the suboptimal FD strategy he is referring too.
I am asking as the guy who died night1 and wants to check that game again

In valentines we decided on 4 players among who the final 2 scum "must" have been. I presented a mathematical process to pair people up and force those players either together or separately on alternating days in a way that would allow us to test all 4 of them.

Now the pool of players was incorrect by design, but HAD it been correct I stand by the strategy I was presenting and would have pursued a similar approach as town. Essentially I was crafting a plan in which Sultan and I would have had like a 25% chance of winning outright or a 75% chance of me sacrificing Sultan and trying to win out by myself. But that 25% chance of winning outright got increased to nearly 100% by Ulti and Isquen blowing my plan up in a foolish way. If my actual plan had been adhered to then Sultan was likely going down, but instead they gave me the justification I needed to ensure they died the following day.

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~C~ FD
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