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TopicLeonhart Analyzes the Bracket: Part 2!
LeonhartFour
10/05/18 10:22:59 PM
#24:


(7) Mario
(1) Sephiroth

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1363-south-division-final-mario-vs-sephiroth
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2130-tournament-of-champions-semifinal-sephiroth-vs-mario
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2913-division-3-final-sephiroth-fox-mario-big-boss
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2920-tournament-quarterfinal-sephiroth-mario-link-vincent

As an aside, I think Sephiroth's wins over Mario in 2003 and 2005 are seriously two of the most impressive wins in contest history. I mean, I know 2003 Mario was weaker than he is now (and he might have been suffering some backlash from Mario/Crono II's controversial ending), but my word, Sephiroth only did less than 1% worse than what Link SFF'd him down to in the 2002 finals. In 2005, Mario dominated the contest for two months while Sephiroth wasn't even in the contest, and he destroyed him (in true Ulti fashion). Mario won two 15 minute updates the entire match! Two!

That match is also why I kind of think getting a bye to this point in the contest is extremely helpful because Seph had a massive bracket advantage over Mario in 2005 (I mean, he would've won anyway, but still). Mario gets a chance to turn the tables on him here. If he can't beat him now, he literally never will because Sephiroth is his Kryptonite. I'm almost kind of rooting for Seph because of their history since I'm sure no one's giving him a chance here (and for good reason). I think Mario hasn't looked that good since beating Samus in 2005, but he's been able to hide behind SFF just about every year, so it's hard to say. Of course, he's got plenty of reason to look good now with the advent of the Switch and Odyssey being extremely well received. But then again, so were both Galaxy games, and I dunno that they did much for him...!

Winner: Mario
Odds: 75%

Losers Bracket

(3) Vivi
(1) Zero

Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3285-division-5-round-2-ryu-h-zero-snake-vivi

Vivi very nearly upended Zero in that one poll, and he wasn't far behind him in the 2010 X-Stats. He was clearly ahead of him in 2013, but yeah. If Dante is here instead, I think we'd be in for a good match there, too, because he went 50/50 with Ryu in 2010 (thanks to GOLD MEDAL HOCKEY FACTOR aw yeah). Dante and Ganondorf are both usually ahead of Zero in the X-Stats, actually, for what it's worth. I think Vivi is probably the least likely to win of anybody, and I'm already second-guessing my choice to have him here.

But going back to Division 1 for a minute, another reason to maybe pick Vivi is that it is absurdly easy to pic sabotage Dante and Ganondorf and it's virtually impossible for Vivi to look bad in a match pic.

(Seriously though, guys. No pic sabotage. It doesn't make anything better.)

Winner: Zero
Odds: 25%
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