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| Topic | What four contest matches are on the Contest Upsets Mount Rushmore? |
| LeonhartFour 04/14/24 4:05:19 AM #75: | Kinglicious posted...
They didn't "get lucky" with Master Chief, they just read the room better. If Chief always has high prediction percentages (and he does), no, they didn't. They got lucky. If Link always had low prediction percentages, it wouldn't mean they "read the room" the three times he didn't win. Kinglicious posted... I'll give an analogy since I don't think you're getting it. Say someone is specialized in a certain betting contest, like horses or football. They crunch numbers, they make bets, they usually get things right but a few things wrong. If a race or game happens that goes wildly out of scope, they adjust accordingly. For reference this isn't a pure hypothetical, people like this exist. Now make a board full of them. What they get right or wrong is not what an upset is in that respective sport, what determines the upset is the people in the overall pool. That includes the casuals. B8 is good at predicting the right 3:1 odds winners. That doesn't mean we're right and sometimes what we think is 3 to 1 is actually the opposite. Oh, you mean sharps? Yeah, those people absolutely impact betting lines and determine if something turns out to be an upset or not. The public loves to bet underdogs. That doesn't mean it's not an upset when one wins. --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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