LogFAQs > #906331672

ScareChan posted...[D1, T1, P008]

Im going to see winnie the pooh in a little bit

I expect several pages when I get back

It's called Christopher Robin. Please stop lying.

.

Corrik posted...[D1, T1, P023]

Odds of me being scum this game are probably in the hundreds of thousands.

I keep seeing this brough up. Do you not know how math works?

It's VERY easy to figure out.

This game is 6/22
TT was 5/16
Blade was 5/20

5 * 5 * 6 = 150
22 * 16 * 20 = 7040

Your chance of being scum THIS game is 6/22 or 27.27%

Your chance of being scum ALL THREE of the last games is 150/7040 or 2.13% which is about 1 in 47.

Please dispense with this hundreds of thousands garbage. You are starting to sound like Ulti in the hearthstone topics and Lord knows I see enough of that already.

.

ColZach posted...[D1, T1, P046]

honestly the chance of you being scum 3 games in a row is still very roughly 1/27 at max, assuming average scum team is around a third of the game

Close, but it's actually only about half that^

and 1/3 is not average scum size but typically more of the max scum size. 1/4 is more of the minimum with the average falling somewhere in between. The cube root of 47 is 3.6 so I guess the average over the last 3 games is 1 in 3.6.

.

benjamin3740 posted...[D1, T1, P057]

My role is doctor so I'll check his pulse tonight.

Uhh..... That isn't how doctor works. (not sure if serious post)

.

Corrik posted...[D1, T1, P084]

##vote: FD

You crazy, Rik.

And I wont be on those posts for awhile but later on you say that I should be posting my usual activity rather than posting the reason why I'm not available to do it.

Do you realize how idiotic that is? It takes me 10 minutes to make a post explaining how (A) my birthday is this weekend and (B) I have lots of crazy work and (C) I have to get up early for church [this one is because my wife and I are going to a new church that is about an hour each way to get there so sundays just got busier moving forward]. It takes 10 minutes to throw that together.

On the flip side it is going to take me HOURS to poor through the thousand+ posts in day 1. HOURS that until just now I hadn't even the slightest moment to properly spare time for. But I'm committed to the idea that the clues are already there and if I put in the time I can find them, so I will be putting in the time. So I'm not trying to ride off last games coattails, because the shit I did last game is the same shit I did the game before, and the game before. I don't expect you to think I'm town this game because I was town last game. I expect you to think I'm town this game because I'm going to do my damndest to hunt scum and I intend to find them.

.

htaeD posted...[D1, T1, P102]

taking from my last scumgame I can agree with Leo
scum gets away with a lot because town always limits itself to a few players each day

and by the time Mylo comes around, they are too lazy or tired out to broaden their scopes.

Just wanted to say that i like this post a lot. I hadn't taken notice of it when I did my post last night (the one about the tree branches), but I resonate really hard with the line of thinking.

.
---

~C~ FD
https://imgur.com/dGDfxaw