Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1348

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LeonhartFour
04/19/20 8:30:13 PM
#1:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1348-south-division-round-2-max-payne-vs-sephiroth

Remember when Sephiroth used to be able to do this?

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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~
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~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
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https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches

~*All-Time Guru List*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

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~*Contest Histories*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
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~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
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gamer man
04/19/20 8:32:28 PM
#2:


anusblaster still on the leaderboard
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HaRRicH
04/19/20 9:56:01 PM
#3:


INDIE GAMES THAT WON IN ROUND 2 (1):

Shovel Knight - 50.36% (versus Octopath Traveler)
Shovel Knight - 64.4% (versus Dragon's Dogma)

**********

INDIE GAMES THAT LOST IN ROUND 2 (10):

Hollow Knight - 49.58% (versus Final Fantasy XV)
Hollow Knight - 62.81% (versus Tales or Berseria)

Minecraft - 42.35% (versus Marvel's Spider-Man)
Minecraft - 75.71% (versus Dota 2)

Cuphead - 39.74% (versus Grand Theft Auto V)
Cuphead - 68.28% (versus XCOM 2)

Ori and the Blind Forest - 37.74% (versus Fire Emblem: Three Houses)
Ori and the Blind Forest - 51.91% (versus Dragon Age: Inquisition)

Stardew Valley - 35.91% (versus Super Mario Galaxy 2)
Stardew Valley - 71.17% (versus Destiny)

Super Meat Boy - 35.16% (versus Sonic Mania)
Super Meat Boy - 68.96% (versus Slay the Spire)

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - 31.27% (versus NieR: Autonama)
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - 69.22% (versus Hearthstone)

Bastion - 28.09% (versus Dragon Quest XI)
Bastion - 52.25% (versus The Walking Dead)

Journey - 25.02% (versus Skyrim)
Journey - 66.2% (versus Fate/Grand Order)

Rocket League - 22.76% (versus Dark Souls)
Rocket League - 51.66% (versus Dragon Ball FighterZ)

**********

INDIE GAMES THAT LOST IN ROUND 1 (20):

Celeste - 49.55% (versus Rayman Legends)
Undertale - 46.71% (versus Octopath Traveler)
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth - 43.47% (versus Nioh)
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night - 40.9% (versus Borderlands 2)
Terraria - 32.31% (versus BioShock Infinite)
Disco Elysium - 31.94% (versus Kingdom Hearts 3)
Slay the Spire - 31.04% (versus Super Meat Boy)
Crypt of the NecroDancer - 28.47% (versus Final Fantasy XIV)
VVVVVV - 28.28% (versus Fallout 4)
Dead Cells - 27.49% (versus Metal Gear Solid V)
What Remains of Edith Finch - 25.35% (versus Final Fantasy XV)
The Witness - 22.61% (versus Yakuza 0)
FTL: Faster Than Light - 22.23% (versus Persona 4 Golden)
Baba is You - 20.73% (versus Grand Theft Auto V)
The Stanley Parable - 20.6% (versus Fallout: New Vegas)
Night in the Woods - 18.04% (versus Pokemon HeartGold/SoulSilver)
Hotline Miami - 17.01% (versus Dark Souls)
Subnautica - 16% (versus Skyrim)
INSIDE - 13.94% (versus DOOM)
Return of the Obra Dinn - 12.75% (versus Super Mario Galaxy 2)

Funny how Undertale might still be the #2 indie game here.....

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Advokaiser
04/19/20 10:45:41 PM
#4:


Finally able to claim post #500!

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Yuri_LowelI
04/19/20 10:48:25 PM
#5:


I dont think it doubles witcher either but the bolded part is just straight up wrong.
There's a much bigger gap between zelda and any other game in this contest than there is between witcher(which seems to be the 2nd seed now) and something like skyrim or dark souls.

I'm not talking about this contest only. I'm talking about gaming in general and the hardcore gaming community. Witcher 3 and BOTW are among tw of the most respected games of this generation. Now I say generation and not Decade because the current gen is just more relevant now. Dark Souls also has enourmous respect as does Skyrim but these games are much older and are seen as last gen games.

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ZenOfThunder
04/19/20 11:08:05 PM
#6:


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hylianknight3
04/19/20 11:09:42 PM
#7:


what is an awkward bracket
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ZenOfThunder
04/19/20 11:12:17 PM
#8:


hylianknight3 posted...
what is an awkward bracket

ZenOfThunder posted...


Reddit is pro-segregation

for real tho it seems the general consensus is that we shouldn't be so general and the contest should be really specific like "best FPS of the generation" because anything else is hard to compare and it makes brain hurt :(

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MechanicalWall
04/19/20 11:13:10 PM
#9:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
I'm talking about gaming in general and the hardcore gaming community. Witcher 3 and BOTW are among tw of the most respected games of this generation
This is true

For all the talk of how out of touch or 'unique' our taste is on this site, BotW v Witcher is probably the most bog standard final that we could have.

