Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 204: Cory in the House of Representatives

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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:01:23 PM
#51:


Lol Beto the $70 million loser
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Suprak the Stud
11/06/18 8:01:38 PM
#52:


Brown gets reelection in Ohio pretty easily.
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/06/18 8:10:32 PM
#53:


Wow. Due to redistricting in Pennsylvania, there's a race where both the Democratic and the Republican candidate are listed as incumbents.
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Corrik
11/06/18 8:11:10 PM
#54:


Scott and Desantis have taken the leads. See if it holds
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xp1337
11/06/18 8:14:33 PM
#55:


Panhandle came in for Florida is what happened there.
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Eddv
11/06/18 8:15:08 PM
#56:


I was tuning in to CNN to see Harry but they arent really using him so I am switching to NBC
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Corrik
11/06/18 8:16:20 PM
#57:


xp1337 posted...
Panhandle came in for Florida is what happened there.

Still coming in
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Nrrr
11/06/18 8:16:39 PM
#58:


based on the florida map and what has come in so far, I am fairly confident gillum takes it narrowly
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:17:29 PM
#59:


538's outlook for Dems decreasing by the minute
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TheRock1525
11/06/18 8:18:20 PM
#60:


HarrietTubgirl posted...
538's outlook for Dems decreasing by the minute


It just ticked up but not by much.
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LapisLazuli
11/06/18 8:19:13 PM
#61:


HarrietTubgirl posted...
538's outlook for Dems decreasing by the minute


Both House and Senate just went up for Dems.

Not that I have hope for the Senate.
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TheRock1525
11/06/18 8:19:57 PM
#62:


House just fell to a coin flip.
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:20:30 PM
#63:


Dem House odds now barely over 50%. Ughhhhhhhh
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xp1337
11/06/18 8:20:37 PM
#64:


538's Live forecast for Democratic control of the House at 52.6%

oh great the 2016 flashbacks are just what i needed
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LapisLazuli
11/06/18 8:21:03 PM
#65:


TheRock1525 posted...
House just fell to a coin flip.


Where...are you seeing that? 538 has 7/8 in Dems favor.
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LapisLazuli
11/06/18 8:22:01 PM
#66:


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xp1337
11/06/18 8:22:32 PM
#67:


LapisLazuli posted...
TheRock1525 posted...
House just fell to a coin flip.


Where...are you seeing that? 538 has 7/8 in Dems favor.

That's the final forecast they locked in early in the day. We're talking about the livecast.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/
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Corrik
11/06/18 8:23:05 PM
#68:


Think Nelson takes Florida but maybe not gillum
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TheRock1525
11/06/18 8:23:28 PM
#69:


2 in 5 now, which is weird because competitive districts aren't even reporting in yet.
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xp1337
11/06/18 8:24:09 PM
#70:


TheRock1525 posted...
2 in 5 now, which is weird because competitive districts aren't even reporting in yet.

Yeah, I'd kinda like to know what's influencing it before I abandon all hope for the future.
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:25:05 PM
#71:


xp1337 posted...
TheRock1525 posted...
2 in 5 now, which is weird because competitive districts aren't even reporting in yet.

Yeah, I'd kinda like to know what's influencing it before I abandon all hope for the future.

Nate Cohn:

https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1059979110993350662?s=21
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Corrik
11/06/18 8:25:53 PM
#72:


xp1337 posted...
TheRock1525 posted...
2 in 5 now, which is weird because competitive districts aren't even reporting in yet.

Yeah, I'd kinda like to know what's influencing it before I abandon all hope for the future.

Probably them.being crossfiyah and expecting repubs to lose 25% of likelys when it won't happen
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:26:17 PM
#73:


Back over 50...
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StealThisSheen
11/06/18 8:27:46 PM
#74:


Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:28:25 PM
#75:


Woah the odds just dipped under 50% for a minute teehee
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transience
11/06/18 8:28:27 PM
#76:


I'm going to have a literal heart attack watching the 538 live forecast swing back and forth every 45 seconds
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Crossfiyah
11/06/18 8:28:29 PM
#77:


So far it seems like everyone is turning out en masse and the rural areas are offsetting some of the suburban gains.

Basically big who fucking knows right now. Dems will certainly pick up a lot of seats but how many is anyone's guess and it's possible it won't be enough.
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WrestIeMania
11/06/18 8:29:19 PM
#78:


While it is fun watching yall squirm (and for the r3cord you are going to lose). Its not time to abandon hope yet. The model(real time) means NOTHING this early. Absolutely 0
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:30:20 PM
#79:


StealThisSheen posted...
Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again

They did

It just seems that Republicans did too
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:31:44 PM
#80:


Bummer for one of my former districts (VA 5)

https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/1059973719836233738?s=21
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StealThisSheen
11/06/18 8:33:11 PM
#81:


Well, they did in the fact that they met expectations

But merely meeting expectations vs. exceeding them is still a bad look
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/06/18 8:33:38 PM
#82:


Well, they just projected Menendez will hold on to his seat, despite trailing at the moment with only 1% in.
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ChaosTonyV4
11/06/18 8:34:11 PM
#83:


The difference between the Left and the Right strikes again.

