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TopicU.S. government denies any knowledge of alien technology
CheshireSimper
03/08/24 2:29:26 PM
#24:


Enclave posted...
The drake equation is irrelevant, it's just about estimating the number of civilizations in the universe rather than if there are any others at all.

The size of the universe is so insanely huge that odds are there are other intelligent life somewhere out there. The universe of course being as vast as it is though? Odds are pretty decent that humanity will never find it.

That is the fundamental intuition that is given by the drake equation. The only reason you can state that intuition as such is because somebody handwavily paramaterized it and then it got a lot of attention due to being sciency.

The issue is that you need to be incredibly confident that none of the probabilities that go into the drake equation have the possibility of being 0 for that to be a reasonable conclusion.
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