Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1272

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LeonhartFour
05/13/17 8:45:11 AM
#1:


Largest lead thus far has been 65 votes.

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages
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RIPJimmy
05/13/17 8:54:12 AM
#2:


I can't see 2000 taking back the lead unless it goes crazy tonight
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CaptainOfCrush
05/13/17 9:21:53 AM
#3:


It is all I can do but be salty.
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BarbaricAvatar
05/13/17 9:46:47 AM
#4:


1997 vs 2007 is probably the hardest one so far but for the wrong reasons. For me it's a 2nd grade contest, and stripping the choices down to just my absolute favourite games of the years gives the nod to 2007, even though in my bracket (and opinion) it lost to 1999.
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Not_Wylvane
05/13/17 10:04:26 AM
#5:


To think I'm possibly one pic of GSC away from getting a perfect bracket this contest.
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Not_Wylvane
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Januzaj_Dragon
05/13/17 10:20:15 AM
#6:


The votals are so low that even a minor rally anywhere could swing the Match.

The problem is this is battle between best gaming years. I think most people only care about single entities like games and characters for it to have any effect.
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ninkendo
05/13/17 10:48:06 AM
#7:


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Oxbridge
05/13/17 11:08:02 AM
#8:


100 vote barrier breached.

I'm calling it now, 1996 has this in the bag.
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Congratulations to DpOblivion, the Guru champion for the 2013 Character Battle.
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spooky96
05/13/17 11:21:21 AM
#9:


ttaagg
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Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
From the place of your birth to the ends of the Earth~
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FFDragon
05/13/17 11:23:15 AM
#10:


there's a close match?

huh

i feel like I should be excited but... nope
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Safer_777
05/13/17 11:26:37 AM
#11:


So I just came back. Seems 1996 is winning. I have that one in the bracket too. Before the bracket it was the favorite for sure. But after the matches it seems that 2000 became the heavy favorite. Crew and others almost all of them picked it up.
Does anyone knows how many of the gurus had 1996 over 2000?
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spooky96
05/13/17 11:31:06 AM
#12:


79 (54%) gurus have 1996 winning here. 63 (43%) gurus have 2000 winning here.
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Congrats DpObliVion for wrecking gurus
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FFDragon
05/13/17 11:31:13 AM
#13:


http://thengamer.com/guru/stats.php?match=24
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Nanis23
05/13/17 11:33:19 AM
#15:


FFDragon posted...
there's a close match?

huh

i feel like I should be excited but... nope

The only excitment in this contest can come wanting your bracket pick to win
I can't care about any year otherwise
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hylianknight3
05/13/17 11:35:04 AM
#17:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
It is all I can do but be salty.


I'm as salty as a seadog.
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DpObliVion has fought mudcrabs more fearsome than my bracket!
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Safer_777
05/13/17 11:37:50 AM
#18:


All right thanks.
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ninkendo
05/13/17 11:53:10 AM
#19:


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whatisurnameplz
05/13/17 11:57:34 AM
#20:


Allen's an idiot. Diversity doesn't mean jack s***.
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Seeing DpOblivion win the Guru Contest...
...it fills me with determination.
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Not_Wylvane
05/13/17 12:59:14 PM
#21:


Nanis23 posted...
FFDragon posted...
there's a close match?

huh

i feel like I should be excited but... nope

The only excitment in this contest can come wanting your bracket pick to win
I can't care about any year otherwise

My perfect hinges on this match yet I still don't feel nearly as invested as a close match even between two losers in the games/characters contests.
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Not_Wylvane
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Safer_777
05/13/17 12:59:51 PM
#22:


That is true. Still this is the best match on the contest so far.
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Averia
05/13/17 1:29:28 PM
#23:


Don't forget that making the contest unexciting prevents rallies !
If no ones care, no one will rally !
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ninkendo
05/13/17 1:30:32 PM
#24:


everything is working out just as I had planned
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red sox 777
05/13/17 2:05:38 PM
#25:


It's 2 pm. On a Saturday. As Zelda hasn't started making its move yet, it probably won't.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013
Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!
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transcience
05/13/17 4:30:36 PM
#26:


yeah I'm two pictures away from a perfect bracket

this one isn't over, but the votes are so low that it's hard to ever see a comeback
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iphonesience
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LordoftheMorons
05/13/17 4:49:52 PM
#27:


Not the numbers to which I wanted to wake up!

