We finally have the bracket, so it's time to take a look at it. I will not only give my opinions on the matches, but I will also add upset-potential, and a rough Oracle prediction.
So let's get this thing rolling:
North Division
Match 1: Mario/Bowser vs. Earthworm Jim/Queen Slug-for-a-butt
EWJ's rival should have been Psycrow. Not like it would have mattered, because Mario/Bowser is going to start this contest with a massive blowout. The Queen might give the pairing some joke potential, but not enough for it to matter.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Mario/Bowser with 80%
Match 2: Conker/Great Mighty Poo vs. Ike/Black Knight
The second match of the contest is a pretty tough one. Ike is easily the strongest character among those 4, but Great Mighty Poo scares me. With a name like that, you just know he's going to bring in the joke votes for his pairing. Still Ike/BK is actually a pretty good rivalry (at least it was in PoR, haven't played RD), while Conker/GMP isn't as far as I know (haven't played Conker's BFD though) so I'm giving the edge to the serious pairing in this match.
Upset-potential: 40% Oracle: Ike/Black Knight with 55%
Match 3 Kirby/Meta-Knight vs. Jill/Nemesis
We saw Kirby vs. Jill before, and it didn't end well for the sandwich. Add to this that Meta-Knight would easily wipe the floor with Nemesis, and the Jill/Nemesis rivalry not really being appealing, and I have a hard time seeing Jill/Nemesis moving on here. It's a night-match, so Kirby will be much weaker, and Jill much stronger than usual, but that's only enough to make the match somewhat closer, it still won't be close.
Upset-potential: 5% Oracle: Kirby/Meta-Knight with 58%
Match 4 Sonic/Robotnik vs. Katherine/Catherine
Congrats to the Atlus fans on getting their obscure pairing into the contest, but this is as far as they go. Sonic is a gaming icon, and while Robotnik is the worst rival the nominators could have possibly picked (seriously, why isn't this Sonic/Knuckles?), they are still going to win this easily.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Sonic/Robotnik with 80%
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Nice.I also agree.Hope to see the next results.By the way the matches will be 12 hours and the semi-finals and final 24 hours right?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
I've said it before, and I'll say it again: awesome guru pick, Black_Turtle, awesome guru pick. Can you imaging the casual nominators putting Sigma as X's rival? Why do I talk about that instead of this match? Because this match is a foregone conclusion. X/Zero wins, end of story.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: X/Zero with 65%
Match 6: Guybrush/Le Chuck vs Bartz/Gilgamesh
This match. Bartz/Gilgamesh is the weakest FF pairing in the contest, that much is obvious. But I've learned a lesson a long time ago: never bet on Monkey Island. Guybrush religiously makes every contest, and just as religiously, he is always a giant bomb. So I'm picking the FFV duo here, not because I have any faith in them, but because I have absolutely no faith in anything Monkey Island related. This could really go either way though.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Bartz/Gilgamesh with 51%
Match 7: Donkey Kong/King K. Rool vs Ezio/Rodrigo
I didn't really realize it until now, but the NE division is probably the second hardest division to predict. Basically, what I figured for this match was that Donkey Kong is known for being on hell of a choker. This match just screams for a DK-choke. We'll get another Assassin's Creed game soon, so I'll just bet on that giving Ezio/whoever the necessary boost to win this match. Not terribly confident about it though.
Upset-potential: 40% Ezio/Rodrigo with 52%
Match 8: Sub-Zero/Scorpion vs. Leon/Ada Wong
And we have the 3rd debatable match in a row. If I had to rank the characters in this match by strength, I'd say Leon>Subby>Scorps>Ada, so just adding the known strengths of the individual characters won't really help here. Fortunately for the MK-ninjas, they are fresh off their first well-received game in 15 years, and their rivalry is much better than the Leon/Ada relationship, which I struggle to even call a rivalry. I'm going with team ninja here.
Upset-potential: 35% Sub-zero/Scorpion with 55%
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I think DK/Rool will benefit from their match being in the day - AC is disproportionately popular in Europe, while Nintendo obviously benefits from more young NA voters. Based off Vivi/DK and Vivi/Altair there's probably not much between Ezio and DK (the new AC isn't till about a week after the match, and there's been a relevant DK game since the last character contest), and I doubt the "rivalry factor" will help the AC pair out. Feeling quite good about DK/Rool.
Otherwise, our brackets are the same so far.