I'm still not one hundred sure that I take Witcher over Smash and Mario Odyssey tho

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Yuri_LowelI
04/19/20 11:13:35 PM
#10:


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Yuri_LowelI
04/19/20 11:13:57 PM
#11:


MechanicalWall posted...
This is true

For all the talk of how out of touch or 'unique' our taste is on this site, BotW v Witcher is probably the most bog standard final that we could have.

I'm still not one hundred sure that I take Witcher over Smash and Mario Odyssey tho

id take it over smash not mario

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ZenOfThunder
04/19/20 11:14:16 PM
#12:


You might wanna try asking them real nice in the comments

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hylianknight3
04/19/20 11:16:53 PM
#13:


Thought this was for an actual event not some gamefaqs poll
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ZenOfThunder
04/19/20 11:19:38 PM
#14:


An actual event would be what

Like for real what would be the OFFICIAL game of the decade, how would that work, what would make this "real"

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Yuri_LowelI
04/19/20 11:20:49 PM
#15:


ZenOfThunder posted...
You might wanna try asking them real nice in the comments

who made the rally posts?


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WarThaNemesis2
04/19/20 11:21:35 PM
#16:


Okay so question time.

What is the lowest % any FF entrant had in a 1v1 match?

What's the lowest % any FF entrant had in a non-SFF match?

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Sharinnegan
04/19/20 11:21:44 PM
#17:


closest thing would probably be a game awards game of decade. that's what's usually seen as the "official" Goty each year after all.
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ZenOfThunder
04/19/20 11:21:53 PM
#18:


You can click on the links and see pretty easily who made them

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hylianknight3
04/19/20 11:22:26 PM
#19:


getting that official sanction like


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Yuri_LowelI
04/19/20 11:31:47 PM
#20:


ZenOfThunder posted...
You can click on the links and see pretty easily who made them
yeah but im talking about users from here. Not random users

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KamikazePotato
04/20/20 12:44:44 AM
#21:


Vote totals are currently 800 above what they were two days ago. It's kind of funny how we keep getting these rallies that (Octopath/Shovel Knight aside) do nothing except affect the match by 1-2% and mess up the Xstats a bit.

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MechanicalWall
04/20/20 12:45:51 AM
#22:


DQXI has actually bled quite a bit

I'm pretty impressed with Monster Hunter myself, although it could just be that DQXI has been a tiny bit of a fraud.

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Nintendogs
04/20/20 12:55:49 AM
#23:


Anyone archived the recent threads?
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gamer man
04/20/20 12:57:12 AM
#24:



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hylianknight3
04/20/20 1:45:59 AM
#25:


dragon quest, plz

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Yuri_LowelI
04/20/20 1:58:38 AM
#26:


MechanicalWall posted...
DQXI has actually bled quite a bit

I'm pretty impressed with Monster Hunter myself, although it could just be that DQXI has been a tiny bit of a fraud.

like i said. More people took MH than DQ if i recall.

and both games wold handily beat FFXV.

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lordjers
04/20/20 1:59:56 AM
#27:


Dragon Quest losing in Japan )=

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#28
Post #28 was unavailable or deleted.
#29
Post #29 was unavailable or deleted.
BlAcK TuRtLe
04/20/20 4:09:17 AM
#30:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
id take it over smash not mario
Lol at thinking a Sunshine level Mario game is going to compete with the latest and greatest Smash

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direshall
04/20/20 4:17:19 AM
#31:


Oh man FF15 is like the Brazil team in the 2014 world cup. When it gets exposed it's dirty.
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Lightning Strikes
04/20/20 4:25:47 AM
#32:


lordjers posted...
Dragon Quest losing in Japan )=

This is not that surprising. Japan loves Dragon Quest, but goes mad for Monster Hunter.

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Nanis23
04/20/20 4:46:52 AM
#33:


My dear god BotW is insane

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Safer_777
04/20/20 5:04:05 AM
#34:


Woke up, checked the results. Damn. People like their Zeldas. I guess nothing will even break 40% on it.

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ctesjbuvf
04/20/20 5:11:54 AM
#35:


Remember when we were amazed and happy that Cloud broke 40% on Link. In a rematch even.

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shane15
04/20/20 5:16:50 AM
#36:


My contest is pretty much over now. I've almost certainly got 2 division finals wrong and Skyrim making the final.

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KamikazePotato
04/20/20 5:21:07 AM
#37:


I'll be kicking myself over not sticking with my initial Witcher 3 To The Finals pick for a long time.

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shane15
04/20/20 5:23:55 AM
#38:


KamikazePotato posted...
I'll be kicking myself over not sticking with my initial Witcher 3 To The Finals pick for a long time.


