LogFAQs > #982797468

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/editor-jon-ralstons-2024-nevada-election-predictions

Prediction seems to be comfortable for Rosen (D) but extremely narrow (48.5 Harris to 48.2 Trump) for the presidency, notes that it will not be called on election night. This is probably the most credible analyst on Nevada elections, though other people have made similar projections that Nevada is tilt Democrat.

The GOP holds a few thousand vote in lead, but the expectation is that this represents a lot of former eday voters, meaning many GOP votes have been banked and this means eday will skew less Republican. This relies on union machines working hard for turnout and the "other" column in party votes breaking for Harris, which seems plausible. I recommend reading it, but it tells a very uncertain story on the presidency.