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Kotetsu534 posted... I think DK/Rool will benefit from their match being in the day - AC is disproportionately popular in Europe, while Nintendo obviously benefits from more young NA voters.
this is actually completely incorrect and goes agains everything we've seen in previous contests. AC is casual bait and DK is an old gaming icon that does best at night. it makes sense, too. the average DK fan will skew older because he's pretty irrelevant to young gamers. maybe dkcr changed things, but I doubt it.
Hmm, maybe time isn't as much of a factor as I thought. I just searched "Donkey Kong", "Assassin's Creed" and "Ezio" and compared some results in NA and Europe: general trend to me seemed to be DK doing better in NA while AC did better in Europe.
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When we last saw the AC guys, they all had one game each. The people who have played the games all say that Ezio is more likeable than Altair, so he should technically be the stronger assassin. And while it's true that DK had a new game in DKCR, so did Ezio with AC: Brotherhood. Plus Reveleations-hype and DK-choking. As tranny said, AC is casual bait, and its ASV is always a sight to behold. I don't feel too bad about that pick
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I have no idea what to make of Red/Blue. If I go with my gut instinct, I figure they are going to be pretty weak, just as Red was in the last CB. However, some people seem to think that Red/Blue is some kind of super-awesome rivalry that is much stronger than the sum of its parts. Which one of these is true won't really matter in the first round though, as Kerrigan is and always has been fodder, so Kerrigan/Raynor won't challenge Red/Blue. This match should give us a good read of their strength though.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Red/Blue with 66%
Match 10: Luigi/Waluigi vs. Cecil/Golbez
Cecil/Golbez is easily the better rivalry here, but I really doubt that's going to matter. Waluigi is terrible, and his presence in this bracket really shows what a terrible idea this contest was. Waluigi should never make a bracket. He will weigh Luigi down, but Luigi is so far removed from the FFIV pair, that even the piece of garbage that is Waluigi won't prevent the superior Mario brother from advancing. An upset may be possible if the voters don't treat this like a one-on-one between the more popular characters of each pair, but I think people who vote for the rivalry will be the minority.
Upset-potential: 15% Oracle: Luigi/Waluigi with 58%
Match 11: Ryu/Ken vs. Ratchet/Nefarious Ryu/Ken should be one of the stronger pairings in this contest, while Ratchet has never been worth anything. Easy match.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Ryu/Ken with 68%
Match 12: Fox/Wolf vs. Yuna/Seymour Oh look, we have a decent match for once. In a one-on-one, I would take Yuna to beat Fox. Now, looking at the vote-in, Yuna/Seymour didn't exactly set the world on fire, by losing to Banjo/Gruntilda and Raiden/Vamp. I would never consider Banjo/Gruntilda > Fox/Wolf, so by extension, I have to pick the Star Fox rivalry here. Vote-in results don't always translate into contest strength, so an upset is certainly possible, but that performance was too pathetic for me to pick Yuna/Seymour.
Upset-potential:25% Oracle: Fox/Wolf with 55%
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Yeah, I pretty much agree with your analysis here. Fox vs. Yuna in a 1v1, I'd probably take Fox but with less than 51% for Oracle and would almost surely bank in Battle Challenge, but Wolf >>>>> Seymour and Fox/Wolf is the better rivalry.
Only place I disagree is with Ezio > DK. (Well, also with the Subby/Scorpion vs. Leon/Ada match, but I think we agree that it could go either way.) Most of the so-called "casual bait" characters haven't really performed well in these contests. Sure, there was that Altair > Liquid Snake weirdness, but DK's still a little too iconic to lose this early.
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Oh, she did? I wasn't around in 2002, so my bad. Either way, Jill wouldn't win a match against Kirby these days. I might be underestimating Nemesis there, but the fact that we haven't seen him since the Villains contest suggests to me that he really isn't popular enough to be a factor. He didn't do too badly against against Ocelot, but that was a long time ago. Sure UMvC3 gives him some relevance, but how many people really care about his inclusion.
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I don't know if people actively think about Nemesis except in contests where he matters (like this one), but RE is actually MORE popular now than it was in 2005, thanks to RE4. Dunno if that will help Nemesis very much, but hey.
Dunno if Meta Knight is really all that strong anyway.
Wow, talk about a boring division. Every single match in this division is a lock. So, here are the details:
Match 13 Samus/Ridley vs. Kid/Guy
A Noble Niner and her rival crush some no-name fodder from a stupidly difficult game that nobody cares about. Kid/Guy might get some joke votes because of their names, but who cares?
