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TopicVideo Game Console Mafia - Topic 6: Aim for a High Score
EDumey
05/06/23 6:41:12 PM
#60:


Let me try to do the MYLO math with testing Sultan. For the record I feel inclined to say again that I think Sultan is town so this isn't my preference, but something for town to consider.

(assuming Sultan is town and truthful)
12 people alive. 9v3 (probably safe to say 3 scum left at most)
Lynch Sultan, Sultan shoots MZero. Hypothetically MZero flips town. Scum shoots town.
9 people alive. 6v3
Another mislynch, scum shoots town.
7 people alive. 4v3
We are in MYLO, still have a chance to win.

However, I think it's highly highly likely that scum is either MZero or Death. So that worst case scenario probably wouldn't happen. More likely that we lynch scum when 9 people are alive, making is 5v2 in that last round.

It seems fairly safe to "test" Sultan if we think that one of MZero or Death is definitely scum.

My argument though is that we can do the same thing in reverse?

Just lynch Death. If he flips town, we can do the Sultan exchange after. Or if Death flips scum, we can test Sultan with him shooting someone else in the PoE like Ctes instead.

Sultan, answer me this: If Death flips scum, would you still suspect MZero, or would he be cleared because probably no way that they both visit Red N1 as scum?

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