Board 8 > College Football Ladder Contest - Week 6

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SmartMuffin
10/05/11 6:31:00 AM
#1:


Specific Rules:

Due to the overwhelming amount of games available to choose from, I'm not going to be posting lines from every game available. You will find and use lines on your own from whatever legitimate source you choose. We will be using a limited honor system here. You post the line you find, and I'll cross-check it with the source I use. I'll allow you a 2-point window in either direction. In other words, if your line is within two points of mine, I'll accept your line. If it's more than two points away, I'll let you know, and you can either change your pick or use my line. If a neutral party (neither myself nor the original picker) wishes to challenge my line, we can work it out over an AIM chat or something. Please note, the window is NOT there for the purpose of allowing you to pad your lines or anything. Be honest about the lines you fine. Honor system applies here.

However, since some of you probably won't want to do exhaustive research, I will post around five "spotlight games" each week. For the spotlight games, my lines must be used.

You may submit your picks at any time prior to the first game you are picking. All games must be picked in one post, meaning, if you want to pick a Thursday game and two Saturday games, you must pick all three games prior to the first game starting. Once any of your games have started, you may not change any of your picks. If you are going to change picks, DELETE AND REPOST. Do not edit your post. Any edited posts will not count.

Unless otherwise noted, every game picked must meet the following criteria: At least ONE of the teams involved must either be a member of a BCS conference, or ranked in the Top 25. BOTH teams must be members of Division 1-A, bowl division, whatever the hell it's called these days. For levels involving player-specific props, the spread of the game you are picking must be under 20.

The "week" will run Thursday - Monday. No games played on Tuesday or Wednesday are eligible for prediction until Championship Week. I'm thinking of including Bowl Season in this contest and doing something totally different for it, but haven't worked out the details yet. Keep this in mind so you don't accuse me of "changing the rules midway through." I'm warning you that such a change is coming now.

ATS = against the spread. OU = over/under. SU = straight up. If you don't know what these things mean, learn. We'll be using them frequently.

I will be participating myself. If anyone has any objections or thinks I'm doing anything unfairly, feel free to call me out and we'll sort it out. There's no prize here, it's all in good fun, fair competition among fans is encouraged!

Level 5: Winners, winners, winners - Pick one winner (SU) from each of the six BCS conferences. At least two of your picks must be favored by single digits or less. All six must win.

Level 4: Pick one game ATS. You must pick a road team who is favored.

Level 3: The Jakyl Tier - Three game teaser (pick three games ATS, add six points in your favor to each spread, all games must win, you may advance with ONE push)

Level 2:
Pick three games OU. Must get two or more correct to advance.

Level 1:
Pick one game ATS.

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SmartMuffin
10/05/11 6:31:00 AM
#2:


Level 5
Camden

Level 4
BrettEagles
TsunamiXXVIII
Paratroopa1
Masterplum
sonten1

Level 3
GaryOak151
RappinHobo
KCF0107
Jakyl
Regaro-Ukiera
Masterplum
SmartMuffin
sonten1

Level 2
KommunistKoala
MajinZidane
Achromatic
Wiggumfan267
MSS

Level 1
Viviff
BBallman7

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masterplum
10/05/11 11:14:00 AM
#3:


Florida State -13 @Wake Forrest

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/05/11 11:54:00 AM
#4:


So few decent road favorites...

Arizona State (-4) @ Utah

Although Accuscore's currently showing Georgia-Tennessee as a pick 'em. If those are allowed, I'd take Georgia to win on the road.

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Camden
10/05/11 2:12:00 PM
#5:


I like this round.

Level 5
Pac12 - Arizona (-2) at Oregon State
Big12 - Kansas at Oklahoma State
Big10 - Michigan (-7) at Northwestern
BigEast - Connecticut at West Virginia
ACC - Boston College at Clemson
SEC - Alabama at Vanderbilt

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KCF0107
10/05/11 2:52:00 PM
#6:


Level 3:

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (+10)
Florida St. Seminoles (-11) @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Florida Gators @ LSU Tigers (-14)

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masterplum
10/05/11 3:17:00 PM
#7:


You saw Florida State at -11?

shoot.