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Samus/Ridley with 80%
Match 14 Terra/Kefka vs. Vyse/Galcian
I hope DetroitDJ is happy seeing his favorites in the bracket, but that's it for the SoA rivals. Terra/Kefka sure as hell aren't powerhouses, but Vyse's best days are long past. Oh, and Ramirez was cooler than Galcian anyway.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Terra/Kefka with 63%
Match 15 Chris Redfield/Wesker vs. Dan/Sagat
If Dan were alone here, he could probably use the power of Saikyo to make his way to the finals and take down Link. Unfortunately, he isn't alone, so he will have to rely on Sagat's help to prevent Complete.Global.Saturation. At least, I'm looking forward to the Wesker quotes that will be thrown around on match-day. Chris/Wesker are low midcarders, but that should be enough here.
Upset potential: 5% Oracle: Chris/Wesker with 58%
Match 16 Tidus/Jecht vs. Big Boss/The Boss
I hate this match. Jecht is one of my favorite characters, Tidus is great as well, and I legitimately enjoy their rivalry. So, obviously, they draw the Bosses, who are also both some of my favorites. So not only is this match a really tough decision on who I vote for, but poor Tidus/Jecht have to go up against one of the 2 vote-in rivals that they just can't realistically beat.
Upset potential: 0% Oracle: Big Boss/The Boss with 59%
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This division is without a doubt the hardest to predict. You could probably make a case for 5 or 6 of the rivalries in this division to make it to the top 8. That's what you get when you load a division with low-midcarders, without putting a single elite in there.
Match 21: Wright/Edgeworth vs. Freeman/Breen
I have no idea what to make of this match. In 2006, Wright broke GFNW. Since then, Gordon has boosted further, but Phoenix Wright has become much more popular as well. The safe bet in this match is probably to side with Freeman/Breen, as Freeman has always been stronger than Phoenix. But I'll play it risky in this one. First of all, this is a night match: with the way our votals are going, that could mean as little as 30,000 votes. This means that hardcore fanbases and rallies will be more effective, and there isn't a single fanbase that is more hardcore and dedicated than the Wright-fanbase. You know that if this match is close, Board 8 will rally its collective ass off to give Wright/Edgy the win. UMvC3 might also give Phoenix a minor boost. It won't be much, but every bit helps.
Basically, this match is a toss-up, so I go with my favorite. As good a reason as any.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Wright/Edgy with 50.01%
Match 22: Alucard/Dracula vs. Shepard/Saren
Another toss-up match. Shepard would beat Alucard 1-on-1, but it would probably be close. From what I've gathered though, nobody gives a crap about Saren, and he could actually weigh Shepard down, while Dracula could have some decent strength himself. The Alucard/Dracula rivalry is also a pretty good one, so that can only help. I can easily see Shepard/Saren winning this one, but my SotN love doesn't let me pick against Alucard/Dracula.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Alucard/Dracula with 50.01%
Match 23: Chell/GlaDOS vs. Ness/Giygas
A somewhat easy match after the two previous toss-ups. Contrary to what its loud fanbase would suggest, Earthbound is not popular. Portal is a much bigger game and GlaDOS is the strongest character among the four in this match. Chell suffers from not being terribly visible in her game, but Valve are doing their best to make her appearance more well-known. GlaDOS quotes were never terribly funny to begin with, and the Internet just doesn't know when to stop, but GlaDOS is still big enough to allow Chell/GlaDOS to cruise to a comfortable victory.
Upset-potential: 15% Oracle: Chell/GlaDOS with 58%
Match 24: Frog/Magus vs. Raiden/Vamp
Raiden/Vamp sucks, Frog/Magus is awesome, voters better make the right choice here.
Upset-potential: 30% Oracle: Frog/Magus with 55%
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Gordon's peak was 2007 as well, but unlike Gordon, Phoenix has had releases since 2007.
While I agree that Edgeworth isn't going to add much, you can't seriously think that Dr. Breen adds much to Gordon.
As I said, Freeman/Breen is probably the safe bet, but going as far as saying they have it in the bag, seems a little extreme. That match is certainly debatable.
