Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1291

(+) Yeah! (+)

I don't see why not. They are the same person.
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I made a lot of dumb choices with my bracket - But I did call Bayonetta as the winner of this 8-pack. SMASHFEAR is very real.

If these results hold, Smash Ultimate will be 19-4 so far, with their only four losses being -

Alucard > Peach
Big Boss > Ridley
Aerith > Waluigi
Geralt > Rosalina
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I guess this means Big Boss is actually in good shape to win the division then!
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Dr. Mario would not be anywhere near as strong as Mario.
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Yesterday's charts:

Time | Aloy | D.Va | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 40.75% | 59.25% | 584 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 42.62% | 57.38% | 3684 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 44.30% | 55.70% | 9370 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 49.01% | 50.99% | 3934 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 51.91% | 48.09% | 5587 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 48.27% | 51.73% | 6244 | (16:00-24:00)

It's kind of stunning how frontloaded D. Va of all characters is. Should be interesting to see how she looks early against Fox next round.

Time | Jill | Fox | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 43.56% | 56.44% | 590 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 44.11% | 55.89% | 3686 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 44.23% | 55.77% | 9374 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 49.00% | 51.00% | 3937 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 47.42% | 52.58% | 5586 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 46.16% | 53.84% | 6243 | (16:00-24:00)

Fox is frontloaded, unsurprisingly, and Jill almost goes 50/50 with him in the dead of night.

Time | Shovel | Toad | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 42.78% | 57.22% | 582 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 48.67% | 51.33% | 3684 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 47.50% | 52.50% | 9370 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 46.71% | 53.29% | 3941 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 47.02% | 52.98% | 5600 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 47.41% | 52.59% | 6231 | (16:00-24:00)

Very rare to see a Nintendo character do their best work during the dead of night! But not a lot of fluctuation either way here.

Time | Waluigi | Aerith | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 46.74% | 53.26% | 582 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 43.78% | 56.22% | 3684 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 43.04% | 56.96% | 9374 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV |41.91% | 58.09% | 3939 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 40.76% | 59.24% | 5582 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 43.19% | 56.81% | 6245 | (16:00-24:00)

Aerith is at her worst during the Power Hour in typical FFVII fashion, but we don't see the typical rise to heaven here. She kind of stalls out once we hit the afternoon.
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...Rosalina is winning in Poland.
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Dr. Mario is just a part of Mario.
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LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

You should see Peru and Paraguay throughout the whole contest.
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lordjers posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

You should see Peru and Paraguay throughout the whole contest.

You know why Poland is relevant to this particular match, right?
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LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

It won't last forever. The vote totals from Poland are probably quite low right now. The Witcher 3 put up a crushing performance in Poland in both BGE 2015 and the GotY poll.
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man Bayonetta is still climbing

this might be more impressive than what Pac-Man's doing depending on how high she finishes
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RIP Hayabusa, damn shame how the Ninja Gaiden franchise went down
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might be? Riku has got to be a good deal stronger that Sans, right?
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

lordjers posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

You should see Peru and Paraguay throughout the whole contest.

You know why Poland is relevant to this particular match, right?

Poland is ungrateful, but pointing out that Peru and Paraguay are weird is more important.
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cyko posted...

I made a lot of dumb choices with my bracket - But I did call Bayonetta as the winner of this 8-pack. SMASHFEAR is very real.

If these results hold, Smash Ultimate will be 19-4 so far, with their only four losses being -

Alucard > Peach
Big Boss > Ridley
Aerith > Waluigi
Geralt > Rosalina

19-3. Assist trophies don't count...!
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lordjers posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

lordjers posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

You should see Peru and Paraguay throughout the whole contest.

You know why Poland is relevant to this particular match, right?

Poland is ungrateful, but pointing out that Peru and Paraguay are weird is more important.

Also L-Block lost in Russia. That's more lolworthy.
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LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

Rosalina didn't forget Poland.
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lordjers posted...

lordjers posted...

