LogFAQs > #936858090

I've ordered the indie games going to Round 2 by the percentage they won with:

Minecraft - 75.71% (versus Dota 2)
Stardew Valley - 71.17% (versus Destiny)
*CURRENTLY* Super Meat Boy - 69.29% (versus Slay the Spire) *CURRENTLY*
Cuphead - 68.28% (versus XCOM 2)
Shovel Knight - 64.4% (versus Dragon's Dogma)
Hollow Knight - 62.81% (versus Tales or Berseria)
Bastion - 52.25% (versus The Walking Dead)
Ori and the Blind Forest - 51.91% (versus Dragon Age: Inquisition)

Three of them so far have earned a doubling and one has even got a tripling under their belt...pretty good numbers, given some of our expectations beforehand. Six of these eight winners were the higher seed in their matches (Bastion and Ori were the exceptions)...but while there are some surprises in here, these victories aren't too earth shattering either.

Real quick, gauging the indies that lost too:

Undertale - 46.71% (versus Octopath Traveler)
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth - 43.47% (versus Nioh)
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night - 40.9% (versus Borderlands 2)
VVVVVV - 28.28% (versus Fallout 4)
What Remains of Edith Finch - 25.35% (versus Final Fantasy XV)
FTL: Faster Than Light - 22.23% (versus Persona 4 Golden)
Baba is You - 20.73% (versus Grand Theft Auto V)
The Stanley Parable - 20.6% (versus Fallout: New Vegas)
INSIDE - 13.94% (versus DOOM)
Return of the Obra Dinn - 12.75% (versus Super Mario Galaxy 2)

Eight of these ten games that lost so far were the lower seed (Undertale and The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth being the exceptions) and two of them had to face former GotY-winners (Bloodstained and Edith Finch), so many of these losing makes some sense in that regard. We also went in with some pretty low expectations of indie games and didn't know how common blow-outs would become in this contest, so having a few punch us in the jaw early on gave us a lot of INDIE FACTOR coverage that might not necessarily be justified with indie games currently swinging a 8-10 record at the moment. Still, that ain't too bad given their uniqueness and lack of marketing!

Consensus seems to be Celeste and Rocket League are probably advancing to Round 2 while the rest may not...we'll see which list they and any others join It looks like what would have been a lot of people's pick for top indie game here fell way short while a few other indie games have generally done better than expected.

With respect to indie games being more varied than just "Indie: check yes or no," hopefully this helps set some expectations for this culture of games we're looking at.

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O P E R A T I O N O U S T : Nominate SHEIK!
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