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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 274: Rebuttigieg
xp1337
02/27/20 9:29:40 PM
#130:


KamikazePotato posted...
In fact, I'll be direct: at this point, the stacked field of moderates hurts Sanders. It helped him stand out early on, but at this point it just makes it difficult for him to get a majority of delegates simply because there are so many candidates taking a piece of the pie.
I disagree because the viability threshold is such that outside Biden and Buttigieg... they really aren't taking pieces of the pie. Sanders has basically been viable everywhere while the others have been on a merry-go-round to see who's viable and shutting the others out rather than one of them collecting them all.

If you took them out and reduced it to a 1v1 you'd have to be making the bet that Sanders can outright win against whoever the other side is. He very well might be able to do so but OTOH it's unlikely he'd be able to run up the score like he did in Nevada on them. There probably is a point where Sanders would rather have it be 1v1 just so that his wins translate into more raw delegates but I don't think that time is now. Ideally, for him, it would be once he is the clear and overwhelming favorite such that the snowball effect of his wins just buries whoever his competitor is. I think the earliest this would be is after Super Tuesday. (Okay, actually the earliest would probably be if he won South Carolina but I'm assuming Biden wins there.)

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