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LurkerFAQs ( 06.29.2011-09.11.2012 ), Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
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TopicTime to examine how well last year's fantasy football predictions worked out
SmartMuffin
08/01/11 9:55:00 PM
#48:


Let's review:

8 of the Top 10 pre-season QBs finished within five spots of where they were predicted. The only failures were Romo (injury) and Favre (stupidity and injury). Of the Top 10 Actual QBs, only three (Vick, Freeman, Ryan) weren't predicted in the Top 10 pre-season.

Of the Top 10 predicted RBs, every single one of them finished within the Top 20. Predictions 10-20 didn't do so well though. 11 of the Actual Top 20 were predicted there pre-season.

For WRs, it was a little shakier, but 10 of the pre-season top 20 finished in the actual top 20. TEs had about the same success rate, 5 out of the 10 pre-season top 10 finished in the actual top 10.

Obviously those aren't perfect results, but it's better than I was expecting. What's insightful is that the clear majority of the huge busts were due to random chance (injury) rather than any particular flaw in analysis.

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