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Upset-potential: 0% Oracle Cloud/Sephiroth with 75%
Match 26: Kratos/Zeus vs Layton/Don Paolo
Layton has always sucked in these contests, Kratos is pretty strong. Obvious result is obvious.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Kratos/Zeus with 65%
Match 27: Crash/Cortex vs. Pac-man/Blinky
This should be the only interesting match of the division. Crash has a reputation of being garbage, but he really isn't. He has always been a low-midcarder/high-fodder character. Pac-man would probably beat Crash 1-on-1, but it would be fairly close, no more than 55/45. Looks like we should take a look at the actual rivalries. Crash/Cortex should have the advantage in the actual rivalry department, but will that be enough to overcome the deficit in raw strength between the main guys? I'm betting on "no", but don't be surprised if this match goes the other way
Upset-potential: 45% Oracle: Pac-man/Blinky with 51%
Match 28: Solid/Liquid vs Crono/Lavos
Another (2) vs. (7) match that really shouldn't have happened. As lousy of a rival as Lavos is, feeding Crono to the Snakes in round 1 is terrible bracketmaking. Crono/Lavos could have had a deep run with the right placement, but instead, they will lose in round 1. Crono/Lavos could have cruised through the Soutwest Division. A few years ago, Crono/Lavos could have won this, but nowadays, there's no question the Snakes will win this.
Uhh, I mean, VC-release boost, CT-rivalries to slaughter everything in their path. If only...
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: The Snakes with 56%
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Link is out to destroy Warcraft characters. Last contest he started by killing Thrall, this time he gets to kill Arthas and Illidan. Ganondorf is lame, but this is ZeldaFAQs, so the drones will vote their king to victory. The LAW prevails.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Link/Ganondorf with 80%
Match 18: Ammy/Orochi vs. Tom Nook/Crazy Redd
Ammy should have been matched with Waka, but I guess Orochi is at least a better choice than Yami. Ammy would easily beat Nook, nobody cares about their rivals, so the same result should hold true here.
Upset-potential: 1% Oracle: Ammy/Orochi with 60%
Match 19: Zidane/Kuja vs. Meatboy/Dr. Fetus
FF may be on a downswing and Kuja may be one of the most disliked villains in a FF game, losing to a ****ing glove, but ultimately, this match is FF against an indie downloadable game. Easy match.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Zidane/Kuja with 65%
Match 20: Mega Man/Dr. Wily vs. Banjo/Gruntilda
We've had similar matches before: a Noble Niner and their main villain, who nobody cares about, get to slaughter fodder on their way to the division finals. I still don't get how Banjo/Gruntilda won their vote-in, but it doesn't matter. Another lock.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Mega Man/Wily with 75%
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Time to wrap round 1 up with a pretty easy division.
Match 29: Squall/Seifer vs. Laharl/Mid-Boss
I'll be honest with you: I don't like Seifer. FFVIII deserved a second rep, but I would much rather have seen Laguna or Zell. Judging by his absence from all contests so far, I think it's a safe bet to assume that most GameFAQs voters aren't exactly big on the guy, so he might just weigh Squall down. This won't matter here, but it could become important in the division finals.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Squall/Seifer with 70%
Match 30: Siegfried/Nightmare vs Ramza/Delita
Some people will probably think this match is debatable, but I don't see it. Yes, it's FF against SC. But what I see are two SC characters that I would both take to beat Ramza in a 1-on-1, who also have a compelling rivalry to boot. Ramza has just weakend too much to win this.
Upset-potential: 10% Oracle: Siegfried/Nightmare with 56%
Match 31: Dante/Vergil vs Sol Badguy/Ky Kiske
It's nice seeing some Guilty Gear reps in a contest for once, but frankly, there's a reason it hasn't happened earlier. Sol/Ky will be weak, and Dante/Vergil should be a Top 15 pairing in this contest.
I don't follow the GG storyline, but I thought Ky was the good guy in the rivalry. Or are they friendly rivals like Ryu/Ken where the order doesn't matter?
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Dante/Vergil with 70%
Match 32: Sora/Riku vs. Blazkowicz/Hitler
The last match of round 1 often has an unexpected result, and I could certainly see Hitler pulling through here. You know 4chan is going to "rally" like crazy to give Hitler the win here. The vote-ins showed that the GameFAQs voterbase does not take too kindly to the Hitler joke. Sure, they finished second, but they were too close to KCatherine to really be considered a success.
Sora/Riku in a day match should be strong, and I hope they can take out Hitler before he gains momentum. Our reduced vote totals could make this difficult, as it would make 4chan "rallying" more effective. The match scares me though. If Hitler wins here, I could see him going on an L-block-like rampage.
Upset-potential: 30% Oracle: Sora/Riku with 58%
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On to the second round. Round 2 is traditionally pretty boring, and this contest is not all that different. I can see 4 debatable matches in the second round, maybe 5. A pretty poor ratio.
