LogFAQs > #980321087

LurkerFAQs, Active Database ( 12.01.2023-present ), DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear

Topic List	Page List: 1
Topic	I've got a probability problem for you.
realnifty1 05/09/24 5:50:36 PM #20:	Assuming each person only ever rides once and not multiple times. The plane is more likely to crash the more trips, but I'd think we have to account for the population when the crash occurs, so we need to look at the growth of the population. The total number of passengers at any given time is equal to the sum of all previous passengers plus 1. So when the plan goes down just over 50% of total passengers will be harmed, except in the case of first flight crash, then it would be 100%. I don't know that it would be 99%, but I think it would be more than 50 and I don't have the math skills to pull it off for this one. But due to the growth of population, the more flights taken the more likely you are to be on it and the more likely it is to crash. <cite>realnifty1 posted [p:980321087] in I've got a... [t:80765850]...</cite> <quote>Assuming each person only ever rides once and not multiple times.The plane is more likely to crash the more trips, but I'd think we have to account for the population when the crash occurs, so we need to look at the growth of the population.The total number of passengers at any given time is equal to the sum of all previous passengers plus 1.So when the plan goes down just over 50% of total passengers will be harmed, except in the case of first flight crash, then it would be 100%. I don't know that it would be 99%, but I think it would be more than 50 and I don't have the math skills to pull it off for this one. But due to the growth of population, the more flights taken the more likely you are to be on it and the more likely it is to crash.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List	Page List: 1