Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1343

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:05:00 PM
#1:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1343-east-division-round-2-aeris-vs-master-chief

I wonder how this match would go today.

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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
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~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 7:15:56 PM
#2:


Would pick Aeris today without thinking twice.

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:16:24 PM
#3:


Oh, she definitely wins. I just wonder what the margin would be.
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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 7:17:51 PM
#4:


Does anyone have the stats for the Division 2 matches and how many votals were effected by rallies?

There were some minor rallies today but i doubt number was too high

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#5
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 7:19:16 PM
#6:


I've been a bit back and fourth on doing another PCA as I did in 2015. It's fun, but takes a lot of time. It took me almost half a year to finish back then, and if I do it again I don't want to be that slow. I didn't care in 2017 and I considered it 2018, but figured I didn't have time. Now I do have the time due to a couple of things getting delayed. Round 1 didn't spark a lot of new interest, but round 2 sure has so far. I'm now quite positive I'll do it once more.

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davidponte
04/14/20 7:19:37 PM
#7:


Aerith > Aeris, fight me

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:20:10 PM
#8:


davidponte posted...
Aerith > Aeris, fight me


been calling her Aerith for years now!
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squexa
04/14/20 7:20:12 PM
#9:


@KamikazePotato @LeonhartFour

If I remember correctly, Mario vs Samus 2

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snake_5036
04/14/20 7:20:34 PM
#10:


speaking of strike the earth, what a good song to start the first level of the game off with

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sGBFDut-MgI

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:21:02 PM
#11:


squexa posted...
@KamikazePotato @LeonhartFour

If I remember correctly, Mario vs Samus 2


oh right, that one did go down to the wire and the Mario "clutch"
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ShortReplies
04/14/20 7:21:02 PM
#12:


Octopath and Shovel Knight is the closest match so far.
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:21:48 PM
#13:


ShortReplies posted...
Octopath and Shovel Knight is the closest match so far.


it won't be by the time it's over at this rate
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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:22:03 PM
#14:


Good news is that I don't have to hold to my self-imposed bet and give Octopath another chance. Ys it is!

Adjusting today in the X-stats is gonna be fun.

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#15
Post #15 was unavailable or deleted.
ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 7:22:36 PM
#16:


LeonhartFour posted...
Oh, she definitely wins. I just wonder what the margin would be.

Ah, right. Right now, I'd probably put her at low 70s. Halo is not worth a lot, and with first part of FFVIIR being out. We'll see what people think of it down the line.

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davidponte
04/14/20 7:22:36 PM
#17:


ShortReplies posted...
Octopath and Shovel Knight is the closest match so far.

This is the kind of hard hitting analysis I come to this topic for.

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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 7:23:13 PM
#18:


I can't wait for next matches

CUphead to Double GTA at the freeze

Book it.

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:23:23 PM
#19:


Aeris isn't anywhere near as strong as she used to be, but Chief has fallen way harder.

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SwiftyDC
04/14/20 7:23:39 PM
#20:


Aerith in FF7R so good.

It's going to hurt, so bad.

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dilateDChemist
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deeewooh
04/14/20 7:24:02 PM
#21:


New Vegas will win its division.

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:24:03 PM
#22:


KamikazePotato posted...
Good news is that I don't have to hold to my self-imposed bet and give Octopath another chance. Ys it is!

Adjusting today in the X-stats is gonna be fun.


splitting the difference between registered and anonymous voters seems to be the easiest adjustment
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#23
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HaRRicH
04/14/20 7:25:04 PM
#24:


Oh man, with Yacht Club's tweet just being an hour old by the time the next match starts, that is gonna help Cuphead.

Prepare for an even crazier first five minutes in that match. Cuphead's taking it home.

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#25
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davidponte
04/14/20 7:25:10 PM
#26:


Man I am not prepared for the next set of matches. They could all be over in 5 minutes but they could really go either way other that Fire Emblem.

I am extremely stressed out as someone who took GTA way further than I should have. At least give me another round to regret my pick.

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#27
Post #27 was unavailable or deleted.
ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 7:25:25 PM
#28:


KamikazePotato posted...
Good news is that I don't have to hold to my self-imposed bet and give Octopath another chance. Ys it is!

Adjusting today in the X-stats is gonna be fun.

@ZenOfThunder are you going to allow this to happen
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davidponte
04/14/20 7:25:44 PM
#29:


HaRRicH posted...
Oh man, with Yacht Club's tweet just being an hour old by the time the next match starts, that is gonna help Cuphead.