_SecretSquirrel posted...

lordjers posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

...Rosalina is winning in Poland.

You should see Peru and Paraguay throughout the whole contest.

You know why Poland is relevant to this particular match, right?

Poland is ungrateful, but pointing out that Peru and Paraguay are weird is more important.

Also L-Block lost in Russia. That's more lolworthy.

A genocidal maniac who takes control of an empire? What could be more Russian than that?
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I'll be sure to nominate Dr. Mario for the next character contest, if there is one.
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Wow!! I overrated Sans as hell!! I thought people here were nuts about Undertale and it would get rallies and such... I had him go very far in the tournament.

lol well I was so wrong

Sans might still get a rally. The match isn't over yet.
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if there is no rally do we expect Sans to set the new largest % split between registered and unregistered users? at least until Draven or a real rally.
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The results of this round are being heavily skewed by the fact that there's a huge Smash Bros leak making the rounds and bringing in a ton of people from other websites who are only here for Smash. That's why Simon, Pac-man and Bayonetta seem so unrealistically strong.

Wow, didn't realize that Bayonetta has been rising. She's not too far to what Charizard got in 2013. Is Kingdom Hearts weaker or is Bayonetta pushing elite level?
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Forget the rallies Smash is the worst thing to ever happen for contests (maybe tied with double registered votes)

charmander6000 posted...

Wow, didn't realize that Bayonetta has been rising. She's not too far to what Charizard got in 2013. Is Kingdom Hearts weaker or is Bayonetta pushing elite level?

just further evidence of Charizard's fraudulence
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swordz9 posted...

Forget the rallies Smash is the worst thing to ever happen for contests (maybe tied with double registered votes)

I mean you realize the impact of double registered votes hasn't really been that great right
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Looks like we're only about 500 votes ahead of the general pace we've been going at so boosted votals due to Smash leaks is probably not the answer.

And I'd expect both gamefaqs registered users and normal non-rallied guests to be pretty similarly uncaring toward Sans.
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LeonhartFour posted...

charmander6000 posted...

Wow, didn't realize that Bayonetta has been rising. She's not too far to what Charizard got in 2013. Is Kingdom Hearts weaker or is Bayonetta pushing elite level?

just further evidence of Charizard's fraudulence

He still went even with Zelda. Bayonetta getting ~45% on 2013 Zelda is very respectable.
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charmander6000 posted...

He still went even with Zelda.

With DK in the poll.

Still not convinced he didn't hurt her more.

but hey if Zelda's a fraud too that's just as well
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Hurry let's get to Shulk's match while leak hype is still high!
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swordz9 posted...

Forget the rallies Smash is the worst thing to ever happen for contests (maybe tied with double registered votes)

D.Va vs Aloy was one of the biggest differences between registered and unregistered voters we have seen. D.Va vs Aloy was on of the closest matches in the contest.

D.Va won with 52.94%. Without doubled registered votes, D.Va wins with 51.74%. A difference of 1.2 percentage points. That's less than half of the change Aloy needed to win.

The doubled registered vote effect is very, very small.
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Pokemon is the worst thing to ever happen for contests. Smash boosts are cool.
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Smash boosts are cool.

Smash rallies suck.
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The odds are always against them but they always win

They're like 2008 John Cena
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Pokemon wrecked CBIX even more than Draven did

they were also repeatedly given absurdly favorable draws that allowed them to win matches they wouldn't otherwise win
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Smash lets otherwise weak characters do very well! Bayo pre-Smash would probably not even come close to winning this match at all

Riku's looking like enough of a joke here that I might humor pre-smash Bayonetta to beat him
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Odds are if you're complaining about a character or certain types of characters doing well it's because they're beating characters you personally like (a lot more)
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Smash helped Snake a lot so I'll allow it
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Everyone is a fraud.

Except Pac-Man.
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Pac-Man for CBX Champion
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