North Division
Match 33 Mario/Bowser vs. Ike/BK
Mario continues his easy path to the finals.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Mario/Bowser with 70%
Match 34: Kirby/Meta-Knight vs. Sonic/Robotnik
I know Kirby beat Sonic in that fourway match, but let's be realistic here. I was dumb enough to pick Kirby>Sonic in the last CB. I won't be dumb enough to do it again. Sonic has also recently stopped releasing terrible games, or so I've heard, so I believe his strength should be rebounding somewhat. The match will still be relatively close, but I think Sonic should win this fairly comfortably.
Upset-potential: 10% Oracle: Sonic/Not-Knuckles with 55%
Northeast Division
Match 35: X/Zero vs. Bartz/Gilgamesh
Bartz/Gilgamesh is fodder. X/Zero is strong. Next.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: X/Zero with 70%
Match 36: Ezio/Rodrigo vs. Sub-Zero/Scorpion
If Sub-Zero/Scorpion actually manage to get here, by beating Leon/Ada, Ezio/Rodrigo won't be a match for them.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Sub-Zero/Scorpion with 60%
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You underestimate Freeman. Maybe he hasn't had any official releases since 2007, but he's gained plenty of power regardless. Steam's users just keep on increasing, and with how often every HL game is on sale for like, 10 bucks there, that's new fans happening all the time. Especially since I'm of the opinion that Valve games overall get a larger fanbase spillover than most other developers thanks to Steam, meaning all those free Portal giveaways and whatnot bring a lot of attention to HL inevitably.
Good analysis. I think Tidus/Jecht should at least be given a 5% chance of victory, though, if you believe they'll berak 40%.
Maybe, but I just can't see Tidus/Jecht winning that one. Tidus/Jecht isn't weak, so it won't be a complete blowout, but The Bosses should win that. The closeness off a match is not always directly related to my expected result. Last year I would have give Auron>Squall a 20% chance of happening, at most, but I still would have predicted no more than 52-48 for Squall.
East Division
Match 37: Red/Blue vs Luigi/Waluigi
This match is a really tough one. Luigi would beat Red in a 1-on-1. However, here you have Waluigi who could realistically drag Luigi down quite a bit. On the other hand, people seem to really like the Red/Blue rivalry. How this match turns out will largely depend on how the voters cast their vote. If they just vote for their favorite character, Luigi/Waluigi wins this. But if they really vote on the rivalries, Red/Blue will take this.
I'm picking Red/Blue here, but without confidence.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Red/Blue with 51%
Match 38: Ryu/Ken vs Fox/Wolf
Fox/Wolf aren't weak, but the Street Fighters should be comfortable ahead of them.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Ryu/Ken with 60%
Southeast Division
Match 39: Samus/Ridley vs Kefka/Terra
Noble Niner crushes low-midcarder. Obvious.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Samus/Ridley with 66%
Match 40: Chris/Wesker vs. Big Boss/The Boss
A good thing about this rivalry contest, is that we are basically guaranteed Naked Snake pics. I would have picked Tidus/Jecht over Chris/Wesker, although barely. The Bosses should win this match just as easily as the previous one.
Upset-potential: 0% Big/Boss with 60%
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I will be voting for the FFVI guys over Samus though.
You may be voting for the FFVI crew, but the majority sure as hell won't.
South Division
Match 41: Link/Ganon vs. Ammy/Orochi
Link continues his slaughter.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Link/Ganon with 70%
Match 42: Zidane/Kuja vs. Megaman/Wily
The FFIX crew is much weaker than they deserve to be, which means MM/Wily will win this easily.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Megaman/Wily with 65%
Southwest Division
We're back in the division of death, where nothing is a lock.
Match 43: Wright/Edgeworth vs Alucard/Dracula
Unlike the first round where Wright/Edgeworth get lucky with a night match, they have to hang on for 24 hours in this match. That, combined with the fact that Alucard is no slouch, and Dracula probably brings some strength to the table as well, makes me pick the vampire-duo here.
Upset-potential: 40% Oracle: Alucard/Dracula with 53%
Match 44: Chell/Glados vs. Frog/Magus
Magus is famous for bombing, and I guess GlaDOS would beat both CT character in a 1-on-1. However, I just can't pick against CT in a close match. Not because I expect Frog-like shenanigans, although those are certainly possible, but mainly because I love Chrono Trigger. It's a fanboy pick, screw listening to reason.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Frog/Magus with 51%
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Do you think that a 1 seed will lose on the first match?I am talking about Wright and Edge.We shall see.