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KCF0107
10/05/11 3:24:00 PM
#8:


This is what I looked at:
http://sports.bodog.eu/sports-betting/ncaa-college-football.jsp

It just moved up to -11.5 since I last posted (I think I should be able to keep what I originally had if you ask me)

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Paratroopa1
10/05/11 3:55:00 PM
#9:


Level 4: Arizona -2

Sorry Muffin, I just wasn't seeing any other spreads I liked! The OSU anti-hype train is just too easy to ride right now.

I thought about taking Florida State -11.5, but that feels too easy and I'm scared off by it because I don't know how good FSU really is. Illinois over Indiana -14.5 would have honestly been tempting if it was -13.5 instead. Georgia -1 over Tennessee seems like a nice tossup pick as well, probably would've been my second choice but I honestly don't know much about Tennessee. Michigan -7.5 is firing off my trap alarms. Boise State -21 is too big a spread. Oklahoma -10 is straight up dumb in such a huge rivalry game, albeit against an overrated Texas.

Hypothetical question on level 4, what if we wanted to take a road underdog as a pick-em? I sort of genuinely considered Washington State getting the win outright over UCLA but they're underdogs.
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_Regaro_
10/05/11 3:56:00 PM
#10:


From: Paratroopa1 | #009
Illinois over Indiana -14.5 would have honestly been tempting if it was -13.5 instead


Indiana lost to The University of North Texas

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Paratroopa1
10/05/11 3:59:00 PM
#11:


Indiana is a disaster, don't get me wrong, but -14.5 is just such an ugly spread. All it takes is Illinois taking their foot off the gas a little bit and Indiana getting lucky in garbage time to wind up with a 38-24 score.
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BrettEagles
10/05/11 4:03:00 PM
#12:


Level 4: Arizona -2

This bolds well for you Muffin.

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SmartMuffin
10/05/11 8:41:00 PM
#13:


I cannot BELIEVE the spread for this game is only 2. It's taking everything I have to not bet my entire life savings against OSU.

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masterplum
10/05/11 8:54:00 PM
#14:


Osu at -2 seems like a trap


last game like that was the ND michigan State game

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SmartMuffin
10/05/11 9:35:00 PM
#15:


Spotlight Games:

Florida +13.5 at LSU (41)
Oklahoma -10 at Texas (57) (technically neutral site, but counting it as Texas at home)
Auburn +10 at Arkansas (63.5)
Ohio State +11 at Nebraska (43.5)
Arizona State -4 at Utah (48.5)

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/06/11 1:18:00 PM
#16:


Paratroopa1 posted...
Indiana is a disaster, don't get me wrong, but -14.5 is just such an ugly spread. All it takes is Illinois taking their foot off the gas a little bit and Indiana getting lucky in garbage time to wind up with a 38-24 score.

Yeah. Last week, BrettEagles had Georgia Tech -10 and the Yellow Jackets were up 45-21 with a minute left. NC State scores a touchdown, kicks off normally because down 45-28 with 34 seconds left, the game's still completely out of reach, then Georgia Tech inexplicably tries to rush on their first snap from scrimmage instead of just taking a knee--fumble-recovery, returned for a touchdown, and the sure-fire win turned into a push, which in this competition is as good as a loss.

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/06/11 1:21:00 PM
#17:


Okay, now I'm getting a line on Georgia-Tennessee, and it does have the Bulldogs favored.

Georgia (-1.5) @ Tennessee

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/06/11 7:09:00 PM
#18:


Actually, I think I'll go with my original choice; it feels safer.

Arizona State (-3.5) @ Utah

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SmartMuffin
10/06/11 7:30:00 PM
#19:


Level 3:
Arizona State -4 at Utah
Georgia Tech -15.5 vs Maryland
Virginia Tech -8 vs Miami

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KCF0107
10/07/11 4:57:00 PM
#20:


up

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SmartMuffin
10/07/11 8:11:00 PM
#21:


woo

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sonten1
10/07/11 8:48:00 PM
#22:


Level 4:

Michigan (-7) @ Northwestern

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_Regaro_
10/07/11 8:50:00 PM
#23:


Level 3:
Texas +16
Auburn +16
Florida +19.5


pretty sure those'll all be close

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JaKyL25
10/07/11 8:56:00 PM
#24:


Level Three
Michigan -8 @ Northwestern
Nebraska -10.5 vs. Ohio State
Baylor -16 vs. Iowa State

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SmartMuffin
10/07/11 9:54:00 PM
#25:


Jakyl going right back to Ohio State! Way to show no fear!