This is going to end up being close enough that I think it's really hard to argue that Pokemon GS wouldn't have made the difference.
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PSI_NESS
05/13/17 5:29:47 PM
#28:


Honestly, If it's even Diablo 2 instead of Deus Ex or Perfect Dark I could see 2000 with the lead right now
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Nice job DpObliVion for ranking 4 spots ahead of me and winning the BGE15 Guru Contest!
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LeonhartFour
05/13/17 5:47:17 PM
#29:


I think this one's over. 2000 hasn't been able to cut consistently for hours.
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redrocket_pub
05/13/17 5:55:18 PM
#30:


whatisurnameplz posted...
Allen's an idiot. Diversity doesn't mean jack s***.

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Haste_2
05/13/17 6:17:28 PM
#31:


Kinda sucks that both my upset specials were decided against me by a result within 53/47 (one of them being a much bigger upset, of course). Oh, well. Better luck next time.
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LeonhartFour
05/13/17 6:18:30 PM
#32:


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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/17 6:59:43 PM
#33:


Now that 2000 is in the rear view, I hope it really is as strong as its backers thought, because my lone Guru upset demands 96 goes and beats 97.
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This line reserved for 2017 Guru champion.
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sonicgamer262
05/13/17 7:17:44 PM
#34:


Wow, can't remember the last time I was on the leader board! Too bad I had 2000 winning this one.
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"Do you know who I am!?" - Sonic The Hedgehog
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shane15
05/13/17 7:19:04 PM
#35:


L block screwed me out of a top 3 finish all those years ago.This is the best i've done since.
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Bolto4
05/13/17 7:24:05 PM
#36:


With a favorable picture, you think this is about a 53-54% win for 2000? Sucks that another close match got decided by a unfair picture, even though this time I was on the right end of it, but the picture with it this close definitely decided the match.

In the off chance 96 somehow kept it close with 97 next round, I think 97 looked too strong to drop that match but if it was close, oh boy this current result will end up being a lot worse then right now.
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shane15
05/13/17 7:33:06 PM
#37:


I picked 97 next round not because it has FF7 but because of SOTN.Easily one of the best 2D platformers ever created.
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tennisboy213
05/13/17 7:44:17 PM
#38:


based on the last 5 minutes, 2000 wins!
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creativename
05/13/17 8:18:22 PM
#39:


I'm rooting for 1996, but I feel dirty because I think the pic disadvantage is costing 2000 the match.

redrocket_pub posted...
whatisurnameplz posted...
Allen's an idiot. Diversity doesn't mean jack s***.

He's no idiot. He has a tough job, so i cut him some slack. He can't please everyone.

But I do think diversity is meaningless and we should get the best games.
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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/17 8:42:57 PM
#40:


He's just not very connected to contests.
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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/17 8:43:23 PM
#41:


creativename posted...
I'm rooting for 1996, but I feel dirty because I think the pic disadvantage is costing 2000 the match.

redrocket_pub posted...
whatisurnameplz posted...
Allen's an idiot. Diversity doesn't mean jack s***.

He's no idiot. He has a tough job, so i cut him some slack. He can't please everyone.

But I do think diversity is meaningless and we should get the best games.

