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TopicLeonhart Analyzes the Bracket: Part 2!
LeonhartFour
10/06/18 12:44:10 AM
#71:


Quarterfinals

(1) Link
(8) Mega Man

Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1778-tournament-semifinal-link-vs-mega-man

He come to town.

Winner: Link
Odds: LOL

(4) Cloud Strife
(5) Crono

Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3306-contest-final-link-crono-snake-cloud

This is one of the few Noble Nine matchups we've never seen 1-on-1 (the others being Mega Man/Cloud, Mega Man/Samus, Crono/Samus, and still somehow, Sonic/Mario)! 2002 is the only time Crono has ever been in Cloud's ballpark (and Super Mario Sunshine/Planet Gamecube probably had a lot to do with that). Does he have a chance now?! Well, we just talked about how bad Cloud was last contest, so who knows! Crono was worse, of course, so there's that. Chrono Trigger looked clearly stronger than Final Fantasy VII in 2015, too (although, again, characters =/= games).

This might be the first time in 15 years you can say Crono's chances of victory are not 0, but I still favor Cloud until we see otherwise.

Winner: Cloud
Odds: 75%

(3) Solid Snake
(6) Sonic the Hedgehog

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2560-male-character-championship-solid-snake-vs-sonic-the
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2922-tournament-quarterfinal-snake-l-block-sonic-squall

I just want to reminisce on what a wild ride SC2K6 was for Snake and Sonic. Before the contest, there were many calling them frauds (Mewtwo is a fraud) because we considered them part of the Noble Nine and yet they had never beaten another Noble Niner. I was one of the rare non-Smurf people who believed in Sonic every year. I picked Sonic > Samus in 2004. I picked Sonic > Mega Man in 2005 (so close). I even picked Sonic 2 > Mario World in the Games Contest ('whoops')! So for Sonic to finally beat Crono in a massive comeback was immensely satisfying, as was Snake completely turning his prior results on their head against Mega Man. I'm frankly still kind of stunned he lost to Samus in the finals.

Anyway, I just wanted to travel down memory lane because Snake's gonna crush Sonic here. The Blue Blur would be lucky to sniff 45% against Snake these days.

Winner: Snake
Odds: 100%

(2) Samus Aran
(7) Mario

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2122-tournament-quarterfinal-mario-vs-samus-aran
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2562-battle-royale-day-1
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3304-contest-semifinal-link-mario-samus-crono

Mario vs. Samus in 2005 is perhaps the most infamous result in contest history that isn't tainted by cheating or rallying. Even if you weren't here for that contest, you've probably either heard the tale or felt the aftereffects of it, so you don't need me to rehash it. There has always been a question of whether Mario rSFF'd Samus or if he was just straight up stronger than her in 2005. I tend to lean the latter (We still haven't seen conclusive proof rSFF exists, although it'd honestly be hard to prove).

Mario probably still reigns supreme on the pecking order, but I expect it to be a little closer than 60/40 this time, honestly. If Metroid Prime 4 had anything tangible other than just an announcement that it's happening, I'd consider Samus > Mario a sexy upset pick...! Not really.

Winner: Mario
Odds: 100%
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