Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1294

(+) Yeah! (+)

The_Ctes posted...

I still believe that direct did absolutely nothing to this match.

Now cmon Ocelot

It did.

It made DDD weaker.
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I'm not ready to call it yet, but I think if Ocelot gets even 1-2 more updates like that it's probably over.
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LeonhartFour posted...

of course after I say that Dedede's got the lead down to the lowest it's been in over 3.5 hours so maybe it's not over yet

And the moment you said THAT, Ocelot starts making gains again.

Actually, I wonder if Ocelot has been in the highest percentage of close matches (margin of victory of around 2% or less) of anybody.

He's been in 10 matches. 6 of them have been close matches. Heck, if you take out the three Villains Contest matches (since none of those were close), that's 6/7 (counting this one), and he's only ever won one of those (Ocelot/Jill in 2007) up until now. The only one that hasn't been close at all was his one match in CBIX.

of course if he wins he (probably) won't be adding another one to his resume next round
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KamikazePotato posted...

It did.

It made DDD weaker.

more like it made Ocelot stronger because he's been confirmed for Smash now too
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That one might be the kill shot.

I suppose you can never be totally confident in Ocelot (as I outlined above) and it's pretty rare for Nintendo to lose a close match like this, but I think it might be over.
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I thought my 4/4 days were over, but it looks like Ocelot is going to pull through.
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LeonhartFour posted...

of course if he wins he (probably) won't be adding another one to his resume next round

This is actually the 2nd time Ocelot has been placed in the same fourpack as X. Based on 2010 Ocelot gets about 37% on X.
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Lead back over 300.

Yeah, this is done.
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I just realized
About the same amount of people picked that Yakuza guy over Master Chief as the amount of people that picked Hat Kid over Squall
What
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LeonhartFour posted...

I have zero desire to read a single thing Tsunami ever says again thanks to NCAA contests.

You're intentionally obtuse and often unbearable these days (I hoped contest season would make you scale that back somewhat but alas) but I can skim past what you post easily enough.

It's been so long that he's literally forgotten why he blocked me in the first place. This may be the best Leonhart post I've ever read.

Still makes me want to vomit, though.
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Casuals always give Master Chief a lot of respect.
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Clutch performance here by Ocelot, even in the midst of a big Smash Direct he manages to hold out against D3.
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I'm not sure I've ever got a match that was closer than 51-49 right.

Probably because I usually pick the upset and the favorite finds a way to endure somehow.
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Huge respect to Ocelot for the comeback. Nice to see close matches in the first round

Lot of Western characters are getting killed by the Squintendo rep by the early vote, and then coming back in the day some time later. IS this trend the new "the kiddies are waking up" ?
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Draven will probably look like Sans or Monika did... But man, I do not trust that guy at all.

What if the subreddit mods forget that they have a rule against rallying long enough for the damage to be done, or what if they decide in the end to allow rallies to some extent? What if some popular streamer blows up everything? What if the subreddit isnt even needed?

This is just me being paranoid, but better to lower expectations as much as possible, right?
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pjbasis posted...

Spyro beating Pokemon on the poll of the day is pretty cool

Not anymore. Pokemon is currently winning by 50 votes and that's going be enough to hold the lead for the rest of the poll with these vote totals.
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yeah, i'm a bit surprised the crew unanimously took amaterasu. a draven rally seems unlikely with the subreddit not allowing rallies but it could happen.

also, the "look at what happened to monika and sans!" argument is ass. the league of legends community is entirely different from, respectively, the DDLC community and the undertale community.
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RIP DeDeDe and 1 more point in my bracket.
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RE characters have looked good this contest. I know Wesker has zero chance of winning but if he can manage to be ahead at the freeze, that would be amazing.
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ZeldaTPLink posted...

Never. After School Vote is a thing of early contests, nowadays most people who come to this site are over 20.

If you see anyone talking about ASV here, it's a meme.

Hmm... it looks like you are correct. No after school vote. Triple D's cuts were close to insignificant. Was expecting otherwise.

On a different note, X performed really well. Something to he proud of as a Mega Man X fan.
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Amaterasu winning 73 to 4 against Draven!

Draven's board vote is everything I expected
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Draven with the Hearthstone level board vote

Ammy starting out with 90%. Good to see.

hail DogFAQs
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Ammy in the 90's.

Gotta love this early antirally vote!
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LOL Draven. This is so good.
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Welp that settles it Ammy is going to win the contest, just look how bad she's beating a former champ
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Sephiroth's already looking good. Perhaps he has recovered from his 2013 showing.
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LMAO Draven

Draven the ultimate FRAUD
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I expect Sephiroth will climb in percentage similar to Squall, which should make him look pretty good.

SwiftyDC posted...

LMAO Draven

Draven the ultimate FRAUD

Reminder that without rally, he is weaker than CHIE

I was expecting Sephiroth to struggle in the first few minutes. He will end up in the low 70s which is pretty good.
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These results bode ill for all those characters Draven faced previously. Turns out he vastly overrated them!

Link the Fraud confirmed.
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7 people fell off the Top 50 today. TheRock1525, ChubbierTube, dragon_suplex_x, Rthan, bejma, MortalStampede and Exaspenite did not have Tifa, Mewtwo, Ocelot and Mega Man X winning.

2 people got one match wrong but survived. paulg235 and Polycosm also did not have Tifa, Mewtwo, Ocelot and Mega Man X winning.
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did sephiroth just win a board vote
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how the fuck does sephiroth win a board vote
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Did Draven just lose percentage?

This is a massacre.
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Yo Wesker keeping it under 70
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

how the fuck does sephiroth win a board vote

Brackets

Seph fans already sweating
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holy shit draven
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

how the fuck does sephiroth win a board vote

This contest is really strange. What's next, Phoenix losing the board vote?
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a while back i said i think even base draven could double cayde-6 because that's just how weak cayde-6 is supposed to be

now i'm more inclined to think it's actually the reverse
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...So if Draven faced Isabelle, how badly would Draven lose that match? Because if I'm doing the math right, he wouldn't break 40% on her even if we assume X and Ammy are equal. Could Draven beat anyone in the bracket?
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God damn Ammy's tearing into him, we have a new Executioner in the ring
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All this talk of Mewtwo being a fraud, FF being a fraud, blah blah blah

Behold, the one true fraud.
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Amaterasu must be what it looks like when GameFAQs as a site rallies a character.
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So let's talk about how Link is only expected to get 89% on rallyless Draven.
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Looking forward to Draven being last in the xstats
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