Prepare for an even crazier first five minutes in that match. Cuphead's taking it home.

Fuck

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:25:51 PM
#30:


I'm just here for that Cuphead/GTA board vote.

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:26:02 PM
#31:


davidponte posted...
Man I am not prepared for the next set of matches. They could all be over in 5 minutes but they could really go either way other that Fire Emblem.

I am extremely stressed out as someone who took GTA way further than I should have. At least give me another round to regret my pick.


I'd be surprised if GTA has it locked up within 5 minutes
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MechanicalWall
04/14/20 7:26:06 PM
#32:


Looking at the rest of the bracket I'm trying to figure out what companies/directors are likely to give enough of a shit about this contest to actually put out a tweet like this. To my mind:

-Pretty much any indie left in bracket like Cuphead and Stardew
-CDPR: Witcher (this is the BIG one because they're known to do this)
-Guirella Games: Horizon Zero Dawn
-The God of War guy who I can't remember but cried when he saw the reviews
-Chrisitian Whitehead: Sonic Mania
-Yoko Taro if he spoke English

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davidponte
04/14/20 7:26:16 PM
#33:


is there still room in the all rallies are bad club

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TheCodeisBosco
04/14/20 7:26:18 PM
#34:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
I can't wait for next matches

CUphead to Double GTA at the freeze

Book it.

Man, I've been so caught up in today's rigamarole that I forgot about GTA/Cuphead and P4G/RDR tonight.

After what Yacht Club Games just did for Shovel Knight, you just KNOW people are gonna be hitting up Studio MDHR for a Cuphead tweet.

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The music was thud-like.
The music was... thud-like.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 7:26:38 PM
#35:


I have GTA in my bracket but I'm totally okay with that particular upset.
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davidponte
04/14/20 7:26:45 PM
#36:


LeonhartFour posted...
I'd be surprised if GTA has it locked up within 5 minutes

When Cuphead is up 80/20 it might be

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:26:46 PM
#37:


davidponte posted...
is there still room in the all rallies are bad club


we welcome all
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Genoard
04/14/20 7:27:41 PM
#38:


Vivi > Mario was the best rally

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:28:14 PM
#39:


Board vote is going to be pretty vicious for those who picked RDR, too.

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#40
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:28:22 PM
#41:


Vivi stopped Squall from winning the next round

therefore it was bad
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tgs2
04/14/20 7:28:43 PM
#42:


Shovel Knight seems to be gettimg at least 20-30 extra votes an update. That can add up in dead hours even against Odyssey/BotW if that account is serious about rallying against Mario.

That is not even accounting for theoretical indie banner waving if Cuphead loses tomorrow. Many indie supporters could back Shovel Knight and create another Undertale situation.

It's an exciting theoey to think about.
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WhiteLens
04/14/20 7:28:51 PM
#43:


SwiftyDC posted...
Aerith in FF7R so good.

It's going to hurt, so bad.

Yeah but what if....the Remake makes Aerith LIVE?

Then how would that affect things?

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:28:54 PM
#44:


LeonhartFour posted...
Vivi stopped Squall from winning the next round

therefore it was bad
Based on 2018, it's more accurate to say Squall stopped Vivi

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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 7:28:56 PM
#45:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
I have GTA in my bracket but I'm totally okay with that particular upset.

Forget it

With all these stupid rallies and rally spillovr from casual sites. Cuphead has nochance unfortunately

Also RDR could also beat P4G based on this.


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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 7:29:37 PM
#46:


KamikazePotato posted...

Based on 2018, it's more accurate to say Squall stopped Vivi


shhhhh

it was 5 years later it could have happened
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 7:29:47 PM
#47:


UltimaterializerX posted...
You could be Tsunami and take 14 months to do it. JFC.

My PCA this year is going to be so good. It's what I'm best known for! People are all over that wiki. Gotta bring the heat.

I'm looking forward to it as well!

I think my PCA would be a lot better if I finished within a month, two tops. The passion runs out a bit otherwise, even if the key points are the same.

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AC1
04/14/20 7:29:50 PM
#48:


I do not want Octopath Traveler to lose this round. Save it please!. Just 30 minutes left for this round.
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davidponte
04/14/20 7:30:01 PM
#49:


I'm pretty sure the indie game rally is going to help the other indie game, not the other way around, Yuri.

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 7:30:35 PM
#50:


AC1 posted...
I do not want Octopath Traveler to lose this round. Save it please!. Just 30 minutes left for this round.
Oh sure thing, contacting Nomura as we speak

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