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It's actually kinda weird. I could see Gordon/Breen winning the division, but I can't see Phoenix/Edgeworth winning it. And despite this, I think Phoenix/Edgeworth will win their round 1 match.
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The last time Cloud and Kratos met, Cloud was defeated in a shocking upset... Oh wait, that was Gamespot's trainwreck of a contest. Fortunately GameFAQs voters have enough common sense to realize that Cloud/Sephiroth are better than Kratos/Zeus
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Cloud/Sephiroth with 63%
Match 46: Pac-man/Blinky vs. Solid/Liquid
Pac-man and his ghost buddy will be lucky to even get here. They aren't touching the Snakes.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: The Snakes with 65%
Northwest Division
Match 47: Squall/Seifer vs. Siegfried/Nightmare
Another obvious match. Squall is an elite, while both Nightmare and Siegfried are low-midcarders. And while Seifer himself won't bring many votes, at least the rivalry is good.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: Squall/Seifer with 60%
Match 48 Dante/Vergil vs. Sora/Riku
This match is actually a lot tougher than I originally thought. At first I picked Sora/Riku without much thought, but let's take a closer look. Dante is basically equal to Ryu, and might even be stronger after MvC3 and UMvC3. Ryu beat Bowser in the 4-ways, and Bowser beat Sora last year. This reasoning has an obvious flaw though: LOL4ways... On the other hand, Riku is quite a bit stronger than Vergil. I haven't played the games, but as far as I know, both rivalries are actually pretty good. If we take all of that into account, we... still don't really know what's going to happen here.
You know what, I'm changing my bracket. Dante/Vergil all the way.
Upset-potential: 50% Oracle: Dante/Vergil with 50.01%
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http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/0/0e/Ffx-bahamut.jpg Support Bahamut if we ever get another real contest.
Now I don't think I'll be voting for the FFVI guys over the Metroid duo anymore. Samus/Ridley is definitely more of a rivalry than Terra/Kefka. That latter rivalry should be more like "FFVI playable cast vs. Kefka". On the other hand, I like Kefka (my favorite VG character) more than Samus and Terra more than Ridley so...nah, sticking with the bounty huntress and her parents' murderer.
Thinking about it, the only time Terra vs. Kefka can really be said to be a rivalry in FFVI is in her backstory when Kefka was "abusing" her. Afterwards it becomes the entire playable cast vs. The Empire, and then in the World of Ruin it's the entire playable cast vs. Kefka.
More random trivia: Not only is Samus in The Kid's game, but The Kid's game is actually similarly structures to 2D Metroid titles in that it is a non-linear sidescroller.
The Kid also has Super Meat Boy to draw strength from in addition to IWBTG!
It took 9 years, but we will finally get Mario/Sonic, kind of. Mario is a much bigger icon than Sonic, at least here on GameFAQs. Sonic could make it unexpectedly close, similar to Shadow back in the day, but I really doubt the plumber and his nemesis lose this.
Upset-potential: 10% Oracle: Mario/Bowser with 58%
Match 50: X/Zero vs Subby/Scorpion
Unless team ninja got a massive boost from MK9, they just don't have the raw power to compete with X/Zero. They probably got a boost, but I doubt it is enough. I wouldn't take Ryu/Ken over X/Zero, and no matter how big that MK9 boost will be, they won't get stronger than the SF rivals.
Upset-potential: 0% Oracle: X/Zero with 55%
Match 51: Red/Blue vs Ryu/Ken
Back to the biggest wildcard of the contest. As I said previously, I have no idea where the Pokemon trainers will be strength-wise. I picked them over Luigi/Waluigi, because I believed Waluigi was too much of an anchor and the Wa/Luigi rivalry was too insignificant. Ryu/Ken however both have decent strength and a great rivalry. I'm banking on that being enough to take out Red/Blue.
Upset-potential: 40% Oracle: Ryu/Ken with 53%
Match 52: Samus/Ridley vs. Big Boss/The Boss
Last year, Samus managed to hang with Cloud. You don't have to take that result at face-value, but either way, the bounty hunter is strong., certainly stronger than Big Boss. The Bosses deserve to be a Top 3 entrant in this contest, but they won't be. They will have decent strength, but it's not enough. Maybe MGS HD could help out the Bosses, but does anyone really care about that collection, who wasn't already a fan of the series to begin with.
Upset-potential: 10% Oracle: Samus/Ridley with 55%
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http://images.wikia.com/finalfantasy/images/0/0e/Ffx-bahamut.jpg Support Bahamut if we ever get another real contest.