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TopicI am interested to see what N. Korea does tomorrow.
darkknight109
04/17/17 1:24:30 PM
#66:


desuno-to posted...
1) For the purposes of this discussion, I think we can call it one country. Separating the two would be like calling the Iraqi war a multi-country war because it involved Kurdistan. But let's not get caught up in semantics, there is no doubt that there will be huge casualties in both Koreas; the question is, if the war will encompass the neighbouring countries.

Call it semantics if you like, but the point is this is different than Iraq. In Iraq the fighting was simply the US and her allies attacking Iraq; in Korea, it would be the US/allies attacking the North and the North attacking the South.

desuno-to posted...
2) Is it though? Literally the entire world knows the exact progress and capabilities of their missile program, and we've been able to monitor all the missiles that were launched

Except this isn't true. In fact, one of the reactions to the recent military parade was surprise from international experts as to the type and number of missiles on display, some of which had never been seen before (or, at least, not publicly acknowledged). The international community can watch the North's progress on ICBMs due to their unique nature, but keeping tabs on their conventional arsenal is much more difficult.

desuno-to posted...
3) While I agree that a destabilized NK will be a humanitarian nightmare for China, that won't be the case of a Unified Korea, which I would think would be the goal of any New Korean War. Assuming that SK "wins", I can't foresee a huge exodus of North Koreans fleeing a Unified Korea.

Then you're not thinking about what the country will look like in the immediate aftermath of fighting. Countries don't tend to come out of large-scale conflicts without some pretty significant damage. Consider Syria - the refugees there aren't fleeing because they don't like Syria (many, in fact, wish they could return home), they're fleeing because their houses have been or are at significant risk of being blown up. Korea would be the same thing, except orders of magnitude worse.
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