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TopicLeonhart Analyzes the Bracket: Part 2!
LeonhartFour
10/05/18 9:46:41 PM
#18:


(3) Solid Snake
(1) Squall Leonhart

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/955-east-division-round-1-solid-snake-vs-squall-leonhart
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2539-patriot-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-squall-leonhart
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2922-tournament-quarterfinal-snake-l-block-sonic-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3848-gear-division-final-solid-snake-vs-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2102-gear-division-round-2-solid-snake-vs-zelda

darn it Allen

Winner: Snake
Odds: darn it Allen

(6) Sonic the Hedgehog
(3) Auron

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3290-division-8-round-2-sonic-sandbag-auron-sub-zero
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3299-division-8-final-auron-sonic-sephiroth-kratos
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2543-blast-division-round-2-sonic-the-hedgehog-vs-vincent

As someone who successfully called Auron > Sonic in 2008 (</humblebrag>), I don't think he wins this time. I think 2008 was a low point for Sonic Team as a whole. Sonic looked better in 2010 and 2013, and he's actually had multiple well received things in the last decade (Sonic Colors, Sonic Generations, and Sonic Mania, and Smash if you want to count it, I guess). I think that's enough to get him over the hump here, but Auron will probably keep it close. He's got a shot to win just because he's done it before, but I don't think his chances are particularly high.

Now if Vincent's here instead, that would mean he's legit again, and you can see what he put up on him at perhaps his peak. That one would be kinda scary for Sonic, but I think it's unlikely unless FFVIIR hype turns out to be real (and I think that's really unlikely).

Winner: Sonic
Odds: 75%

(2) Samus Aran
(1) Luigi

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2555-tournament-quarterfinal-samus-aran-vs-tifa-lockhart
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5259-character-battle-ix-division-7-final-samus-vs-l-block-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2911-division-1-final-mega-man-yoshi-samus-scorpion
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2919-tournament-quarterfinal-samus-mega-man-cloud-ryu

This is one of the rare Nintendo/Nintendo powerhouse matches we've never seen before in any format! I remember people taking Luigi to beat Samus in 2003 (and then Squall > Luigi happened aw yeah). Of course, that won't happen here either, but I like Luigi to hold up against Samus and not suffer too much SFF. I'd consider breaking 40% on her to be a victory for Weegi since that's what peak Ganondorf managed in 2005.

Now we've seen Tifa nearly break the Noble Nine in 2006 and hold up really well in 2013 (almost 45% on Samus is really good in case you were wondering). The third time's the charm, as they say...! Seriously though, I don't like Tifa's chances to actually win, but I'd fully expect her to hold up like a champ.

If Mega Man X is here, I don't see him winning either because Samus has beaten Mega Man easily twice before, and I don't think X is worth more than Classic.

Mewtwo is a fraud and all that.

Winner: Samus
Odds: 100%
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