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GaryOak151
10/08/11 8:25:00 AM
#26:


Nebraska
Florida
Northwestern

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GaryOak151
10/08/11 8:27:00 AM
#27:


replace northwestern with georgia please

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 8:54:00 AM
#28:


up

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 11:08:00 AM
#29:


Not looking good for KCF...

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masterplum
10/08/11 11:47:00 AM
#30:


From: SmartMuffin | #029
Not looking good for KCF...


or me >_>

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Regaro_Ukiera
10/08/11 11:49:00 AM
#31:


lol me

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 12:52:00 PM
#32:


**** georgia tech

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KCF0107
10/08/11 12:55:00 PM
#33:


I seem to be doing worse and worse every week that I am stuck on Level 3

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 12:56:00 PM
#34:


yeah, me too :(

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BrettEagles
10/08/11 1:00:00 PM
#35:


From: SmartMuffin | #032
**** georgia tech


That's what I was saying last week!

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 1:12:00 PM
#36:


The only thing that will cheer me up is the Beavs ****ing all of you.

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Camden
10/08/11 1:31:00 PM
#37:


lol blocked punt TD. I picked against them, but I'd like to see Oregon State win. The last thing I want is for them to go 0-11 heading into the Civil War, nothing good can come of that.

1/6 with West Virginia in the bank.

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 2:09:00 PM
#38:


Up by 21 at the half. Can they find a way to blow it???

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TsunamiXXVIII
10/08/11 2:16:00 PM
#39:


SmartMuffin posted...
The only thing that will cheer me up is the Beavs ****ing all of you.

Same here; after all, I'm only one level back of the lead! Of course, my own advancement is very much in question at the moment; I've got ASU -3.5, and they lead by 3 at halftime so they're not there yet, but it's easily doable.

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Paratroopa1
10/08/11 2:16:00 PM
#40:


Well, uhhhhhhhh

Looks like I should've just taken Boise State instead.

Good luck with the second half Muffin.
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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 2:17:00 PM
#41:


I've been watching the ASU game while listening to the OSU game on the radio. ASU has definitely been the better team. That's one of my picks for this week as well, and as of right now, I'm still pretty confident they'll close it out.

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Camden
10/08/11 2:43:00 PM
#42:


Arizona isn't going to give Oregon State a chance to blow it.

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Paratroopa1
10/08/11 2:45:00 PM
#43:


Looks like Illinois did cover the spread against Indiana after all, but only just barely. That was a really uncomfortable one.
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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 2:52:00 PM
#44:


Holy **** Arizona State is pissing me off.

Every time they pass down the middle of the field it's complete for 10+ yards.

Every time they run this ridiculous fake pass, draw run play it gets stopped for a loss of 3.

Guess which play they're calling twice as often as the other?

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 2:54:00 PM
#45:


lol Arizona just got 14 points in about 30 seconds

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JaKyL25
10/08/11 3:00:00 PM
#46:


SmartMuffin posted...
Jakyl going right back to Ohio State! Way to show no fear!

What? This week I'm going AGAINST Ohio State!

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 3:06:00 PM
#47:


The Beavs absolutely do NOT want to win this game...

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 3:07:00 PM
#48:


What? This week I'm going AGAINST Ohio State!

Same difference! Whenever I lose a bet involving a team, I'm usually pretty nervous to bet on a game involving them again, even if I'm going the opposite way!

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SmartMuffin
10/08/11 3:08:00 PM
#49:


lol ANOTHER Utah turnover

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Camden
10/08/11 3:11:00 PM
#50:


I decided to turn the Arizona/OSU game on, which was a mistake. The Dance Cam was going on for about three full minutes and now I'm going to have AC/DC stuck in my head for the rest of the day.

On the other hand, lol Oregon State. What the hell happened to 30-6? It's 30-27 now?

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