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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 274: Rebuttigieg
LordoftheMorons 02/27/20 11:24:39 PM #161:	Corrik7 posted... And what makes you think the Democratic samples in small polls with 36% Dems, 33% Indy, and 31% GOP has representative Dems polled? And what makes you think this 12% of those talked to here weren't representative? If the pollster is good at sampling, the margin of error in the democratic subset of your hypothetical 1000 person poll is ~1/sqrt(360) ~= 5%. The people who specifically wanted to comment to the NYT are more likely to be those that have a strong opinion about how the process should go. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! <cite>LordoftheMorons posted [p:934976739] in Politics C... [t:78435192]...</cite> <quote>Corrik7 posted... </cite> <quote>And what makes you think the Democratic samples in small polls with 36% Dems, 33% Indy, and 31% GOP has representative Dems polled? And what makes you think this 12% of those talked to here weren't representative?</quote>If the pollster is good at sampling, the margin of error in the democratic subset of your hypothetical 1000 person poll is ~1/sqrt(360) ~= 5%. The people who specifically wanted to comment to the NYT are more likely to be those that have a strong opinion about how the process should go. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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