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TopicLeonhart Analyzes the Bracket: Part 2!
LeonhartFour
10/06/18 9:47:57 PM
#116:


Losers Bracket Round 3

(8) Mega Man
(5) Crono

Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2127-tournament-semifinal-crono-vs-mega-man

In CBIX, Mega Man and Crono were put into similar situations where they had to face a Pokemon while being weighted down by another character from their series. Crono got rolled, and Mega Man pulled off perhaps the most improbable victory of the contest by beating Charizard (seriously, it might be even more improbable than Vivi > Mario because of POKEFEAR and the fact that Mega Man was the one being held back). I'm hoping that match killed Pokefear for good imhotbqh because they didn't win another match after that. Perhaps Mega Man stole Pokemon's FEAR power for himself...!

Seriously though, barring a 2015 CT boost for Crono (which would probably let him beat Cloud anyway), Mega Man should win this.

Winner: Mega Man
Odds: 75%

(2) Samus Aran
(1) Squall Leonhart

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1354-north-division-semifinal-squall-leonhart-vs-samus-aran
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/994-west-division-semifinals-sonic-the-hedgehog-vs-samus-aran
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1777-chaos-division-final-sonic-the-hedgehog-vs-samus-aran

If Squall beats Sonic, it's a successful contest and whatever he does against Samus is gravy. If Sonic wins, I'm picking up the pieces of my life off the floor so who even cares.

Winner: Samus
Odds: 100%

Round 4

(8) Mega Man
(4) Cloud Strife

Relevant poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2919-tournament-quarterfinal-samus-mega-man-cloud-ryu

This is another Noble Nine matchup we've never seen one-on-one, so that would be neat! And Mega Man has a really good chance to win if Cloud hasn't found a way to recover from his disastrous CBIX performance. Of course, Cloud might not even make it here if he hasn't. I love Cloud and want to believe in him, so I'm going to pick him, but Mega Man's a good upset (if it's even an upset at this point).

Winner: Cloud
Odds: 55%

(7) Mario
(2) Samus Aran

Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2561-tournament-final-samus-aran-vs-solid-snake
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5266-character-battle-ix-final-draven-vs-solid-snake-vs-samus

Whether it's Snake or Mario, I think Samus loses. Samus is in a weird sort of limbo where she might be the 4th strongest Noble Niner, and she can't beat anybody above her and nobody below her can beat her. I guess it's the weird space that Sephiroth occupied for most of his tenure.

Winner: Mario
Odds: 85%
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