LogFAQs > #913272860

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Topic	Smash Ultimate Mafia Topic 5: Or as others call it Smash Brothers for Switch
Forceful_Dragon 11/29/18 8:26:22 PM #205:	Doopliss_Power posted... Forceful_Dragon posted... Eh, I'm still siding with scare here. The risk/reward here greatly favors a han lynch. If we lynch one of them and they're Town, we lynch the other. Thus, the only risk/reward involved is who's more likely to be scum. Scare is far, far more likely to be scum. Call it 50/50 Call it 80/20 Call it 30/70 Break down the likelihoods however you like and the fact remains that one of them MUST be scum. And one of them is probably telling the truth unless they are both scum. The benefit of a successful scum han lynch outweighs the benefit of a successful scum scare lynch. The downside of a town scare mislynch is WORSE than the downside of a town Han mislynch. . Han is the way to go today. --- ~C~ FD https://imgur.com/dGDfxaw <cite>Forceful_Dragon posted [p:913272860] in Smash Ulti... [t:77251954]...</cite> <quote><cite>Doopliss_Power posted...</cite> <quote><cite>Forceful_Dragon posted...</cite> <quote>Eh, I'm still siding with scare here. The risk/reward here greatly favors a han lynch.</quote> If we lynch one of them and they're Town, we lynch the other. Thus, the only risk/reward involved is who's more likely to be scum. Scare is far, far more likely to be scum.</quote> Call it 50/50 Call it 80/20 Call it 30/70 Break down the likelihoods however you like and the fact remains that one of them MUST be scum. And one of them is probably telling the truth unless they are both scum. The benefit of a successful scum han lynch outweighs the benefit of a successful scum scare lynch. The downside of a town scare mislynch is WORSE than the downside of a town Han mislynch. . Han is the way to go today. --- ~C~ FD https://imgur.com/dGDfxaw</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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