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| Topic | Coronavirus Episode 6: Return of the Jedi |
| Esuriat 04/03/20 5:32:54 PM #141: | A couple of things with that report. San Miguel county is a very sparsely populated county, the county seat Telluride being a town of just 2,484 (2018 est.). Spread is inherently going to be much slower in places such as these. And I like how in the replies this guy immediately shuts this possibility down with no extra qualification. Not to say I completely disagree with the substance of that tweet, and it's still useful information. Any claim of "most" being infected by now is bullshit. Imperial College recently implicated ( https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellow ships/Imperial-College-COVID19-Europe-estimates-and-NPI-impact-30-03-2020.pdf ) that in Europe between 0.72% in the lightest affected country, Germany, and 15% in the worst, Spain, may have been infected by the date given of March 25. I think it's become pretty clear through comparison of what we're seeing now and what the anecdotes are supposing that any significant spread through January is unlikely and February sickness was still highly limited. Bear in mind that the US is about 10 days behind most of these countries' curves. EDIT: Close the space in the link, of course --- Essy ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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