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Topic	Coronavirus Episode 6: Return of the Jedi
LordoftheMorons 04/03/20 5:42:20 PM #142:	Esuriat posted... A couple of things with that report. San Miguel county is a very sparsely populated county, the county seat Telluride being a town of just 2,484 (2018 est.). Spread is inherently going to be much slower in places such as these. I agree that low density communities will have lower spread, but I don't think that affects the conclusion at all; we don't care about the actual number of cases here, just the fraction that were asymptomatic. The additional info we are missing is how many of those new positives were exhibiting some symptoms. There's gonna be a ton more asymptomatic cases per capita in NYC, but presumably the asymptomatic/symptomatic ratio should be roughly the same. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! <cite>LordoftheMorons posted [p:936725659] in Coronaviru... [t:78523738]...</cite> <quote>Esuriat posted... </cite> <quote>A couple of things with that report. San Miguel county is a very sparsely populated county, the county seat Telluride being a town of just 2,484 (2018 est.). Spread is inherently going to be much slower in places such as these.</quote>I agree that low density communities will have lower spread, but I don't think that affects the conclusion at all; we don't care about the actual number of cases here, just the fraction that were asymptomatic. The additional info we are missing is how many of those new positives were exhibiting some symptoms. There's gonna be a ton more asymptomatic cases per capita in NYC, but presumably the asymptomatic/symptomatic ratio should be roughly the same. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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