I had Witcher 3 from day 1 and then changed it near lockdown after reading the boards thoughts.

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ctesjbuvf
04/20/20 5:24:07 AM
#39:


KamikazePotato posted...
I'll be kicking myself over not sticking with my initial Witcher 3 To The Finals pick for a long time.

I was so in doubt about that match that I made another bracket identical to my own except I changed that >_> I only made those two brackets (and a favorites). Gut feeling said Witcher, but Skyrim felt like the safe pick, because I thought it was more likely to be there in case Witcher 3 was on 2015 levels.

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ctesjbuvf
04/20/20 5:33:44 AM
#40:


Looking at the points I missed so far (I got 114), I've only got two matches where I find myself stupid for not thinking otherwise. Like, I wish I had called stuff like Bloodborne > Fire Emblem or Tropical Freeze > DMC5, but I don't blame myself for thinking otherwise. There was reason to. Same goes if Skyrim loses to Witcher or Three Houses loses to Xenoblade. I hate those picks because I was so back and forward about them, but I had my good reasons to think what I didn't.

Now the two where I did not have that:

Tales of Beseria > Hollow Knight
In this one I was looking at earlier polls, trying to determine their strengths and I couldn't find a clear favorite. Went with the RPG because of that. I completely missed that the Hollow Knight polls where before its consoles ports for some reason. It was basically a coinflip and wouldn't have been if I had that information.

Sekiro > Monster Hunter: World
I had completely forgotten just how big World is here compared to other Monster Hunter games. I knew that it had sold so much better and yet for some reason couldn't remember it when making my bracket. I just thought Sekiro looked okay in GotY polls and that MHW never looked worth much, so why think it would now. It's not even that I expected the Soulsborne boost we've been seeing, I didn't bank on that anywhere else, taking DS, DS3 and Bloodborne to lose as early as it was thinkable (did pick Nioh to win at least). Somewhere in round 1 I was reminded about how big MHW is and... yeah. Flipped to MHW in oracle and battle challenge without thinking twice and I tend to stick with my picks even if they look unlikely!

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Safer_777
04/20/20 5:45:25 AM
#41:


I want BOTW VS OOT as a bonus poll now.

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shane15
04/20/20 5:54:54 AM
#42:


Not really sure if it's worth bothering with the second chance bracket at this point. By the time this round it over we'll probably know exactly how the rest of the contest is going.

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CaIlMeSpike
04/20/20 6:05:25 AM
#43:


Lightning Strikes posted...
This is not that surprising. Japan loves Dragon Quest, but goes mad for Monster Hunter.


This is true. There's a Dragon Quest themed convenience store in Akihabara, which is pretty cool.
But there's an even sweeter Monster Hunter themed bar in Shinjuku.
Monster Hunter is extremely popular here.

https://youtu.be/I4WvEwbHscQ

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Yuri_LowelI
04/20/20 6:20:45 AM
#44:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Lol at thinking a Sunshine level Mario game is going to compete with the latest and greatest Smash

now i know why so many people block you

but i wont. These level of awful quotes is a good highlight reel


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Yuri_LowelI
04/20/20 6:21:18 AM
#45:


Safer_777 posted...
I want BOTW VS OOT as a bonus poll now.

lets have botw win this contest first.

still think the MM one makes more sense. Gotd last time vs this time

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ctesjbuvf
04/20/20 6:21:20 AM
#46:


shane15 posted...
Not really sure if it's worth bothering with the second chance bracket at this point. By the time this round it over we'll probably know exactly how the rest of the contest is going.

Nah, I don't think so. Division 2, 3 and 4 finals will be debatable, maybe some will still think 7 is too and I'm sure some will try the upset in 8 as well. The matches in the bottom half after that also aren't clear.

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LordoftheMorons
04/20/20 6:23:42 AM
#47:


This is definitely a much worse performance from DQXI than I was anticipating :(

But maybe MH is just kind of legit...?

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Safer_777
04/20/20 6:28:02 AM
#48:


There is a rally I believe. Plus DQ games as I have wrote in my analysis were never strong or popular. DQ11 is by far the best selling DQ game too. BUT MH franchise is much more popular. Everyone knows it. Hell even in Japan they prefer it over DQ. Yeah.

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ZeldaTPLink
04/20/20 7:15:12 AM
#49:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Nah, I don't think so. Division 2, 3 and 4 finals will be debatable, maybe some will still think 7 is too and I'm sure some will try the upset in 8 as well. The matches in the bottom half after that also aren't clear.

Plus Dark Souls vs Skyrim, which is turning to be a great match-up.
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Diegui
04/20/20 7:48:31 AM
#50:


are the rallies favoring botw or ffxv?
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