Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 154: A Very Special Election

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THEDavyJones
12/12/17 9:30:08 PM
#401:


Did we ever think the "whatever, Moore is gonna win anyway" might have depressed GOP vote?

That people reluctant to cast votes for Moore just went under the assumption he was gonna win anyway and they could keep their conscious clean by not voting?
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gmun-chama
12/12/17 9:30:12 PM
#402:


okay it went back down but wow that was crazy tick
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transience
12/12/17 9:31:02 PM
#403:


NYT is way too swingy for me to have full confidence in its conclusions
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 9:31:10 PM
#404:


Jakyl25 posted...
Jones has taken the gambling lead


I don't know who recommended this site to me, but I need to thank them!

This has been fluctuating between dead even and like 70/30 Moore based on updates and it is very easy to dump a chunk of your "investments" and reinvest when it gets down to 50/50 >_>

I can only hope this goes on another hour.
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UItimaterializer
12/12/17 9:32:19 PM
#405:


So it went from Moore +26k to Moore +45k.

uhh
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scarletspeed7
12/12/17 9:35:09 PM
#406:


NYT is just going to be a slow trend upward for Moore.
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 9:35:41 PM
#407:


Jones is now up almost 2:1 in the betting markets.

I'm not sure why!
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The Mana Sword
12/12/17 9:35:44 PM
#408:


NYT needle is straight trash

Do not trust the needle
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:36:20 PM
#409:


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THEDavyJones
12/12/17 9:37:17 PM
#410:


The Mana Sword posted...
NYT needle is straight trash

Do not trust the needle


The needle predicted Trump.

All hail the needle.
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Corrik
12/12/17 9:41:13 PM
#411:


538 and CNN vote totals are massively different. At 46% reporting CNN had significantly more votes than 538 had at 53%.

That is a bit weird.
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pxlated
12/12/17 9:43:11 PM
#412:


Whatever the results are, they're just going to be deleted anyway!
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:43:18 PM
#413:


YUuuuuge betting spike for Jones
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:46:46 PM
#414:



A factor to watch so far, 1.4 percent of the vote has gone to write-in candidates. Presumably thats mostly from would-be Moore voters, as some prominent Alabama Republicans such as Sen. Richard Shelby said they wrote in a candidate instead of voting for Moore or Jones. That 1.4 percent could easily turn out to be larger than Joness margin of victory in the race, if Jones squeaks out a win.


Nate Silver
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greengravy294
12/12/17 9:47:13 PM
#415:


What was my returns on 100 bucks at 4pm (for Jones)

just curious
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 9:48:29 PM
#416:


Jakyl25 posted...
YUuuuuge betting spike for Jones


^

If anyone wants to get in on Moore now is 100% the time to do it!
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:49:35 PM
#417:


Suprak the Stud posted...
Jakyl25 posted...
YUuuuuge betting spike for Jones


^

If anyone wants to get in on Moore now is 100% the time to do it!


Moore is surging back as people take this advice

Back down to 60/40 Jones
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:50:42 PM
#418:


greengravy294 posted...
What was my returns on 100 bucks at 4pm (for Jones)

just curious


Youd probably profit $200 if he wins
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psaltery
12/12/17 9:50:57 PM
#419:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gcJGM7htXr0

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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 9:51:11 PM
#420:


Yep it's too late now.

This night is going to end terribly for America but very good for me at this rate.

But then terribly for me once I have to come to terms that Roy Moore is a damn senator.
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greengravy294
12/12/17 9:52:25 PM
#421:


i'd never risk a bet on a hunch, let alone 100 big ones

maybe like 10 bucks, since thats the amount I bought beer with that's being pissed away regardless
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transience
12/12/17 9:52:39 PM
#422:


that lead is big and makes me uncomfortable

Halo will come back like 10000 votes against Castlevania book it
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 9:55:32 PM
#423:


Jakyl25 posted...
Suprak the Stud posted...
Jakyl25 posted...
YUuuuuge betting spike for Jones


^

If anyone wants to get in on Moore now is 100% the time to do it!


