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TopicMovie and Box Office Topic: Prepping for Endgame
MetalmindStats
04/25/19 8:51:29 PM
#50:


My final North American weekend predictions for this upcoming weekend:

1. $303.0 million Avengers: Endgame ($65K PTA, the best of recent years but just a bit short of Return of the Jedi for the adjusted wide release record)
2. $10.1 million Captain Marvel (+10.5% - Black Panther decreased a mere 4% against Infinity War, and Captain Marvel has been showing lots of Endgame-fueled momentum of late)
3. $8.6 million The Curse of La Llorona
4. $6.4 million Shazam!
5. $5.8 million Breakthrough
6. $3.6 million Dumbo
7. $3.5 million Little
8. $1.7 million Missing Link
9. $1.5 million Pet Sematary
10. $1.5 million Us
11. $1.4 million Penguins
12. $430,000 Hellboy
13. $420,000 Amazing Grace
14. $400,000 After

Additionally, I do think Endgame can open over the $1 billion mark worldwide, which with my North American prediction in mind, would require close to a 20% increase on Infinity War's international openings. China alone having a five-day day-and-date opening instead of three days two weeks after the rest of the world should go a long ways towards that end.

My final overall Endgame prediction is the following: $303 million North American / $1.05 billion worldwide opening -> $760 million North American / $2.5 billion worldwide total. I've got no detailed logic to justify these specific numbers, given the prediction difficulty inherent in forecasting such high-level cinematic events, but based on the evidence we've seen to date, I believe Endgame can soar even higher than most people are expecting.
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Hail the reigning Guru champ, Advokaiser!
You proved yourself more statistically metal-minded than I ever have been - well done!
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