Current Events > Democrats chance to retake house soars higher than ever, now 86%

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Genocet_10-325
10/22/18 11:51:07 AM
#1:


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=irpromo

It just keeps going higher.
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Two_Dee
10/22/18 11:51:57 AM
#2:


This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day
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Tyranthraxus
10/22/18 11:51:58 AM
#3:


I am treating that chance as 0% until after all votes are tallied and you should be too.
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darkphoenix181
10/22/18 11:52:38 AM
#4:


Two_Dee posted...
This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day



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K181
10/22/18 11:52:44 AM
#5:


Never underestimate the potential of the Democratic Party to blow a sure thing.
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GATTJT
10/22/18 11:53:08 AM
#6:


These percentages mean nothing if Democrats don't vote.
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Drunk Cobra
10/22/18 11:53:48 AM
#7:


I hope Dems have an amazingly successful senate and house retake so then we can all enjoy the incredible shit show that will follow.
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Tyranthraxus
10/22/18 11:54:42 AM
#8:


Drunk Cobra posted...
I hope Dems have an amazingly successful senate and house retake so then we can all enjoy the incredible shit show that will follow.


I'm excited for years of nothing, personally. It means shit won't get worse.
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Zanzenburger
10/22/18 11:55:01 AM
#9:


Drunk Cobra posted...
I hope Dems have an amazingly successful senate and house retake so then we can all enjoy the incredible shit show that will follow.

I'd love to see how Trump deals with a Democratic Congress.
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Two_Dee
10/22/18 11:55:18 AM
#10:


GATTJT posted...
These percentages mean nothing if Democrats don't vote.

but they have an 86% chance to win

that means that 35% of that 86% doesn't even need to vote and they'd still have the majority
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ElatedVenusaur
10/22/18 11:55:25 AM
#11:


K181 posted...
Never underestimate the potential of the Democratic Party to blow a sure thing.

They're certainly trying their hardest to dampen voter enthusiasm.
It's also worth noting that Nate Silver isn't as bullish as his model.
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Garioshi
10/22/18 11:55:33 AM
#12:


Two_Dee posted...
This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day

This is the worst mentality you could possibly have
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theAteam
10/22/18 11:58:55 AM
#13:


Garioshi posted...
Two_Dee posted...
This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day

This is the worst mentality you could possibly have


I mean that guy was trolling but I do feel as if people seeing these polls might get the same idea.
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Alpha218
10/22/18 12:00:09 PM
#14:


theAteam posted...
Garioshi posted...
Two_Dee posted...
This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day

This is the worst mentality you could possibly have


I mean that guy was trolling but I do feel as if people seeing these polls might get the same idea.

Not if they remember 2016.
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BLAKUboy
10/22/18 12:01:01 PM
#15:


This "But Democrats don't vote!!" nonsense really needs to stop. Democrat/non-Trumper enthusiasm has been consistently high ever since 2016, and it's not going away anytime soon. We have almost 2 years worth of elections now demonstrating this.
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King_Hellebuyck
10/22/18 12:01:56 PM
#16:


Every seat in Congress counts, simply retaking the House isnt good enough. The Senate might be hard for the Dems to win this year but itll be easier to win next time if they can hold on in their tight races.
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ElatedVenusaur
10/22/18 12:03:42 PM
#17:


https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1054361906541142021
It's pretty sad we're at the point where one party gaining 5-6% more votes means control of the House is a coin-flip, but here we are.
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Alpha218
10/22/18 12:04:40 PM
#18:


ElatedVenusaur posted...
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1054361906541142021
It's pretty sad we're at the point where one party gaining 5-6% more votes means control of the House is a coin-flip, but here we are.

Thats gerrymandering for ya
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darkphoenix181
10/22/18 12:05:22 PM
#19:


Garioshi posted...
Two_Dee posted...
This is a good thing imo

it means i won't have to go out and vote that day

This is the worst mentality you could possibly have



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chill02 to me: you are beautiful
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Tyranthraxus
10/22/18 12:06:26 PM
#20:


BLAKUboy posted...
This "But Democrats don't vote!!" nonsense really needs to stop. Democrat/non-Trumper enthusiasm has been consistently high ever since 2016, and it's not going away anytime soon. We have almost 2 years worth of elections now demonstrating this.


No. It's not bullshit. Voter enthusiasm is much higher among Boomers than it is among millenials or gen Z. This is especially true for democrats who live in red states and don't go out to vote because "it doesn't matter"
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