Moore is surging back as people take this advice

Back down to 60/40 Jones


The spread has really stabilized here

I realize its only been a few minutes but this is the most stable its been in 2 hours
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The Mana Sword
12/12/17 9:56:13 PM
#424:


sweatin over here

that lead is shrinking fast
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pxlated
12/12/17 10:01:20 PM
#425:


Predix: Moore takes it by a percent or less, dems call for a recount but oops! The votes were deleted
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CaptainOfCrush
12/12/17 10:03:33 PM
#426:


Is linking to these betting sites against the ToS?
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 10:04:22 PM
#427:


Yes, as I have found out
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ChaosTonyV4
12/12/17 10:08:45 PM
#428:


Someone hint at or PM me the site
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ExThaNemesis
12/12/17 10:09:04 PM
#429:


Starting to feel like it'll be Trump victory lite if Moore wins and we can always use some more of that.
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ExThaNemesis
12/12/17 10:09:18 PM
#430:


although did that guy seriously ride a horse to the voting booth lmfao
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The Mana Sword
12/12/17 10:09:27 PM
#431:


Its probably too late to get any good return on a bet
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 10:09:30 PM
#432:


Corriks right about something

It is strange that CNN and 538 have different vote totals at the same percent reporting
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Jakyl25
12/12/17 10:10:15 PM
#433:


ExThaNemesis posted...
although did that guy seriously ride a horse to the voting booth lmfao


Its his gimmick. He does it every election
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Pokewars
12/12/17 10:11:00 PM
#434:


Just wait 'til the kiddies wake u-----oh......
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 10:11:07 PM
#435:


Huge swing to Jones in the betting markets.

We're at 80/20 now.
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Corrik
12/12/17 10:12:28 PM
#436:


Jakyl25 posted...
Corriks right about something

It is strange that CNN and 538 have different vote totals at the same percent reporting

Like they aren't even close. Same % CNN has higher vitals a Moore lead. 538 has had a Jones lead for the past 15 mins. Despite their blog having Moore ahead.
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ExThaNemesis
12/12/17 10:13:20 PM
#437:


Although from what I see it's looking like Jones is going to win.
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transcience
12/12/17 10:13:30 PM
#438:


who needs Reddit when you've got vote swings like this
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 10:15:52 PM
#439:


You can literally get 10:1 investment on Jones losing right now. That's bonkers considering the election is, at the best, a toss up still.

Augh what have I become.
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Moops?
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Corrik
12/12/17 10:15:59 PM
#440:


Jones should be the winner btw.
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ExThaNemesis
12/12/17 10:18:38 PM
#441:


Jones wins.

Sad. The people who will be happy about this do not deserve to be happy. They are awful.
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LapisLazuli
12/12/17 10:19:28 PM
#442:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Jones wins.

Sad. The people who will be happy about this do not deserve to be happy. They are awful.


How much do you know about Moore's political standings?
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Maniac64
12/12/17 10:20:01 PM
#443:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Jones wins.

Sad. The people who will be happy about this do not deserve to be happy. They are awful.

The same thing would have been said if Moore won.
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Suprak the Stud
12/12/17 10:20:05 PM
#444:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Jones wins.

Sad. The people who will be happy about this do not deserve to be happy. They are awful.


This is a very sad way to live your life.

Do you genuinely believe 100% of democrats or democratic leaning people are bad?

What percentage of people that would be happy about Moore winning would you consider awful?
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Moops?
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DeathChicken
12/12/17 10:20:37 PM
#445:


Jones is ahead slightly/tied and more or less what's left to count are cities, not Republican podunks. He's probably won (probably)
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transience
12/12/17 10:21:08 PM
#446:


EDC9NA2
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FFDragon
12/12/17 10:21:34 PM
#447:


I mean Moore was a crazy shitbag with terrible views who was impeached twice even before the kid stuff came out. Even if Jones can fit the bill of "normal guy" I think they'll be better off. Plus I think he made his name fighting the KKK, so that already puts him a step over normal.
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neonreaper
12/12/17 10:21:39 PM
#448:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4O9IWLoABU

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Jakyl25
12/12/17 10:22:08 PM
#449:


ExThaNemesis posted...
Jones wins.

Sad. The people who will be happy about this do not deserve to be happy. They are awful.


Werent you in here just a couple weeks ago saying Dems cant win now because that illegal immigrant killer got off?
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ExThaNemesis
12/12/17 10:22:30 PM
#450:


Suprak the Stud posted...
Do you genuinely believe 100% of democrats or democratic leaning people are bad?


They are the same people who bullied and harassed a 23 year old girl into killing herself last week. The same people harassing and making accusations at a 12 year old boy with a deformed face today.

It may not be all, but it's enough. It's why last November was such a joy, to see the absolute worst parts of humanity be so distraught was worth it.

I didn't care much about this race until today because I stay out of politics for the most part. But the Keaton Jones thing got me really fired up this morning so here we are.
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