"Badly executed" is the words I use in regarding to the pics. I get the idea of varying the game selection if possible, but the order of the pics should be strongest to weakest, and a year should be able to at least get its two strongest games without question.
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OrangeCrush980
05/13/17 8:54:58 PM
#42:


I think there's 3 main problems:

1. The biggest one - For some years, Allen prioritized variety, while for others he said fuck it and gave it their 4 best games, variety be damned. This is most obvious with 1995 vs. 1987. 1995 had some bad fodder to avoid multiple SNES games, while 1987 had 4 NES games.

2. Handheld games are getting slightly shafted. I get that a lot of gamers hate them, and many others view them as strictly second class. But there is the occasional really great one, and I feel like we're 50/50 on them actually making the match pics. Link's Awakening is the most blatant since its easily the big 1993 game on this site and even several others. And obviously Pokemon G/S would've helped a lot today.

2. 2006 just got royally screwed for no reason. There's no defending Twilight Princess at the bottom and Kingdom Hearts 2 not in the pic. I honestly think that Allen did this just to make the vs. 2011 match "more interesting". I don't think any other year got this randomly screwed for no reason, but maybe I'm forgetting one.
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Metal_DK
05/13/17 8:56:43 PM
#43:


People still going through the 5 stages of grief on 2006? It was pretty easy to predict, Skyrim is significantly more popular than any 2006 game....including Twilight Princess
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Casual Revolution 2007 - 2016
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ninkendo
05/13/17 9:14:17 PM
#44:


We should show how mad we are at Allen by all voting for 1995 in round 3

Thanks
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BlAcK TuRtLe
05/13/17 9:20:51 PM
#45:


Metal_DK posted...
People still going through the 5 stages of grief on 2006? It was pretty easy to predict, Skyrim is significantly more popular than any 2006 game....including Twilight Princess

TP beats Skyrim easily
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DpObliVion, my hat is off to you. Welcome to the Guru Champions Club
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XphoenixedgeX
05/13/17 9:39:34 PM
#46:


Metal_DK posted...
People still going through the 5 stages of grief on 2006? It was pretty easy to predict, Skyrim is significantly more popular than any 2006 game....including Twilight Princess


If Kingdom Hearts II and Final Fantasy XII were featured in the scrolling pics, 2006 would have won.
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Metal_DK
05/13/17 9:45:20 PM
#47:


No, it wouldn't of. FF12 barely has a fanbase (fun fact, FFX will be the last FF worth a damn in anything gfaqs contest related). KH2 doesnt have much contest strength anymore either. Most people have moved on to WRPGs anyway, and Skryim (despite it being meh imo) is praised by plenty of people.
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LordoftheMorons
05/13/17 9:47:21 PM
#48:


People absolutely care about KH2 and FFXII much more than freaking Gears of War
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OrangeCrush980
05/13/17 9:51:50 PM
#49:


Metal_DK posted...
No, it wouldn't of. FF12 barely has a fanbase (fun fact, FFX will be the last FF worth a damn in anything gfaqs contest related). KH2 doesnt have much contest strength anymore either. Most people have moved on to WRPGs anyway, and Skryim (despite it being meh imo) is praised by plenty of people.


GameFAQs isn't most people. And KH2 looked great against Melee, which went on to do great things that contest.
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LeonhartFour
05/13/17 10:06:18 PM
#50:


Metal_DK posted...
KH2 doesnt have much contest strength anymore either.


yeah okay man
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cyko
05/13/17 10:06:50 PM
#51:


Metal_DK posted...
No, it wouldn't of. FF12 barely has a fanbase (fun fact, FFX will be the last FF worth a damn in anything gfaqs contest related). KH2 doesnt have much contest strength anymore either. Most people have moved on to WRPGs anyway, and Skryim (despite it being meh imo) is praised by plenty of people.


Kingdom Hearts II and Final Fantasy XII would have ABSOLUTELY brought in more votes here than Gears of War and Oblivion (especially when Oblivion was matched up against Skyrim). On top of that, Okami should have been the bottom pic of that year - not the leading picture.
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FFDragon
05/13/17 10:07:08 PM
#52:


kh2 shouldn't have any contest strength

because it sucks
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