Pretty much everyone on the Right sucks it up and votes Red.

Many Leftists dont vote if their candidate doesnt align with them directly.

I cant tell you how many friends of mine on FB say that voting is pointless because Dems and Republicans are two sides of the same coin.
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:34:14 PM
#84:


LordoftheMorons posted...
StealThisSheen posted...
Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again

They did

It just seems that Republicans did too

If all of the mob-like bullying to go vote backfires in their faces, I am painting my self MAGA red and will laugh my fucking face off at everyone in Brooklyn
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xp1337
11/06/18 8:34:18 PM
#85:


transience posted...
I'm going to have a literal heart attack watching the 538 live forecast swing back and forth every 45 seconds

I stopped watching it for the sake of my mental health.
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StealThisSheen
11/06/18 8:35:56 PM
#86:


ChaosTonyV4 posted...
The difference between the Left and the Right strikes again.

Pretty much everyone on the Right sucks it up and votes Red.

Many Leftists dont vote if their candidate doesnt align with them directly.

I cant tell you how many friends of mine on FB say that voting is pointless because Dems and Republicans are two sides of the same coin.


This exactly.

The Left are Smash fans that didn't get Isaac in Ultimate and now insist the entire game sucks
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Kenri
11/06/18 8:35:57 PM
#87:


ChaosTonyV4 posted...
I cant tell you how many friends of mine on FB say that voting is pointless because Dems and Republicans are two sides of the same coin.

This was a lot truer like 3 years ago but if anyone's saying it now they're just not paying attention.
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:36:40 PM
#88:


I still think the Dems take the house but it certainly doesn't appear to be a great night for them, given the circumstances
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ChaosTonyV4
11/06/18 8:36:41 PM
#89:


Also gr8 job to whomever it was that said Ulti was gonna be shamed out of the topic, lmao.

You know how his mind works, even if Dems pick up 15 seats, hes gonna be crowing and acting like literally everyone said that to him.
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StealThisSheen
11/06/18 8:37:25 PM
#90:


Like, it seems like the Right get mad and riled up, but the Left would rather things get worse before they get better so they can sulk more.

It's kinda gross.
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Jakyl25
11/06/18 8:37:59 PM
#91:


HarrietTubgirl posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
StealThisSheen posted...
Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again

They did

It just seems that Republicans did too

If all of the mob-like bullying to go vote backfires in their faces, I am painting my self MAGA red and will laugh my fucking face off at everyone in Brooklyn


Your transformation into a Trump bootlicker has been truly stunning
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:38:36 PM
#92:


Also Donnelly is 100% losing because he sided with the crazies against Brett The Hitman Kavanaugh. The gift that keeps on giving!
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Paratroopa1
11/06/18 8:39:14 PM
#93:


Jakyl25 posted...
Your transformation into a Trump bootlicker has been truly stunning

no it isn't. republicans do not have convictions or morals
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:39:20 PM
#94:


Jakyl25 posted...
HarrietTubgirl posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
StealThisSheen posted...
Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again

They did

It just seems that Republicans did too

If all of the mob-like bullying to go vote backfires in their faces, I am painting my self MAGA red and will laugh my fucking face off at everyone in Brooklyn


Your transformation into a Trump bootlicker has been truly stunning

You can thank Diane Feinstein for that
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transience
11/06/18 8:39:31 PM
#95:


https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1059982719554215936

I had a physical reaction to that thing swinging so crazy and had to get something to eat to calm down my stomach. what the heck is wrong with me
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red sox 777
11/06/18 8:39:51 PM
#96:


Looking good. 538 already talking about changing the live model on the fly to make it more conservative about using partial vote counts.
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Kenri
11/06/18 8:40:13 PM
#97:


StealThisSheen posted...
The Left are Smash fans that didn't get Isaac in Ultimate and now insist the entire game sucks

what's piranha plant in this metaphor, a pro-life democrat?
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HarrietTubgirl
11/06/18 8:40:23 PM
#98:


transience posted...
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1059982719554215936

I had a physical reaction to that thing swinging so crazy and had to get something to eat to calm down my stomach. what the heck is wrong with me

You care about politics too much

Stop electing people who give the government this much control over your life
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LordoftheMorons
11/06/18 8:40:38 PM
#99:


FWIW Nate Silver is saying that they think their model is responding too aggressively to the incoming data (primarily because most of whats coming in atm are likely Rs being called as Rs)
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Jakyl25
11/06/18 8:41:01 PM
#100:


HarrietTubgirl posted...
Jakyl25 posted...
HarrietTubgirl posted...
LordoftheMorons posted...
StealThisSheen posted...
Sounds like Dems didn't turn out to vote again

They did

It just seems that Republicans did too

If all of the mob-like bullying to go vote backfires in their faces, I am painting my self MAGA red and will laugh my fucking face off at everyone in Brooklyn


Your transformation into a Trump bootlicker has been truly stunning

You can thank Diane Feinstein for that


Sorry your ego is that fragile
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