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Topic	I wish we could know how much of a difference these quarantines actually make.
shipwreckers 03/18/20 12:34:59 AM #6:	Playsaver posted... We do know. https://fox2now.com/news/philadelphia-didnt-cancel-a-parade-during-a-1918-pandemic-the-results-were-devastating/ While not a quarantine, the link above shows what can happen when you allow large groups of people get together during a pandemic. Mead posted... https://qz.com/1816060/a-chart-of-the-1918-spanish-flu-shows-why-social-distancing-works/ historically we know that this is an example of how social distancing works during an epidemic But, mind you, they didn't shut the entire fucking city of St. Louis down. They merely cancelled the parade. But indeed, I guess that's the best measure we have to go by. (Learning from past mistakes). Also, just based on the napkin math of that incident's statistics, the death rate of Spanish Flu was about 3% (same as COVID-19, at least to date). I guess the big question here is, How minimal can you make the damage to the economy while still curbing the spread of disease? Nobody is saying that the CONCEPT of quarantines is faulty. We all know that (at least on paper, and historically) they CAN make a difference. There are just so many questions that reasonably follow. Do you JUST cancel mass events? (e.g. parades / stadiums full of 20,000+ people / etc.) Do we close down stores / restaurants / service industries? Italy has pretty much shut down everything at this point. Drawing the perfect line is easier said than done. --- Money is overrated... <cite>shipwreckers posted [p:935828471] in I wish we ... [t:78481505]...</cite> <quote>Playsaver posted... </cite> <quote>We do know. https://fox2now.com/news/philadelphia-didnt-cancel-a-parade-during-a-1918-pandemic-the-results-were-devastating/ While not a quarantine, the link above shows what can happen when you allow large groups of people get together during a pandemic.</quote> Mead posted... </cite> <quote>https://qz.com/1816060/a-chart-of-the-1918-spanish-flu-shows-why-social-distancing-works/ historically we know that this is an example of how social distancing works during an epidemic</quote> But, mind you, they didn't shut the entire fucking city of St. Louis down. They merely cancelled the parade. But indeed, I guess that's the best measure we have to go by. (Learning from past mistakes). Also, just based on the napkin math of that incident's statistics, the death rate of Spanish Flu was about 3% (same as COVID-19, at least to date). I guess the big question here is, How minimal can you make the damage to the economy while still curbing the spread of disease? Nobody is saying that the CONCEPT of quarantines is faulty. We all know that (at least on paper, and historically) they CAN make a difference. There are just so many questions that reasonably follow. Do you JUST cancel mass events? (e.g. parades / stadiums full of 20,000+ people / etc.) Do we close down stores / restaurants / service industries? Italy has pretty much shut down everything at this point. Drawing the perfect line is easier said than done. --- Money is overrated...</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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