I mean...maybe. Then again, Bernie won Nevada by about 25 points, and doesn't seem to have gotten much of a bounce out of that. Bounces are weird. (I also kind-of expect South Carolina to be seen as proxy for "the black people's choice", so the bounce will be felt in southern states like Georgia that are heavily black, but less so in California which is heavily white, Latino, and Asian--fun fact there's more Asians in California than African Americans).
Biden's also way, way down in California right now. Latest poll is like:
That would need to be a hell of a bounce. And where would it come from? Sanders tends to have the most loyal voters. Maybe some of that percentage could come from Buttigeig or Warren, but it's worth noting Warren's been rising in California and Biden's been dropping (earlier polls were like Warren 15 Biden 14). People also understand that there is a 15% viability threshold, if you want to support someone other than Sanders in California, Warren is the one that's likely to be viable. (And this is anecdotal, but the one guy I know in California who liked Biden was pretty big on Warren and pretty down on Biden after watching a single debate; he still doesn't like Bernie though).
There's also the fact that there have been three primaries and caucuses so far, and Biden has performed below his poll numbers in all three. "Biden's going to perform better than his poll numbers" is...possible, but I'm not really expecting it in California. Maybe he'll outperform in South Carolina--he got a big local endorsement after most polls stopped collecting data, he left New Hampshire early to start campaigning in SC early. He really invested big in SC. But California? Why would he get a outperform there? It's not like he's invested in the state.
Sanders got a lot of negative coverage for his Nevada smackdown by a lot of news agencies.
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Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)