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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 274: Rebuttigieg
metroid composite
02/28/20 3:23:35 AM
#186:


Nelson_Mandela posted...
I'd say Biden is virtually guaranteed to win the nomination now
Uhh...

The RCP national polling average is still like...Bernie 29% Biden 18%. The polling in California (which is now a Super Tuesday state) suggests that Biden is likely to fall below 15% there and get zero delegates. (Being the state with the most delegates this matters).

He has a path to the nomination (most likely path being a brokered convention with superdelegates picking him despite having fewer state delegates). And Brokered convention is looking pretty likely now. But I don't think the superdelegates are "guaranteed" to pick him.

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Cats land on their feet. Toast lands peanut butter side down. A cat with toast strapped to its back will hover above the ground in a state of quantum indecision
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