LogFAQs > #956512998

These are going to be far from perfect and there may be an error somewhere, but I surveyed the groups and came up with these realistic advancement scenarios

Group 1
--While not mathematically so, Aerith has all but guaranteed advancement
--Ike needs to beat Aerith to advance
--King Dedede needs to win and Ike to lose
--While not mathematically so, Kiryu has all but been eliminated

Group 2
--This group has already been decided. Donkey Kong and Jecht will advance regardless of results.

Group 3
--While not mathematically, Alucard has all but guaranteed advancement
--The Boss needs to have a better result or an equal one with a better vote differential (faces Vivi)
--Sephiroth needs to have a better result or an equal one with a better vote differential (faces Alucard)
--While not mathematically so, Vivi has all but been eliminated

Group 4
--Phoenix needs to win or draw (faces Zelda) or Snake to lose
--Snake needs to win or draw(faces Kirby)
--Kirby needs to win (faces Snake)
--Zelda's vote differential is probably too terrible to realistically advance regardless of results

Group 5
--While not mathematically so, Cloud has all but guaranteed advancement due to vote differential
--Godot needs to win (faces Cloud), draw alongside a Kyle loss, or not lose ground on vote differential
--Kyle needs to win (faces Carmen) alongside a Godot draw or loss or have an equal result to Godot but with a better vote differential overall
--Carmen needs to win (faces Kyle) alongside a Godot loss and with a better vote differential overall

Group 6
--While not mathematically so, Big Boss has all but guaranteed advancement due to vote differential
--Count Bleck needs to not give up vote differential to Raiden in the case of a loss and Raiden win
--Raiden needs to win and Bleck lose while overtaking him in vote differential
--While not mathematically so, Cave Johnson has all but been eliminated

Group 7
--Meta Knight needs to not lose and give up vote differential to Mega Man (currently has a +13 lead)
--Missile needs to have an equal or better result than Mega Man
--Mega Man needs to have a better result than Missile
--While not mathematically so, Geralt is all but guaranteed elimination

Group 8
--Mario has guaranteed advancement to Round 5
--While not mathematically so, Shulk has all but guaranteed advancement
--If 2B can blow the doors off Robo alongside a Shulk loss, there's a very slim chance
--Robo has guaranteed elimination

Group 9
--Need to wait for Set 2 to play out before hypothesizing

Group 10
--Need to wait for Set 2 to play out before hypothesizing

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snowpork
azuarc is OP.