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| Topic | Leonhart Analyzes the Bracket: Part 2! |
| LeonhartFour 10/05/18 8:50:57 PM #10: | Finals Division (1) Link (3) Vivi Relevant poll (mostly just for laughs): https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1750-hyrule-division-round-2-link-vs-ganondorf He come to town. Winner: Link Odds: LOL (8) Mega Man (1) Zero Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1768-20xx-division-semifinal-mega-man-vs-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3296-division-5-final-mega-man-cube-snake-zero https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5261-character-battle-ix-division-9-final-mega-man-vs-zero-mmx-vs https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5265-character-battle-ix-bonus-battle-3-runners-up-battle https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2121-20xx-division-final-mega-man-vs-yoshi I'm actually really curious to see how well Zero holds up 1-on-1 now after their original match. Mega Man needed him to fold in multi-way matches in 2008 and 2013, and so he did, so I don't take that as an indication of a widening gap. I think Zero will hold up like a champ again, but he can't really win. If it's Yoshi or Pikachu, Mega Man's beaten both of them, too! Not exactly a fair scenario for Pikachu, but he looks pretty clearly weaker there for whatever it's worth. You could give him a small shot if something weird happens. Yoshi would have no chance though. I think he only gets here if both Zero and Pikachu totally flop anyway. Winner: Mega Man Odds: 100% (4) Cloud Strife (4) Big Boss Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3297-division-6-final-squall-sora-cloud-mewtwo Cloud has fallen off quite a bit in the last decade or so, but he hasn't fallen this far, at least not yet. I think Big Boss can put up a good fight and look respectable in defeat. If Sora's here, it'll probably get ugly, as that poll demonstrates. I can't imagine Red can pull it off either. People might want to point to RR, but Red/Blue together is stronger than Red alone (which I think is pretty obvious, but hey, figured I should cover all my bases!). Winner: Cloud Odds: 100% (5) Crono (1) Kirby Now this one has the potential to be interesting if Crono hasn't gained anything from 2015's CT boost. Crono/Pikachu/Magus in CBIX seemed to indicate that Pikachu would've won that match even if you take Magus out of that poll. Multi-way matches can be wonky though, so I don't like using them as an absolute metric. It makes for an interesting hypothetical though because I'd take Kirby over Pikachu without thinking twice. Crono's only won one match since 2008 (now granted we've only had two Character Battles in that time before now but still), so he's got the most to prove out of the eight automatic byes. Kirby's a really sexy upset pick because he's beaten Sephiroth and Sonic in multi-ways, and if there's one thing we've seen about him over the years, he absolutely does not fold. Even if he loses, I expect him to put him 45%+ here. I think this is a fairly close match regardless of the result. I think I give Crono a slight advantage because of a combination of past history, perhaps a CT 2015 carryover boost, and the fact that he'll be the bracket favorite by default (although Kirby's got such an easy division that he'll probably still have plenty himself). Winner: Crono Odds: 55% --- ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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