Poll of the Day > The generic congressional ballot has risen to +6.9 in favor of the Democrats.

(+) Yeah! (+)

Yikes. This is major bad news for Republicans.

https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html
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Wow, sounds like Generic Democrat is gonna wipe the floor w/ Generic Republican

-_-

These polls are so fucking stupid and pointless. The only thing they ever seem to accomplish is to make the purported winning side feel complacent.
Uncork the fucking champagne the night of the election after the results have actually rolled in. Until then, there's work to be done.

Says the independent who's never gotten involved in election canvassing/drives/etc... But seriously Democrats, step the fuck up...

As a Democrat:

Hillary Clinton chances of winning: 96%!

streamofthesky posted...

Wow, sounds like Generic Democrat is gonna wipe the floor w/ Generic Republican

-_-

These polls are so fucking stupid and pointless. The only thing they ever seem to accomplish is to make the purported winning side feel complacent.
Uncork the fucking champagne the night of the election after the results have actually rolled in. Until then, there's work to be done.

Says the independent who's never gotten involved in election canvassing/drives/etc... But seriously Democrats, step the fuck up...

You're right, things can change, but generic ballot is historically a very solid indicator of what's to come.
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MICHALECOLE posted...

As a Democrat:

Hillary Clinton chances of winning: 96%!

But this is actually even more useless than a generic overall chance of winning (vs. state by state polls) of actual person vs. actual person.

This is generic person vs. generic person, for not one race but all the national Congressional races!

Of all the dumb and pointless political polls there are, this one has always been the top of the trash heap to me, yet it persists...

McSame_as_Bush posted...

streamofthesky posted...

Wow, sounds like Generic Democrat is gonna wipe the floor w/ Generic Republican

-_-

These polls are so fucking stupid and pointless. The only thing they ever seem to accomplish is to make the purported winning side feel complacent.
Uncork the fucking champagne the night of the election after the results have actually rolled in. Until then, there's work to be done.

Says the independent who's never gotten involved in election canvassing/drives/etc... But seriously Democrats, step the fuck up...

You're right, things can change, but generic ballot is historically a very solid indicator of what's to come.

It's not just that things can change. It's also that a nationwide popularity poll is an atrocious way to gauge Congressional races. House races are by district, with gerrymandering galore. And even Senate races can't be called by nationwide polling since it's 2 per state and some states (mostly blue) have way more people than other states (mostly red). Given that, Democrats pretty much need a significant vote lead overall to even have a chance of splitting Congress 50/50.
And it's also that there's no such thing as a "generic Democrat/Republican" and invariably in a lot of races one party will nominate a total scrub that grossly underperforms how s/he should do.

streamofthesky posted...

MICHALECOLE posted...

As a Democrat:

Hillary Clinton chances of winning: 96%!

But this is actually even more useless than a generic overall chance of winning (vs. state by state polls) of actual person vs. actual person.

This is generic person vs. generic person, for not one race but all the national Congressional races!

Of all the dumb and pointless political polls there are, this one has always been the top of the trash heap to me, yet it persists...

Incorrect. It's much easier and reliable to look for overall trends than make predictions on individual races.
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bump
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I can't remember the exact number but I think it was something like democrats could win the congressional popular vote by like 10% or something like that but gerrymandering means they'd still not take control of the house. It's fucked up.

Fake edit: Okay, I found it

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/3/27/17144198/gerrymandering-brennan-center-report-midterms-democrats-house-2018
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Gerrymandering and the electoral college are both such a fucking joke...
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